Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 050837
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0337 AM CDT TUE SEP 05 2006
VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE WRN CONUS AS A TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS
THE EAST. THE BUILDING UPPER RIDGE WILL INCREASE THREAT OF PLUME
DOMINATED FIRES BY LATE IN THE DAY. MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN
BENEATH THE RIDGE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GREAT
BASIN...WITH ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY FARTHER N INTO ID/MT. MANY OF THE
STORMS ACROSS ID AND MT WILL BE DRY...WHILE THE GREAT BASIN STORMS
MAY PRODUCE RAIN.
ELSEWHERE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT SWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS...WITH A COLD FRONT ENTERING DEEP S TX WITH COOLER/DRIER AIR.
GRADIENT BETWEEN PLAINS HIGH AND THERMALLY DRIVEN LOW OUT WEST WILL
PRODUCE LOCALLY GUSTY SELY WINDS ACROSS ERN MT AND THE NRN HIGH
PLAINS REGION...WITH LOW RH.
...SWRN MT...CENTRAL ID...
ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP BY LATE IN THE
DAY...MAINLY OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN. BUILDING UPPER RIDGE AS WELL AS
LACK OF SIGNIFICANT UPSLOPE FLOW WILL TEND TO LIMIT COVERAGE OF
STORMS. HOWEVER...ANY STORMS THAT DO FORM WILL HAVE A RELATIVELY
HIGH LIKELIHOOD OF STARTING FIRES GIVEN DRY FUELS AND LOW RH OF
15-20 PERCENT.
..JEWELL.. 09/05/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 050922
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0422 AM CDT TUE SEP 05 2006
VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE WRN CONUS WITH DEEPENING SURFACE
PRESSURE DUE TO WARMING COLUMN. HOT TEMPERATURES AND MINIMAL
MOISTURE WILL KEEP A THREAT OF ISOLATED DRY THUNDER FROM WRN MT/ID
INTO THE ERN GREAT BASIN. A WIDESPREAD AREA OF MDT TO HIGH HAINES
CONDITIONS WILL INCREASE THREAT OF LATE DAY PLUME DOMINATED FIRES.
ELSEWHERE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE INTO THE SRN PLAINS AND LOWER
MS VALLEY WITH DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS.
...CA...GREAT BASIN...NRN ROCKIES...
A MDT TO HIGH HAINES INDEX WILL BE IN PLACE WED WITHIN BROAD THERMAL
RIDGE. MIN RH VALUES WILL AVERAGE NEAR 10-15 PERCENT...WHICH WILL
FAVOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRES BY LATE AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...A VERY
WEAK UPPER TROUGH EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MEAN RIDGE MAY ALLOW FOR AN
INCREASE IN WLY WINDS ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN OF CENTRAL CA AND WRN
NV...ESPECIALLY NEAR RIDGE TOPS.
SCATTERED LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE PAST FEW
DAYS...MAINLY OVER THE ERN GREAT BASIN AND ID. THUS...PRESENCE OF
HIGH HAINES MAY INDUCE FLARE-UPS OF LIGHTNING CAUSED FIRES.
ADDITIONAL ISOLATED DRY STORMS ARE LIKELY WED AFTERNOON AS
WELL...MAINLY FROM ID INTO THE ERN GREAT BASIN WHERE LOW LEVELS OF
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN.
...CENTRAL AND ERN TX...
A DRY AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE ON WED AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN.
MIN RH OF 30-35 PERCENT WILL BE LIKELY WITH MODERATELY WARM
TEMPERATURES OF 85-90 F. NLY WINDS WILL AVERAGE NEAR 10 MPH. EXTREME
LONG TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS REMAIN IN PLACE...AND PORTIONS OF
E-CNTRL AND SRN TX HAVE HAD LITTLE RAIN RECENTLY. THUS FIRE THREAT
WILL BE INCREASED WED AFTERNOON.
..JEWELL.. 09/05/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...