Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 151012
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0412 AM CST WED NOV 15 2006
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF CNTRL/SRN TX...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MOST OF NW...CNTRL AND SRN TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   POWERFUL STORMS SYSTEM WILL TREK SEWD ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND
   INTO THE SERN STATES BY THU MORNING. A SMALL AREA OF LOW RH WILL
   EXIST ACROSS SRN GA/NRN FL BUT MOISTURE WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY. TO
   THE WEST...VERY STRONG WINDS WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE LOW ACROSS
   KS/OK/TX WITH EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS FOR CNTRL/SRN TX. 
   OUT WEST...TEMPORARY UPPER RIDGING WILL OCCUR WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR
   LOW RH DURING THE AFTERNOON. MARGINAL OFFSHORE/DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL
   OCCUR SWRN AZ INTO SRN CA.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF CNTRL/SRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: HIGH WIND...EXTREMELY LOW RH...DROUGHT
   
   WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY TODAY WITH SUSTAINED NNWLY WINDS NEAR 30
   MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL WARM INTO THE 60S
   AND 70S...WHICH WILL RESULT IN MIN RH VALUES OF 10-15 PERCENT. THESE
   AREAS HAVE ALSO EXPERIENCED DROUGHT RECENTLY...WITH KBDI VALUES IN
   EXCESS OF 600-700. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER SUNSET WITH MUCH
   COOLER TEMPERATURES AND A SUBSIDENCE IN WIND SPEEDS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MOST OF NW...CNTRL AND SRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: HIGH WIND AND LOW RH
   
   AREAS SURROUNDING THE EXTREME AREA WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE VERY STRONG
   WINDS WITH SPEEDS OF 25-35 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH AND LOW
   RH...RANGING FROM NEAR 15 PERCENT WRN AREAS TO 20-25 PERCENT ALONG
   THE MIDDLE TX COAST. ERN AREAS HAVE EXPERIENCED MORE PRECIPITATION
   RECENTLY SO FUELS ARE NOT AS DRY AND THUS FIRE POTENTIAL NOT AS
   EXTREME.
   
   ...NWRN TX/PANHANDLE AND WRN OK...
   IT WILL BE EXTREMELY WINDY ESPECIALLY EARLY TODAY AND RELATIVELY
   COOL. SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS OF 30-40 MPH WILL PERSIST WITH GUSTS OVER
   50 MPH. RH LEVELS WILL ONLY BE MARGINALLY LOW AT 20-25 PERCENT AS
   TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE MID 50S.
   
   ...SERN GA INTO NRN FL...
   A POCKET OF DRY AIR IS FORECAST TO REMAIN ACROSS SRN GA INTO NRN
   FL...EVEN THOUGH RAPID MOIST ADVECTION WILL BE TAKING PLACE JUST TO
   THE WEST. SOME FORECAST MODELS DIFFER AS TO HOW LOW RH WILL
   GET...BUT VALUES IN THE 30 PERCENT RANGE APPEAR LIKELY OVER SERN
   GA/NRN FL. IF THIS OCCURS...THEN NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE
   LIKELY FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS INCREASE TO NEAR 15
   MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
   
   ...SRN CA INTO SWRN AZ...
   A DRY OFFSHORE FLOW WILL EXIST TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO THE N.
   WIND SPEEDS WILL NOT BE VERY STRONG...BUT WILL AVERAGE 10-20 MPH IN
   FAVORED AREAS. RH WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE TEENS OVER AZ AND THE SRN
   CA DESERTS...BUT ONLY 20-25 PERCENT NEAR THE COASTAL RANGE IN SRN
   CA.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 11/15/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 151038
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0438 AM CST WED NOV 15 2006
   
   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER LOW/TROUGH WILL SHIFT NEWD ACROSS THE TN/OH VALLEYS WITH
   STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPING ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS AND MID ATLANTIC
   WITH THUNDERSTORMS. BEHIND THIS FRONT...A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL
   REMAIN DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE...WITH VERY LOW RH ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN
   HIGH PLAINS AND INTO TX. ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE CNTRL/NRN ROCKIES
   WILL INDUCE A LEE TROUGH BY AFTERNOON WITH A RETURN TO SLY FLOW FROM
   NWRN TX INTO THE DAKOTAS.
   
   ...TEXAS...
   A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE STATE WITH MIN RH VALUES
   RANGING FROM 10-15 PERCENT I-35 WWD...TO 20-25 PERCENT TX COAST AND
   ERN TX. WLY WINDS OF 10-15 MPH WILL REMAIN OVER MUCH OF CNTRL AND
   ERN TX. OVER WRN TX...WINDS WILL BE SWLY...WITH SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH.
   DESPITE A COOL START TO THE MORNING...THE VERY LOW RH AND MARGINAL
   WINDS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED FIRE THREAT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 11/15/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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