Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 280852
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0352 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2007
   
   VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NM/CO...EXTRM WESTERN
   TX/OK PANHANDLES/KS...EXTRM SW NB...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A VIGOROUS EARLY SPRING STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
   UNITED STATES DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD...BRINGING STRONG TO SEVERE
   THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE MIDWEST. ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM WILL BE A
   SURFACE DRYLINE THAT WILL DEVELOP DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY AND
   WILL BE LOCATED FROM SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA SOUTHWARD INTO THE TEXAS
   PANHANDLE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING...AND CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE DRYLINE. ELSEWHERE...AN OCCLUDED
   FRONT WILL EXIST FROM SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA TO SOUTH CAROLINA...AND
   SOME RAIN AND POSSIBLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED IN THE OHIO
   RIVER VALLEY MAINLY NORTH OF THE FRONT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - EASTERN NM/CO...EXTRM WESTERN TX/OK
   PANHANDLES/KS...EXTRM SW NE...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG AND GUSTY SURFACE WINDS BEHIND DRYLINE
   
   MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT CONCERNING THE MOVEMENT AND TIMING OF
   THE STRONG LOW PRESSURE TROUGH EVOLVING INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED
   STATES...WITH THE CENTER OF THE TROUGH LOCATED ROUGHLY OVER THE FOUR
   CORNERS REGION BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH...AT THE
   SURFACE...A LEE TROUGH AND CYCLONE WILL DEVELOP. THE SURFACE CYCLONE
   WILL BE IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA BY 00Z/29...WITH A TRAILING DRYLINE
   SOUTHWARD THROUGH EXTREME WESTERN KANSAS...INTO THE EASTERN OKLAHOMA
   AND TEXAS PANHANDLES...THROUGH SOUTHWEST TEXAS. SURFACE WIND SPEEDS
   BEHIND THE DRYLINE WILL BE VERY STRONG AND GUSTY WITH SUSTAINED
   SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WIND SPEEDS AROUND 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH
   STRONGER GUSTS...MAINLY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
   HOURS. RH VALUES BEHIND THE DRYLINE ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 15 TO
   20 PERCENT...WITH SOME LOWER VALUES IN LOCALIZED AREAS...ESPECIALLY
   IN THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CRITICAL AREA /MAINLY OK..TX...NM/
   WHERE SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE HIGHEST. IN THE NORTHERN PORTION
   OF THE OUTLOOK /MAINLY CO..KS...NE/...THE CRITICAL AREA IS MORE
   CONDITIONAL...AS COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL HELP TO MITIGATE LOW RH
   VALUES.  HOWEVER...AREAS WHERE STRONG SURFACE WIND SPEEDS ARE
   COUPLED WITH AREAS OF LOW RH...A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER RISK WILL
   EXIST...IF ONLY FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME DURING THE LATE
   AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.
   
   ..LEVIT.. 03/28/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 281014
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0514 AM CDT WED MAR 28 2007
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE STRONG STORM SYSTEM THAT WAS PRESENT IN THE SOUTHWEST UNITED
   STATES DURING DAY1 WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE FORECAST
   PERIOD...FROM THE FOUR CORNERS AREA TO WYOMING. A REGION OF STRONG
   TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT
   THE DAY IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MIDWEST STATES...WITH A DRYLINE
   EXISTING FROM CENTRAL NEBRASKA SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND
   TEXAS. BEHIND THE DRYLINE...SURFACE WINDS WILL BE MUCH WEAKER THAN
   DURING THE PREVIOUS DAY...AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES IN
   RESPONSE TO A WEAKENING OF THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM. WHILE AREAS
   OF SOME LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL EXIST BEHIND THE
   DRYLINE...THE WEAK SURFACE WIND SPEEDS WILL HELP TO KEEP THE FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT TO A MINIMUM.
   
   ..LEVIT.. 03/28/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home