Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 200841
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0241 AM CST TUE FEB 20 2007
VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
...SYNOPSIS...
MID-UPPER LEVEL LOW – NOW EVIDENT OVER PORTIONS ERN AZ/WRN NM – IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND MOVE EWD ACROSS SRN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH
MID-AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFT E OF REGION THEREAFTER. WEAK SFC COLD
FRONT – EXTENDING FROM SERN KS TO OK PANHANDLE AS OF 20/07Z – IS
FCST TO MOVE SWD ACROSS MUCH OF OK...TX PANHANDLE AND PORTIONS TX
SOUTH PLAINS...BECOMING DIFFUSE FARTHER WWD OVER NERN NM. FRONT
SHOULD STALL AND DISSIPATE OVER SRN HIGH PLAINS DURING LATTER HALF
OF PERIOD...AMIDST WEAK SFC WINDS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS W-CENTRAL/SW TX AND EXTREME
SERN NM...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW MIN RH...GUSTY WINDS 20-25 MPH...DRY/DORMANT
FUELS
...PORTIONS W-CENTRAL/SW TX...SE NM...
ISOLATED...VERY LIGHT RAINFALL MAY MOVE OVER PORTIONS OF THIS AREA
EARLY IN PERIOD...IN ASSOCIATION WITH MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW NOW MOVING
EWD ACROSS AZ/NM. ANY SUCH EARLY PRECIP LOCALLY MAY DELAY DIURNAL
DRYING OF 10 H FUELS...THOUGH MOST AREAS SHOULD ESCAPE RAINFALL. IN
EITHER EVENT...HOWEVER...LONG-DORMANT GRASSLANDS AND BRUSH ACROSS
THIS REGION SHOULD BECOME SUFFICIENTLY DRY TO SUPPORT SOME FIRE
POTENTIAL UNDER AND BEHIND MID/UPPER TROUGH. BY MID-AFTERNOON...MIN
RH SHOULD DROP BELOW 20 PERCENT ACROSS MUCH OF W TX AND ERN NM.
MAIN LIMITING FACTOR FOR ORGANIZED WILDFIRE THREAT MAY BE LACK OF
MORE ROBUST WINDS...THOUGH MAX OF AROUND 20-25 MPH IS EXPECTED FOR A
FEW HOURS LATE MORNING THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING.
WINDS ALSO SHOULD WEAKEN WITH NWD EXTENT ACROSS PANHANDLE/SOUTH
PLAINS REGION...ESPECIALLY NEAR AND N OF TRAILING PORTION OF
FRONT...AND BENEATH ONSET OF SHORTWAVE RIDGING ALOFT.
..EDWARDS.. 02/20/2007
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 200931
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0331 AM CST TUE FEB 20 2007
VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
MID-UPPER LEVEL LOW -- NOW EVIDENT OVER PORTIONS ERN AZ/WRN NM -- IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND MOVE EWD ACROSS GULF COAST REGION THROUGH
DAY2...WHILE NRN STREAM TROUGH MOVES ESEWD ACROSS NRN MN AND UPPER
GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL LEAVE MID-UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER MUCH OF
ROCKIES AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS...WHILE MAJOR SYNOPTIC TROUGH
DEEPENS OVER NERN PACIFIC WATERS.
AT SFC...WEAK COLD FRONT -- EXTENDING FROM SERN KS TO EXTREME NRN TX
PANHANDLE AS OF 20/09Z -- IS FCST TO MOVE SWD ACROSS OK AND N TX
DAY-1...THEN DISSIPATE THROUGH DAY-2. MEANWHILE...STRONG SFC LOW
WILL MOVE ESEWD ACROSS NRN MN AND LAKES SUPERIOR/HURON...AHEAD OF
UPPER TROUGH. SEASONALLY WARM CONDITIONS...AFTERNOON RH DROPPING
UNDER 20 PERCENT...AND DRY/DORMANT 10 H FUELS...WILL PERSIST ACROSS
PORTIONS SRN HIGH PLAINS. HOWEVER...WEAK SFC WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
PRECLUDE ORGANIZED FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
..EDWARDS.. 02/20/2007
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...