Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 140937
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0337 AM CST TUE NOV 14 2006
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR WRN TX AND ERN NM...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY AS IT MOVES SEWD OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND
   INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS BY AFTERNOON. AT THE SURFACE...AN AREA OF LOW
   PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OVER THE TX/OK PANHANDLES. STRONG WLY WINDS
   WILL OCCUR FROM NM INTO WRN TX AS THE LOW MOVES SEWD AND MATURES.
   BEHIND THE LOW...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SURGE THROUGH NM AND
   TX...BRINGING COOL BUT DRY AIR.  HIGH PRESSURE CENTER OVER THE
   CENTRAL ROCKIES/ERN GREAT BASIN WILL CAUSE DRY DOWNSLOPE WINDS TO
   OCCUR FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM INTO SRN AZ ACROSS THE LOWER CO RIVER
   VALLEY AND INTO PORTIONS OF SRN CA.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - WRN TX AND ERN NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG/GUSTY WINDS...LOW RH
   
   LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN THROUGHOUT THE DAY ACROSS WRN KS AND THE
   OK/TX PANHANDLES...AS UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES OVER THE SRN PLAINS.
   VERY STRONG WINDS WILL OCCUR AS THIS SYSTEM MATURES. SUSTAINED WLY
   WINDS OF 25-40 MPH WILL BE LIKELY OVER MUCH OF NM AND WRN TX...AS
   WELL AS ACROSS SERN CO. RH LEVELS OVERALL WILL BE MARGINALLY LOW
   WITH VALUES OF 15-20 PERCENT EXCEPT HIGHER VALUES N OF THE
   DEVELOPING COLD FRONT WHICH WILL EXTEND ROUGHLY FROM SW KS INTO NERN
   NM BY 00Z.  WINDS WILL REMAIN QUITE STRONG OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT
   MOVES THROUGH...SHIFTING WINDS TO A NNWLY DIRECTION BUT WITH COOLING
   TEMPERATURES/RISING RH VALUES.
   
   ...CENTRAL TX...
   DEEPENING LOW TO THE N WILL ALLOW FOR STRONG DRYING AND INCREASED
   WINDS GENERALLY ALONG AND W OF I-35. ALTHOUGH THE STRONGEST WINDS
   AND LOWEST RH LEVELS WILL EXIST IN THE CRITICAL AREA TO THE W...NEAR
   CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM THE WRN HILL COUNTRY TO THE WEST
   SIDE OF THE METROPLEX WITH WINDS OF 15-25 MPH AND RH OF 25-35
   PERCENT. KBDI VALUES CONTINUE TO RISE WITH SOME AREAS SEEING 600+
   SUGGESTING FUELS ARE DRYING.
   
   ...SERN AZ/SWRN NM...
   WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AND TURN TO A WLY/NWLY DIRECTION TODAY
   AS STRONG UPPER SYSTEM AMPLIFIES TO THE NE. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL
   LIKELY RANGE FROM 15-20 MPH SERN AZ TO AROUND 30 MPH SWRN NM. RH
   LEVELS WILL BE MARGINALLY LOW...NEAR 20 PERCENT ON AVERAGE.
   ALSO...SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES RELATIVELY HIGH LEVELS OF
   GREENNESS. THUS...BORDERLINE CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE. 
   
   ...CNTRL/SRN AZ INTO THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY...
   INCREASING NLY/NELY WINDS WILL OCCUR MAINLY FROM LATE AFTERNOON
   THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS DUE TO INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT.
   GIVEN NLY WIND COMPONENT...AIR WILL MAINTAIN LOW RH CHARACTERISTICS
   WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL.
   
   ...MUCH OF GA/SC/NRN FL...
   ONE MORE DAY OF LOW RH AS HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS. TEMPERATURES IN THE
   70S WILL PRODUCE MIN RH VALUES FROM 25-35 PERCENT FOR A FEW HOURS
   THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE DRIEST AIR ACROSS SRN GA. WINDS WILL BE
   LIGHT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 11/14/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 141035
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0435 AM CST TUE NOV 14 2006
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF CNTRL AND SRN TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE ONGOING AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD ACROSS
   THE LOWER MS VALLEY...AHEAD OF A STRONG SURFACE LOW AND COLD FRONT.
   THIS FRONT WILL EXTEND SWWD INTO THE WRN GULF WED MORNING...WITH
   HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND IT ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS. VERY
   STRONG NWLY WINDS AND LOW RH WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE
   CONDITIONS ACROSS CNTRL/SRN TX. BEHIND THIS MAIN LOW/TROUGH...AN
   AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE ROCKIES/GREAT BASIN WILL PRODUCE
   DRY OFFSHORE WINDS ACROSS SRN CA...WITH DOWNSLOPE FLOW ACROSS AZ AND
   THE CO RIVER VALLEY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF CNTRL AND SRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH
   
   STRONG NWLY WINDS WILL BE ONGOING EARLY WED...AND WILL AVERAGE 25-35
   MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS BY LATE MORNING. GIVEN COLD ADVECTION BEHIND
   THE FRONT...TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH 60 F ACROSS NRN TX
   WITH MIN RH AROUND 15 PERCENT TX S PLAINS TO 20-30 PERCENT NEAR THE
   METROPLEX. FARTHER S INTO THE HILL COUNTRY AND RIO GRANDE
   VALLEY...RH WILL BE MUCH LOWER...AVERAGING 10-15 PERCENT EXCEPT NEAR
   THE COAST WHERE IT WILL BE CLOSER TO 20 PERCENT. GIVEN DROUGHT
   CONDITIONS AND RELATIVE ABUNDANCE OF FUELS...PORTIONS OF CNTRL TX
   INCLUDING THE SAN ANTONIO AREA WILL LIKELY SEE FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS NEARING EXTREME LEVELS.
   
   ...WRN/SRN OK INTO TX PANHANDLE...
   STRONG NWLY WINDS WILL BE ONGOING WED MORNING WITH SPEEDS OF 25-40
   MPH IN POST FRONTAL REGIME. ALTHOUGH IT WILL BE COOL WITH
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S AND 50S...RH WILL DIP TO 20-30 PERCENT WRN
   OK INTO NWRN TX.
   
   ...SRN CA W OF COASTAL RANGE...
   LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST WED MORNING MAINLY BELOW PASSES
   AND CANYONS WITH MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO START THE DAY. NELY
   WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS APPEAR LIKELY WITH RH
   DECREASING TO NEAR 20 PERCENT BY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL NOT BE AS
   STRONG OVERNIGHT INTO THU MORNING WITH WEAKENING PRESSURE GRADIENT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 11/14/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home