Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

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   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 140850
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0350 AM CDT MON AUG 14 2006
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGES SHOW SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHING
   WRN BC WITH ANOTHER TRAILING IMPULSE TO THE SOUTHWEST. AS TROUGH
   AMPLIFIES TODAY...LARGE SCALE LIFT WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE PACIFIC
   NORTHWEST...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN ISOLD TSTMS THIS AFTN ACROSS THE
   ERN SLOPES OF THE CASCADES. MAIN UPPER TROUGH NOW OVER MANITOBA WILL
   CONTINUE EAST...REACHING HUDSON BAY BY TONIGHT. AT THE
   SFC...ELONGATED FRONTAL ZONE WILL EXTEND FROM OH THROUGH AR AND INTO
   NCNTRL TX WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS. COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER IS
   EXPECTED ACROSS THE MIDWEST AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE
   REGION.
   
   ...CNTRL ORE THROUGH THE NRN GREAT BASIN...
   MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENTLY FORECASTING THE PRESENCE OF MID LEVEL
   MOISTURE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CNTRL/SERN ORE THIS AFTN/EVENING. WITH
   INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA...ISOLD CBS
   ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY NEAR 15/00Z. LOW PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
   SUGGEST THAT DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE POSSIBLE. FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS AND MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATE THE BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS
   WILL BE ALONG AND EAST OF THE CASCADES INTO SERN ORE.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 08/14/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 140851
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0351 AM CDT MON AUG 14 2006
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NEB PANHANDLE/WRN AND CNTRL SD/FAR
   SRN ND...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGE WILL BECOME RE-ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE CNTRL CANADIAN
   PROVINCES AND NRN PLAINS AS NEXT TROUGH AMPLIFIES OVER ALBERTA. SFC
   TROUGH WILL DEEPEN ON TUESDAY...EXTENDING FROM ECNTRL MT THROUGH
   NERN WY. SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY MOVE INTO THE MID MS
   VALLEY...AND SFC WINDS WILL BECOME SLY ACROSS THE PLAINS AND
   STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE DAKOTAS/NEB IN RESPONSE TO PRESSURE GRADIENT.
   WITH INCREASING WIND AND HOT TEMPS EXPECTED ON TUE...CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS APPEAR POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF THE DAKOTAS AND
   WRN NEB.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - NEB PANHANDLE/WRN AND CNTRL SD/FAR
   SRN ND...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-25 MPH/LOW RH VALUES/LONG
   TERM DROUGHT
   
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST TEMPS WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID/UPPER 90S
   TO AROUND 100 WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
   TEMP/DEWPOINT DEPRESSION VALUES WILL EXCEED 50-60
   DEGREES...RESULTING IN MIN RH VALUES FALLING BELOW 15 PERCENT.
   SUSTAINED WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO AT LEAST 15-25 MPH...AND
   THESE CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH EXCEPTIONAL LONG TERM DROUGHT WILL
   LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON TUE.
   
   ...ERN MT/PORTIONS OF ND...
   HIGH BASED TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE ON TUE AFTN/EVENING...ESPECIALLY
   ACROSS ERN MT INVOF THE LEE TROUGH. VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ARE
   STRONG ENOUGH FOR STRONG/SEVERE MULTICELL TSTMS WITH ISOLD
   SUPERCELLS POSSIBLE GIVEN FAVORABLE DIRECTIONAL SHEAR. TSTMS WILL
   NOT ONLY HAVE THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLD DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES...BUT
   ALSO VERY STRONG/SEVERE DOWNBURST WINDS. 
   
   ...SERN ORE/PORTIONS OF ID/MT AND WY...
   ENTIRE REGION WILL BE IN FAVORABLE POSITION FOR ISOLD TO SCATTERED
   TSTM DEVELOPMENT DUE TO PROXIMITY OF WEAK TROUGH AXIS OVER CA. TSTMS
   ARE MOST LIKELY TO FORM OVER THE DIVIDE IN MT/ID/WY AND OVER THE
   SAWTOOTH RANGE. ISOLD DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY WINDS ARE
   LIKELY WITH STORMS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 08/14/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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