Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 291003
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0403 AM CST SUN OCT 29 2006
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER RIDGE WILL TEMPORARILY BE LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL U.S...IN
   BETWEEN TWO STRONG TROUGHS.  ONE WILL BE EJECTING NEWD OUT OF NEW
   ENGLAND INTO QUEBEC...WHILE THE OTHER DIVES SEWD INTO THE PACIFIC
   NW/NRN ROCKIES. AT THE SURFACE...A DRY AIR MASS WILL EXIST OVER MOST
   OF THE COUNTRY IN THE WAKE OF RECENT CP AIR MASS. SLY WINDS WILL
   INCREASE ACROSS THE PLAINS AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER ERN MT WITH
   PRESSURE TROUGH EXTENDING SWD INTO ERN NM/W TX...WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
   CENTER SHIFTS EWD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES FOR A MARGINAL FIRE
   WEATHER SITUATION DUE TO VERY LOW RH. ELSEWHERE...ONSHORE FLOW WILL
   INCREASE RH VALUES OVER SRN CA.
   
   ...AL/GA/SC/NRN FL...
   A VERY DRY AIR MASS DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXIST TODAY WITH MIN
   RH VALUES BETWEEN 20-25 PERCENT AS TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE 70S.
   FULL SUNSHINE...VERY DRY AIR AND DROUGHT WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE
   CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FIRE STARTS THIS AFTERNOON...WHILE LIGHT
   WINDS KEEP THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT SPREAD IN CHECK.
   
   ...ERN NM...CNTRL/WRN TX...WRN/NRN OK...
   DEEPENING LEE TROUGH WILL HELP STRENGTHEN PRESSURE GRADIENT TO
   PRODUCE GUSTY SWLY WINDS. SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS WILL BE LIKELY ALONG WITH MIN RH RANGING FROM 10-15 PERCENT
   ERN NM TO 20-25 PERCENT CNTRL TX AND OK. COMBINATION OF WIND AND RH
   MAY CREATE LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS WHERE FINE FUELS HAVE
   CURED. PORTIONS OF WRN AND NRN OK ARE ESPECIALLY DRY.
   
   ...SERN WY/WRN NEB...
   DEEPENING LOW AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH WILL HELP INCREASE
   WLY FLOW ACROSS WY...EXTENDING INTO WRN NEB. IT WILL BE WARM AND
   DRY...WITH RH VALUES WELL INTO THE TEENS AND TEMPS IN THE 60S AND
   70S. THE STRONG HEATING WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR VERY DEEP MIXING LAYERS
   WITH A MDT HAINES INTO SWRN NEB...WHILE WINDS INCREASE TO 15-20 MPH
   WITH HIGHER GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 10/29/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 291004
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0404 AM CST SUN OCT 29 2006
   
   VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL SWING EWD ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES INTO THE
   PLAINS...WITH PACIFIC COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM WRN MN INTO NWRN
   KS/NRN CO AND INTO THE SRN GREAT BASIN BY LATE MONDAY. COOLER TEMPS
   AND STRONG WINDS WILL PREVAIL BEHIND THIS FRONT. MEANWHILE...A
   WEAKER SRN STREAM TROUGH WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE SRN HIGH
   PLAINS...WITH INCREASED WLY WINDS AND LOW RH FOR POSSIBLE CRITICAL
   FIRE CONDITIONS. TO THE EAST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE
   SERN STATES BUT WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT OFFSHORE WITH SOMEWHAT
   IMPROVED RH LEVELS.
   
   ...ERN NM AND W TX...
   LOW PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EWD INTO KS/OK...WITH VEERING WLY FLOW
   ACROSS NM AND W TX. THE DRY DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20-25
   MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SERN NM/FAR W TX.
   RH LEVELS ARE LIKELY TO AVERAGE 15-20 PERCENT AT PEAK HEATING. FUEL
   CONDITIONS ARE NOT PARTICULARLY DRY. HOWEVER...AREAS IN WHICH FUELS
   HAVE CURED WILL LIKELY SEE CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS GIVEN WIND AND
   RH.
   
   ...SRN/WRN NEB...NERN CO/NWRN KS...
   A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH BY THE MIDDLE OF THE DAY WITH
   A VERY STRONG WIND SHIFT. SUSTAINED SPEEDS SHOULD AVERAGE ABOVE 30
   MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MIN RH SHOULD DIP TO 20-25 PERCENT DESPITE
   COOLER TEMPS IN THE 50S AND 60S.
   
   ...SERN GULF COAST STATES...
   RH LEVELS WILL INCREASE COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
   SHIFTS EWD. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT MOST AREAS EXCEPT THE E COAST OF
   FL WHERE RH WILL BE HIGHER. MIN RH LEVELS OF 25-35 PERCENT APPEAR
   LIKELY AT PEAK HEATING ESPECIALLY SRN GA INTO SC.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 10/29/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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