Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 060910
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0410 AM CDT FRI OCT 06 2006
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LOW OFF THE CA COAST EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE ENEWD
   INTO THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH TODAY. AHEAD OF THIS UPPER LOW AN AREA
   OF SFC LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SRN GREAT BASIN WILL DEEPEN AND MOVE
   NEWD INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
   EWD THROUGH THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF WRN AZ
   DURING THE DAYLIGHT HRS. TO THE WEST OF THIS FRONT...WLY WINDS WILL
   BE MODERATE AND SUPPORT VERY HIGH DANGER THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
   LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. FURTHER EAST...SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE
   OVER THE CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS AS SFC PRESSURE FALLS OCCUR AND THE
   PRESSURE GRADIENT INTENSIFIES IN RESPONSE. A LARGE AREA OF HIGH
   PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE ERN GREAT LAKES AREA WILL PRODUCE LOW RH
   READINGS ACROSS MUCH OF THE MS/OH VALLEYS AND GREAT LAKES. HOWEVER
   GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS /LESS THAN 15 MPH/ WILL PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS IN THIS REGION.
   
   ...LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY...
   SCT PRECIPITATION HAS FORMED OVER WRN AZ EARLY THIS MORNING ALONG
   THE EDGE OF DEEPER MOISTURE FLOWING NWD OUT OF THE GULF OF
   CALIFORNIA. AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES INTO THE GREAT BASIN TODAY...THE
   AXIS OF DEEPER MOISTURE WILL SHIFT EWD INTO CENTRAL AZ AIDED BY A
   SFC COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH WRN AZ. STRONG WLY WINDS WILL
   DEVELOP BEHIND THIS FRONT AIDED BY MID LEVEL COLD ADVECTION AND
   STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS FROM 20-25
   MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON AS A
   RESULT. COOLER TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL SUPPORT MIN RH
   READINGS FROM 20-25 PERCENT. THUS A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS
   NOT ANTICIPATED.
   
   ...CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   INCREASING SWLY MID LEVEL FLOW OVER THE ROCKIES WILL SUPPORT A
   CONTINUED DEEPENING OF A SFC LOW PRESSURE TROUGH JUST EAST OF THE
   CENTRAL/SRN ROCKIES. A RELATIVELY STRONG SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS
   ALREADY BEGUN TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS MORNING BETWEEN THIS SFC TROUGH
   AND A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT LAKES/MS
   VALLEY. SSWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH WILL BE
   POSSIBLE FROM NERN NM/NRN TX PANHANDLES NWD INTO NERN CO/SWRN NEB
   WHERE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE THE STRONGEST. MIN RH READINGS
   ARE ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN ABOVE 20 PERCENT AS MAX  TEMPERATURES
   SHOULD BE IN THE MID 80S AND MIN DEWPTS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 10/06/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 060912
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0412 AM CDT FRI OCT 06 2006
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A PIECE OF THE STRONG UPPER LOW ON DAY ONE WILL OPEN UP AND MOVE
   NEWD INTO THE NRN PLAINS TOMORROW. REMNANT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH/ENERGY
   WILL REMAIN OVER THE GREAT BASIN. AHEAD OF THE NRN PLAINS
   TROUGH...STRONG SWLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF THE
   NRN/CENTRAL PLAINS. NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE
   POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF WRN NEB AND WRN AND CENTRAL SD AS THE
   STRONG WINDS COMBINE WITH LOW RH READINGS. THE THREAT FOR CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE LESS FURTHER SOUTH IN PORTIONS OF
   THE SRN PLAINS AS WINDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY WEAKER AND RH READINGS
   SLIGHTLY HIGHER...BUT A MORE PROLONGED DROUGHT IN THIS AREA WILL
   STILL PROVIDE FOR VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER TO PORTIONS OF NRN TX/OK.
   
   ...ERN WY...WRN AND CENTRAL SD...
   AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN OVER ND TOMORROW.
   AHEAD OF AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...STRONG WLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
   OCCUR ALONG THE CORRIDOR OF THE MID LEVEL SPEED MAX AND WHERE STEEP
   LAPSE RATES WILL OCCUR AS A RESULT OF STRONG MID LEVEL COLD
   ADVECTION. SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS OF 25-35 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH
   WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON HRS. ATTM...INCREASING SFC
   COLD ADVECTION IS LIKELY TO OFFSET LOW LEVEL DRYING KEEPING MIN RH
   READINGS AROUND 20 PERCENT. IF LATER DATA INDICATES LOWER RH
   READINGS...THEN A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT WOULD EXIST.
   
   ...SRN/CENTRAL PLAINS...
   SLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM ERN CO/WRN KS INTO
   THE TX PANHANDLE AND WRN OK. SUBSIDENT FLOW ALONG THE WRN EDGE OF
   THE LARGE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AREA OVER THE ERN CONUS WILL LIMIT
   MOISTURE RETURN DESPITE THE SLY FLOW. THUS WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING
   INTO THE 80S...DEWPTS WILL START IN THE 50S AND FALL INTO THE 40S IN
   PORTIONS OF THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON. RESULTANT RH READINGS
   WILL FALL TO LESS THAN 25 PERCENT OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...BUT SHOULD
   REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.
   
   ...NRN FL...
   SUSTAINED NLY WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF AN UPPER LOW OVER THE
   CAROLINAS WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT DRIER AIR INTO THE AREA. THE
   COMBINATION OF WIND SPEEDS NEAR 10 MPH AND MIN RH READINGS AROUND 25
   PERCENT WILL LEAD TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 10/06/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home