Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 110732
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0132 AM CST SAT NOV 11 2006
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A PROGRESSIVE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN WILL EXIST TODAY AS A TROUGH
   ACROSS THE MS RIVER VALLEY MOVES EWD TOWARDS THE ATLANTIC
   COAST...AND ANOTHER TROUGH EJECTS OFF THE PACIFIC COAST ACROSS THE
   WRN CONUS. AHEAD OF THIS LATTER TROUGH...A BELT OF MODERATE TO
   STRONG W/SWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL SPREAD FROM SRN CA NEWD ACROSS THE
   FOUR CORNERS INTO THE NRN PLAINS. IN ADDITION...A SURFACE PRESSURE
   TROUGH WILL DEVELOP SWD ALONG THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES AND LEAD TO A
   STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. GUSTY WINDS
   WILL BE COMMON ACROSS MUCH OF THE HIGH PLAINS/CNTRL ROCKIES AND FOUR
   CORNERS REGION. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN COOL
   /AOB 60 DEGREES/ AND RH VALUES SHOULD ONLY BE MARGINALLY LOW AT
   BEST.
   
   ...CO RIVER AREA OF NWRN AZ...
   LOCALIZED CRITICAL CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP BRIEFLY THIS AFTERNOON AS
   STRONG WINDS COMBINE WITH MARGINALLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH.
   AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES...SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS WILL
   INCREASE TO AROUND 20 TO 25 MPH. A DRY AIR MASS WAS IN PLACE THIS
   MORNING AND DEW POINTS SHOULD BE MAINLY FROM 10 TO 15 DEGREES THIS
   AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES SHOULD GENERALLY ONLY REACH THE
   60S THIS AFTERNOON WITH ABUNDANT UPPER-LEVEL CLOUDINESS LIMITING
   STRONGER HEATING. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH AROUND EARLY
   EVENING...SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASING RH UNDER NWLY WINDS.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 11/11/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 110857
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0257 AM CST SAT NOV 11 2006
   
   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE ERN CONUS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
   CLOSED LOW OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST. A PROGRESSIVE UPPER-LEVEL
   PATTERN WILL CONTINUE UPSTREAM AS A LARGE TROUGH ACROSS THE ROCKIES
   LIFTS NEWD REACHING THE GREAT LAKES BY MONDAY MORNING. WHILE ANOTHER
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO IMPINGE ON THE PACIFIC NW. WARM
   TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH CONDITIONS SHOULD BE CONFINED TO PORTIONS OF
   THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST.
   
   ...SRN CA COASTAL RANGE EWD TO THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY...
   THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND THE STRENGTHENING
   OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE NRN GREAT BASIN WILL LEAD TO
   INCREASED N/ELY FLOW SUNDAY MORNING. GUSTY WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH
   ARE LIKELY IN CANYONS/PASSES OF THE COASTAL MTNS AND POSSIBLY OVER
   THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY. TEMPERATURES WILL INITIALLY BE QUITE COOL
   AND IT SHOULD BE RELATIVELY MOIST. HOWEVER...CONTINUED DOWNSLOPE
   WARMING AND DAYTIME MIXING WILL ALLOW RH VALUES TO SIGNIFICANTLY
   FALL...BECOMING AT LEAST MARGINALLY LOW AROUND 15 PERCENT BY
   AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL LIKELY DIMINISH BELOW 20 MPH IN MOST AREAS
   DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS.
   
   ...NRN FL/FAR SRN GA/FAR SERN AL...
   TO THE SW OF THE MID-ATLANTIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...DRY NWLY WINDS
   SHOULD LEAD TO MARGINALLY LOW RH OF 30 TO 35 PERCENT ON SUNDAY
   AFTERNOON...AS TEMPERATURES WARM TO AROUND 70. HOWEVER...SUSTAINED
   WIND SPEEDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN UNDER 15 MPH. MODEL FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS INDICATE A STRONG INVERSION ATOP A RATHER SHALLOW BOUNDARY
   LAYER. THIS WILL HELP PREVENT MIXING OF STRONGER WINDS ALOFT.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 11/11/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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