Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 260849
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0349 AM CDT THU OCT 26 2006
VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SRN CA...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SERN NM AND S PLAINS
OF NWRN TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN INTENSE UPPER-LEVEL LOW NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS WILL MOVE EWD INTO
ERN OK BY FRIDAY MORNING. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SLOWLY
ACROSS NRN OK WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PUSHING SEWD ACROSS THE
SRN PLAINS. IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
IN THE ERN PACIFIC WILL BUILD INTO CA. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE PACIFIC NW WILL SHIFT SEWD INTO THE CNTRL INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS OF SRN CA...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY LOW RH / GUSTY WINDS / LONG-TERM DRYNESS
OFFSHORE FLOW HAS INCREASED EARLY THIS MORNING IN PORTIONS OF THE
SRN CA COASTAL RANGE N OF LAX WITH WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH
AND RH VALUES FALLING TO AROUND 15 PERCENT. A STRENGTHENING SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL ALLOW STRONG E/NELY WINDS TO ENGULF THE REST
OF THE COASTAL RANGE THROUGH THIS MORNING PRODUCING RAPID DRYING.
WITH FULL INSOLATION....TEMPERATURES BY THIS AFTERNOON WILL WARM
INTO THE 70S TO MID 80S. MIN RH VALUES WILL LIKELY REACH 4 TO 8
PERCENT. VERY POOR RH RECOVERY /AOB 20 PERCENT/ IS EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT WITH CONTINUED DOWNSLOPE WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS
AROUND 40 MPH...ESPECIALLY BELOW PASSES AND CANYONS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS OF SERN NM AND S PLAINS OF
NWRN TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH
ALTHOUGH THE DRYNESS OF FUELS APPEARS TO BE MARGINAL...STRONG
DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL LEAD TO CRITICALLY LOW RH DEVELOPING THIS
AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL SURGE SEWD ACROSS THE AREA THIS
MORNING...ALLOWING W/NWLY WINDS TO DEVELOP. SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE
OF THIS FRONT...COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING...WILL PRODUCE
INCREASINGLY STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. THIS WILL ALSO INCREASE
MECHANICAL MIXING OF A 30 TO 40 MPH LOW-LEVEL JET /PER AREA
PROFILERS/. SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH APPEAR LIKELY.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 60S AND 70S WITH MIN RH VALUES OF 6
TO 12 PERCENT. ANY CRITICAL THREAT SHOULD ABRUPTLY END AROUND SUNSET
AS A SECONDARY COLD FRONTAL SURGE WILL SHIFT WINDS TO THE N AND
RAPIDLY INCREASE LOW-LEVEL RH.
...PORTIONS OF THE NRN CA COASTAL MTNS...
ONGOING NELY WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH SHOULD SUBSIDE THIS MORNING AS
THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS CONSIDERABLY. RH RECOVERY HAS
BEEN VERY POOR THIS MORNING WITH SOME LOCATIONS EXPERIENCING RH
VALUES AROUND 10 TO 15 PERCENT. DAYTIME HEATING WILL MAINTAIN THE
VERY LOW RH WITH MIN VALUES OF 4 TO 8 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. A
MODEST SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REDEVELOP TONIGHT AND SHOULD
HELP PRODUCE SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 15 MPH ACROSS LOCALLY FAVORED
CANYONS/HILLS.
..GRAMS.. 10/26/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 260925
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0425 AM CDT THU OCT 26 2006
VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SRN CA...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS ON FRIDAY
MORNING...SHOULD EJECT EWD ACROSS THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY INTO THE
DEEP SOUTH AS AN UPSTREAM TROUGH DIGS INTO THE FAR UPPER MIDWEST.
MEANWHILE...A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL SHIFT SLOWLY EWD ACROSS
CA AND SWRN CONUS. WARM AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
BENEATH THIS RIDGE ACROSS MUCH OF CA. A LARGE AREA OF SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN BUT REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS OF SRN CA...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY LOW RH / MODERATE WINDS / LONG-TERM DRYNESS
CRITICAL EVENT FROM DAY 1 WILL LIKELY CONTINUE WITH MODERATE
DOWNSLOPE WINDS OFF THE SRN CA COASTAL RANGE AIDING IN A LONG
DURATION OF RH AOB 15 PERCENT. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S
WILL SUPPORT MIN RH VALUES OF 3 TO 8 PERCENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20
TO 25 MPH SHOULD BE MAINLY CONFINED TO CANYONS AND PASSES. THESE
WINDS WILL DIMINISH DURING THE DAYTIME BEFORE REDEVELOPING FRIDAY
EVENING...MAINTAINING POOR RH RECOVERY OVERNIGHT.
..GRAMS.. 10/26/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...