Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 060952
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0352 AM CST MON NOV 06 2006
VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE SRN PLAINS WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD THROUGH
TODAY. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...SCT HVY PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR OVER
PORTIONS OF TX AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY. ELSEWHERE...UPPER RIDGING
WILL REMAIN DOMINANT OVER MOST OF THE WEST. A MODEST OFFSHORE FLOW
WILL EXIST OVER PORTIONS OF SRN CA TODAY. VERY LOW RH READINGS WILL
CONTINUE AS A RESULT...BUT OVERALL SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENTLY STRONG TO WARRANT A CRITICAL OUTLOOK
ISSUANCE. AS THE UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAKDOWN OVER THE NRN
ROCKIES...STRONG WLY WINDS WILL RESULT. LACK OF LOWER RH READINGS IN
THIS REGION WILL PRECLUDE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
...SRN CA...
A 6-7 MB PRESSURE GRADIENT EXISTS BETWEEN LAS-LAX EARLY THIS
MORNING. CLOSE INSPECTION OF RECENT RAWS/MESOWEST DATA INDICATED
SUSTAINED WINDS AVERAGING AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OCCASIONALLY OVER
25 MPH OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND THROUGH/BELOW PASSES. THESE WINDS
MAY INCREASE SOMEWHAT DURING THE FIRST FEW HRS OF THE FCST PERIOD.
HOWEVER...WITH UPPER RIDGING DEVELOPING EWD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
TODAY...EXPECT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO WEAKEN /ALONG WITH DIURNAL
EFFECTS/ DURING THE AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD AVERAGE LESS
THAN 20 MPH OVERNIGHT AS THE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAKER
THAN THIS MORNING WITH EVEN LESS UPPER SUPPORT. VERY LOW RH READINGS
/8-12 PERCENT/ WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA AS TEMPERATURES WARM
WELL INTO THE 80S TO AROUND 90 IN LOWER ELEVATIONS WITH SUPPORT OF
OFFSHORE WINDS. GIVEN MARGINAL WINDS THIS MORNING AND LACK OF
EXPECTED STRONGER DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE PERIOD...A CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER OUTLOOK AREA IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
...NRN/CENTRAL PLAINS...
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF THE REGION
TODAY AS DOWNSLOPE FLOW AND UPPER RIDGING CO-EXIST. LOW DWPTS IN THE
20S/30S WILL HELP PRODUCE MIN RH READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT. LACK
OF A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL KEEP SUSTAINED WINDS FROM
INCREASING OVER 15 MPH.
..CROSBIE.. 11/06/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 060953
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0353 AM CST MON NOV 06 2006
VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG UPPER TROUGH OVER 500 HUNDRED MILES OFF THE BRITISH
COLUMBIA/PAC NW COAST THIS MORNING WILL MOVE EWD AND INTO THE PAC
NW/NRN ROCKIES TOMORROW. THIS SYSTEM WILL AID IN A BREAKDOWN OF THE
UPPER RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES. AT THE SURFACE THE RESULT WILL BE AN
INTENSIFICATION OF THE LEE TROUGH AND INCREASING SSWLY WINDS OVER
MUCH OF THE NRN/CENTRAL PLAINS. WARM TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH
THESE WINDS WILL SUPPORT NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO
PORTIONS OF THE REGION. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NATION...A
WARMING/DRYING TREND IS IN STORE FOR THE SRN PLAINS AS UPPER RIDGING
IS SUPPRESSED SWD INTO THE AREA. MEANWHILE...OFFSHORE GRADIENTS WILL
WEAKEN AND BECOME ONSHORE OVER SRN CA AS UPPER TROUGHING APPROACHES
THE REGION. INCREASING ONSHORE FLOW /ALBEIT INITIALLY SHALLOW/ WILL
SUPPORT HIGHER RH READINGS IN LOWER ELEVATIONS AND REVERSAL IN WIND
DIRECTIONS IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
...PORTIONS OF THE NRN/CENTRAL PLAINS...
AS THE UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN OVER THE NRN ROCKIES TOMORROW...THE
LEE TROUGH SHOULD INTENSIFY OVER THE NRN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. THE
INCREASING MID LEVEL WLY FLOW COUPLED WITH A GREATER PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT INCREASING SFC SSWLY WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE
REGION. ATTM...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN
15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 25 MPH. ANOTHER DAY OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES /15-20 DEG ABOVE AVERAGE/ AND LOW RH READINGS WILL
SUPPORT CONDITIONS APPROACHING CRITICAL.
..CROSBIE.. 11/06/2006
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...