Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 050837
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0337 AM CDT TUE SEP 05 2006
   
   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE WRN CONUS AS A TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS
   THE EAST. THE BUILDING UPPER RIDGE WILL INCREASE THREAT OF PLUME
   DOMINATED FIRES BY LATE IN THE DAY. MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN
   BENEATH THE RIDGE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GREAT
   BASIN...WITH ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY FARTHER N INTO ID/MT. MANY OF THE
   STORMS ACROSS ID AND MT WILL BE DRY...WHILE THE GREAT BASIN STORMS
   MAY PRODUCE RAIN.
   
   ELSEWHERE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT SWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL
   PLAINS...WITH A COLD FRONT ENTERING DEEP S TX WITH COOLER/DRIER AIR.
   GRADIENT BETWEEN PLAINS HIGH AND THERMALLY DRIVEN LOW OUT WEST WILL
   PRODUCE LOCALLY GUSTY SELY WINDS ACROSS ERN MT AND THE NRN HIGH
   PLAINS REGION...WITH LOW RH.
   
   ...SWRN MT...CENTRAL ID...
   ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP BY LATE IN THE
   DAY...MAINLY OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN. BUILDING UPPER RIDGE AS WELL AS
   LACK OF SIGNIFICANT UPSLOPE FLOW WILL TEND TO LIMIT COVERAGE OF
   STORMS.  HOWEVER...ANY STORMS THAT DO FORM WILL HAVE A RELATIVELY
   HIGH LIKELIHOOD OF STARTING FIRES GIVEN DRY FUELS AND LOW RH OF
   15-20 PERCENT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 09/05/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 050922
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0422 AM CDT TUE SEP 05 2006
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE WRN CONUS WITH DEEPENING SURFACE
   PRESSURE DUE TO WARMING COLUMN. HOT TEMPERATURES AND MINIMAL
   MOISTURE WILL KEEP A THREAT OF ISOLATED DRY THUNDER FROM WRN MT/ID
   INTO THE ERN GREAT BASIN. A WIDESPREAD AREA OF MDT TO HIGH HAINES
   CONDITIONS WILL INCREASE THREAT OF LATE DAY PLUME DOMINATED FIRES.
   
   ELSEWHERE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE INTO THE SRN PLAINS AND LOWER
   MS VALLEY WITH DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS.
   
   ...CA...GREAT BASIN...NRN ROCKIES...
   A MDT TO HIGH HAINES INDEX WILL BE IN PLACE WED WITHIN BROAD THERMAL
   RIDGE. MIN RH VALUES WILL AVERAGE NEAR 10-15 PERCENT...WHICH WILL
   FAVOR PLUME DOMINATED FIRES BY LATE AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...A VERY
   WEAK UPPER TROUGH EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MEAN RIDGE MAY ALLOW FOR AN
   INCREASE IN WLY WINDS ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN OF CENTRAL CA AND WRN
   NV...ESPECIALLY NEAR RIDGE TOPS.
   
   SCATTERED LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE PAST FEW
   DAYS...MAINLY OVER THE ERN GREAT BASIN AND ID. THUS...PRESENCE OF
   HIGH HAINES MAY INDUCE FLARE-UPS OF LIGHTNING CAUSED FIRES.
   ADDITIONAL ISOLATED DRY STORMS ARE LIKELY WED AFTERNOON AS
   WELL...MAINLY FROM ID INTO THE ERN GREAT BASIN WHERE LOW LEVELS OF
   MOISTURE WILL REMAIN.
   
   ...CENTRAL AND ERN TX...
   A DRY AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE ON WED AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN.
   MIN RH OF 30-35 PERCENT WILL BE LIKELY WITH MODERATELY WARM
   TEMPERATURES OF 85-90 F. NLY WINDS WILL AVERAGE NEAR 10 MPH. EXTREME
   LONG TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS REMAIN IN PLACE...AND PORTIONS OF
   E-CNTRL AND SRN TX HAVE HAD LITTLE RAIN RECENTLY. THUS FIRE THREAT
   WILL BE INCREASED WED AFTERNOON.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 09/05/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home