Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

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   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 130802
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0202 AM CST MON NOV 13 2006
   
   VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER-LEVEL LOW JUST OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL LIFT SLOWLY
   NWD. UPSTREAM RIDGING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST WILL WEAKEN AS A
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS TRANSLATES EWD. DRY AND
   SLIGHTLY WARMER CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR BENEATH THE RIDGE THIS
   AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...BROAD W/NWLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE
   ACROSS THE WRN CONUS. WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE CONFINED TO
   THE DESERT SOUTHWEST.
   
   ...NRN FL/SRN GA...
   HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL PROVIDE WARM AND
   DRY WEATHER WITH LIGHT WINDS TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE
   LOWER 70S WITH DEW POINTS HOLDING IN THE UPPER 30S. LOW RH OF 25 TO
   30 PERCENT WILL DEVELOP BY EARLY AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS WILL
   GENERALLY RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 MPH.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 11/13/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

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   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 130934
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0334 AM CST MON NOV 13 2006
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF WRN TX..ERN NM...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN VICINITY OF THE NRN ROCKIES 12Z TUE...WILL
   AMPLIFY ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS. LEE CYCLOGENESIS WILL BE INDUCED
   AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS ACROSS ERN CO. THE
   SURFACE LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE SEWD INTO WRN OK TUE AFTERNOON.
   INTENSE MID-LEVEL WINDS IN EXCESS OF 90 MPH WILL SPREAD FROM THE
   GREAT BASIN ACROSS NRN NM INTO NWRN TX. AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES
   FURTHER E TOWARDS THE MID-MS RIVER VALLEY...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
   SWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS TUE NIGHT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF WRN TX..ERN NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / RECENT DRYNESS
   
   THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WLY DOWNSLOPE AND AN INTENSIFYING SURFACE
   PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO HIGH WINDS AND LOW RH ACROSS THE SRN
   HIGH PLAINS. AN INTENSE MID-LEVEL JET STREAK SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE
   SRN ROCKIES BY LATE MORNING. THIS WILL AID IN OPTIMAL DOWNSLOPE
   WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL
   ALLOW DEEP VERTICAL MIXING TO OCCUR. SUSTAINED SURFACE SPEEDS OF 25
   TO 35 MPH APPEAR LIKELY. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE 70S TO MIDDLE
   80S IN MOST AREAS...WITH RH VALUES DROPPING TO 12 TO 20 PERCENT. A
   COLD FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY SWD DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING
   HOURS. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL RAPIDLY COOL...NLY WINDS OF 20 TO
   30 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY WED ACROSS WRN TX.
   
   ...SWRN NM...
   STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE TUE MORNING ALONG THE
   CONTINENTAL DIVIDE EWD TOWARDS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...AS THE
   SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS ACROSS SRN NM. SUSTAINED SPEEDS
   WILL REACH 20 TO 25 MPH. TEMPERATURES SHOULD NOT BE QUITE AS WARM AS
   AREAS OVER THE ERN PLAINS OF NM. THUS...RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO
   STAY ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. MIN RH VALUES WILL LIKELY FALL TO AROUND
   
   20 PERCENT.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 11/13/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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