Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 031028
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0428 AM CST SAT MAR 03 2007
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
WITHIN THE LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE
CONUS...A SHEARED SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DIVE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST STATES TODAY. COINCIDENT WITH AN
UPPER RIDGE BUILDING INTO THE WESTERN STATES...AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND FROM THE GREAT BASIN/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TO
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND LOW RH
IN THE WAKE OF A DRY COLD FRONT...GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS AND A DRY
AIRMASS WILL LEAD TO CRITICAL CONDITIONS ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN TX TODAY. MODEST HEATING...WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM
AROUND 60 ACROSS CENTRAL TX TO THE MIDDLE 70S ACROSS FAR SOUTH
TX...WILL ALLOW RH VALUES TO DROP TO CRITICAL LEVELS THIS
AFTERNOON...AS LOW AS 15 PERCENT ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY. SUSTAINED
NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20-25 MPH WILL BE LIKELY WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON WHEN TEMPERATURES ARE
WARMEST.
...SOUTHERN CA/SOUTHERN AZ...
ON THE FRINGE OF A NORTHERLY MID LEVEL JET...GUSTY
OFFSHORE/DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS OF
SOUTHERN CA...AS WELL AS MUCH OF THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY AND
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/SOUTHERN AZ. AMIDST A STRONG OFFSHORE
GRADIENT/SANTA ANA REGIME...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LIKELY ACROSS
THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS/VALLEYS OF SOUTHERN CA TODAY...WHERE
SIGNIFICANT WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. WITH THE STRONG
WINDS AND MILDER TEMPERATURES/MODESTLY LOW RH VALUES...LOCALIZED
CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR IN AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED
RELATIVELY LITTLE PRECIPITATION.
TO THE EAST...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15-20 MPH FROM THE CO
RIVER VALLEY INTO CENTRAL/SOUTHERN AZ ALONG/SOUTHWEST OF THE
MOGOLLON RIM. THIS WILL PRODUCE NEAR CRITICAL FIRE
CONDITIONS WITH DROUGHT PERSISTING.
...SOUTHEAST STATES INCLUDING THE CAROLINAS INTO SOUTHERN VA...
DRY WESTERLY FLOW AND CONTINENTAL TRAJECTORIES WILL DOMINATE A LARGE
PORTION OF THE SOUTHEAST STATES THROUGH THE PERIOD. WHILE
NEAR-CRITICAL RH VALUES ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS NORTHERN FL INTO
ADJACENT PORTIONS OF GA/AL...THE LOWEST RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON ARE
EXPECTED AMIDST STRONG DOWNSLOPE FLOW ACROSS THE PIEDMONT/COASTAL
PLAIN AREAS OF SC/NC/SOUTHERN VA. ACROSS THE CAROLINAS/SOUTHERN
VA...RH VALUES AS LOW AS THE TEENS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 20-25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IN SPITE OF THE GUSTY
WINDS AND/OR LOW RH VALUES TODAY...IT APPEARS THAT THE OVERALL FIRE
THREAT WILL BE LARGELY MITIGATED BY THE RECENT PRECIPITATION.
..GUYER.. 03/03/2007
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 031123
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0523 AM CST SAT MAR 03 2007
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN AZ...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER RIDGE IS FORECAST TO DAMPEN OVER THE WESTERN STATES ON
SUNDAY...WHILE IN THE EAST...THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS SPREADS EASTWARD
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND SOUTHEAST STATES. ALTHOUGH GRADUALLY
WEAKENING ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...EXPANSIVE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL REMAIN DOMINANT FROM THE GREAT BASIN TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
SOUTHEAST STATES.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SOUTHERN AZ...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS AND LOW RH
WITH A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT VIA HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...STRONG EASTERLY DOWNSLOPE WINDS /SUSTAINED
15-20 MPH OR GREATER/ ARE LIKELY ACROSS SOUTHERN AZ ON SUNDAY. IN
ADDITION TO THE GUSTY WINDS...THE DOWNSLOPE TRAJECTORIES WILL LEAD
TO WARMER/DRIER CONDITIONS. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S ARE
LIKELY SOUTH/SOUTHWEST OF THE RIM...WITH VERY LOW RH VALUES DROPPING
INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS.
...COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN CA...
VIA THE STRONG OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT...VERY GUSTY SANTA ANA
WINDS ARE LIKELY TO BE ONGOING SUNDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY
THROUGH/BELOW FAVORED MOUNTAIN PASSES AND CANYONS. ALTHOUGH
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD /AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 70S/ WITH LOW
RH VALUES...THE OFFSHORE GRADIENT WILL GRADUALLY RELAX BY THE LATTER
PART OF THE PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST. LOCALIZED CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN AREAS THAT
HAVE REMAINED PRECIPITATION-FREE OF LATE.
...SOUTHEAST STATES...
A DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST STATES ON
SUNDAY...WITH A DRIER AIRMASS DEVELOPING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE FL
PENINSULA IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. AMIDST WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS
OF 10-15 MPH...AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL BE AROUND 25 PERCENT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF AL/GA/SC/FAR NORTHERN FL...RANGING TO 30-35 PERCENT
ACROSS INTERIOR CENTRAL FL.
..GUYER.. 03/03/2007
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...