Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 020855
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0355 AM CDT MON APR 02 2007
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NERN AZ...FAR SERN UT...NRN/CNTRL
NM...SERN CO...FAR SWRN KS...WRN OK PANHANDLE...FAR WRN TX
PANHANDLE...
...SYNOPSIS...
A MID-LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL EJECT EWD FROM THE PACIFIC NW
ONTO THE NRN PLAINS BY TUE MORNING. A LEE SURFACE LOW WILL
STRENGTHEN OVER THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS AND A DRY LINE WILL MIX EWD
ACROSS THE WRN PORTIONS OF KS/OK/TX. AS THE SURFACE CYCLONE MOVES
EWD TOWARDS IA...A COLD FRONT WILL SURGE SEWD DURING THE
EVENING/OVERNIGHT AND REACH THE SRN HIGH PLAINS EARLY TUE.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - NERN AZ...FAR SERN UT...NRN/CNTRL
NM...SERN CO...FAR SWRN KS...WRN OK PANHANDLE...FAR WRN TX
PANHANDLE...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH / GUSTY WINDS / ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES
A WARM AND DRY AIR MASS ACROSS THE SWRN STATES WILL SPREAD FARTHER
E/NEWD TODAY UNDER W/SWLY LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW. MID-LEVEL WINDS WILL
STRENGTHEN AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH DIGS SLIGHTLY THIS MORNING OVER
THE NRN ROCKIES. ALTHOUGH THE CRITICAL AREA WILL BE ON THE SRN
PERIPHERY OF STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW /AROUND 40 TO 50 MPH AT H5/...A
DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH SHOULD BE COMMON WITH ENHANCED SPEEDS NEAR
HIGHER TERRAIN. WIDESPREAD RH VALUES OF 8 TO 15 PERCENT ARE LIKELY
AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 80S ON THE PLAINS WITH 60S/70S FARTHER
W. SPRING GREENUP MAY MITIGATE THE OVERALL THREAT IN SOME
AREAS...HOWEVER SHORT-TERM DRYNESS ACROSS THE WRN HIGH PLAINS AND
LONG-TERM DROUGHT IN THE FOUR CORNERS AREA SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR
POTENTIAL CRITICAL CONDITIONS. ALTHOUGH SOME BOUNDARY LAYER
DECOUPLING WILL OCCUR DURING THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT...A STRENGTHENING
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD MAINTAIN LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS ALONG
THE HIGH PLAINS. THIS WILL SUPPORT POOR OVERNIGHT RH
RECOVERY...UNTIL A COLD FRONT PLUNGES SWD BETWEEN 09-12Z ON TUESDAY
MORNING AND WINDS SWITCH TO THE N.
...CNTRL/SERN AZ AND SRN NM...
ALTHOUGH WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE...WIND SPEEDS SHOULD
REMAIN MODEST AND PRECLUDE A WIDESPREAD CRITICAL THREAT THIS
AFTERNOON. LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL BE WEAKER COMPARED WITH THE
CRITICAL AREA...THUS SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS SHOULD ONLY REACH 12 TO
20 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE-NORMAL ONCE AGAIN INTO THE
70S/80S. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL DROP TO 6 TO 12 PERCENT.
...MOST OF THE TX PANHANDLE AND S PLAINS OF TX...
VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND AN
EWD-MOVING DRY LINE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL INTO THE 80S WITH RH
VALUES DROPPING TO AROUND 15 PERCENT. SWLY WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE
TO AROUND 20 MPH. WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OVER THE PAST
WEEK...SPRING GREEN-UP...AND ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE
PAST SEVERAL MONTHS WILL LIKELY MITIGATE THE OVERALL FIRE WEATHER
THREAT.
..GRAMS.. 04/02/2007
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 020946
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0446 AM CDT MON APR 02 2007
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS APPEAR UNLIKELY ACROSS THE CONUS ON
TUESDAY. A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO BE CENTERED
OVER THE NRN PLAINS EARLY TUE. THIS TROUGH WILL DEEPEN AS IT
PROGRESSES EWD TOWARDS THE WRN GREAT LAKES...WHILE UPSTREAM RIDGING
BUILDS OVER THE WRN CONUS. AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE
E/NEWD FROM IA TOWARDS THE ERN GREAT LAKES. AN ELONGATED COLD FRONT
WILL MARCH SEWD REACHING THE APPALACHIANS AND WRN/CNTRL GULF COAST
STATES BY 12Z WED AS ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE PLUNGES SWD INTO THE NRN
PLAINS. WARM AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS ARE APT TO REMAIN ACROSS THE
SRN ROCKIES THROUGH SWRN TX AHEAD OF THE FRONT. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL
BE LIGHT WITH RIDGING ALOFT AND A WEAK SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
..GRAMS.. 04/02/2007
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...