Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 060959
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0359 AM CST WED DEC 06 2006
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   LARGE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE WRN STATES...WITH
   THE RIDGE AXIS GRADUALLY SLIDING EAST BY THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...UPPER
   LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL DEEPEN OVER THE WRN GREAT LAKES...AS ANOTHER
   ARCTIC AIRMASS ACCELERATES INTO THE MID MS VALLEY BEHIND A COLD
   FRONT. SFC WINDS WILL BECOME SLY ACROSS THE SERN STATES...IN
   RESPONSE TO APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WITHIN SRN STREAM. AS A
   RESULT...SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
   SOUTHEAST TODAY. A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL PERSIST ACROSS SRN CA...AS
   WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES TODAY.
   
   ...SRN CA...
   MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 10 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED TODAY...WITH MAX
   TEMPS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. ALTHOUGH OFFSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
   TO BE FAIRLY WEAK...THE COMBINATION OF A WARM AND VERY DRY AIRMASS 
   WILL CREATE MARGINALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. 
   
   ...NRN AL/CNTRL GA...
   MOISTURE WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS WINDS BECOME
   SOUTHERLY. SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 50S ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
   SERN AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE. THE DRIEST CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND
   OVER PORTIONS OF NRN AL/NRN AND CNTRL GA WHERE DEWPOINTS WILL NOT
   HAVE RECOVERED BY PEAK HEATING. SFC WINDS WILL BE RELATIVELY
   WEAK...LIMITING POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 12/06/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 061002
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0402 AM CST WED DEC 06 2006
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN CA...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ECNTRL AL THROUGH CNTRL/SRN GA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST FROM THE GREAT
   LAKES REGION ON THURSDAY...WITH SIGNIFICANT LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS
   SPREADING FROM THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH MID-ATLANTIC STATES. ANOTHER
   SURGE OF COLD/DRY AIR WILL DIVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST...WITH STRONG
   POST-FRONTAL WINDS INCREASING FIRE CONCERNS ON THURSDAY.
   ADDITIONALLY...SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL INCREASE ACROSS SRN CA AS
   NEXT PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE WEST COAST. THIS MAY
   STRENGTHEN THE OFFSHORE WINDS THU AFTN THROUGH EARLY FRI MORNING AS
   VERY LOW HUMIDITY CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/INCREASING OFFSHORE
   WINDS/VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER CLASS VALUES
   
   POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST THAT OFFSHORE
   FLOW WILL INCREASE...PARTICULARLY AFTER 08/00Z. THIS SEEMS PLAUSIBLE
   GIVEN BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND
   APPROACH OF UPPER LOW. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO RANGE FROM
   10-15 PERCENT OVERNIGHT...AND LATEST OBSERVATIONS OF FIRE DANGER
   CLASS INDICATE VERY HIGH TO EXTREME VALUES. IF WINDS DO INCREASE
   COINCIDENT WITH LOW RH OVERNIGHT...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR CRITICAL
   FIRE CONDITIONS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - ECNTRL AL THROUGH CNTRL/SRN GA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG POST-FRONTAL WINDS/LOW HUMIDITY/HIGH KBDI
   VALUES
   
   POST-FRONTAL WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15-20 MPH ON THURSDAY...WITH
   HUMIDITY VALUES REMAINING LESS THAN 35 PERCENT. GREATEST POTENTIAL
   FOR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS WILL BE IN AREAS WHERE TEMPS ARE
   WARMEST ON THU...GENERALLY ACROSS SCNTRL PORTIONS OF AL/GA.
   
   ...TX HILL COUNTRY/SCNTRL TX...
   GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS COMBINED WITH LOWERING HUMIDITY MAY INCREASE
   FIRE CONCERNS ON THURSDAY. AS 1044MB HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
   SRN PLAINS BY EARLY EVENING...STRONG N/NE WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
   MUCH OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY THROUGH ERN/CNTRL TX. MAX TEMPS SHOULD
   CLIMB INTO THE 60S WITH DEWPOINTS FALLING INTO THE LOW/MID 20S AFTER
   FROPA. THIS MAY RESULT IN A PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY.
   EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT PERSISTS ACROSS THE REGION...AND LATEST
   FIRE DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST HIGH OR VERY HIGH VALUES.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 12/06/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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