Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 040857
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0357 AM CDT WED APR 04 2007
   
   VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE TODAY WILL BE UPPER/SURFACE LOW ACROSS THE
   GREAT LAKES. A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND SWD ALONG THE ERN SEABOARD BY
   LATE TODAY WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS BUT DRIER AIR WILL SPREAD IN
   BEHIND THIS FRONT WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE PLAINS AND
   MIDWEST. TO THE W...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL EXIST OVER THE GREAT
   BASIN/DESERT SW AND WILL ALLOW VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS TO
   PERSIST.
   
   ...VA INTO THE CAROLINAS...
   NEAR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS WILL EXIST TODAY ON A LOCAL SCALE DUE
   TO STRONG WINDS AND MARGINALLY LOW RH. SUSTAINED WLY WINDS OF 20-25
   MPH ARE LIKELY WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH AS TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE
   70S AND LOWER 80S AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH. THE RH FORECAST IS
   COMPLICATED BY THE LIKELIHOOD OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS TODAY
   DEVELOPING WITH THIS TROUGH. EVEN SO...AT LEAST MARGINALLY CRITICAL
   VALUES ARE EXPECTED NEAR 30 PERCENT WITH SOME LOCATIONS DROPPING
   FROM 25-30 PERCENT WHERE IT DOESNT RAIN.
   
   ...NWRN AR INTO FAR ERN OK...
   IT WILL BE MILD AND DRY IN POST FRONTAL REGIME AS HIGH PRESSURE
   BUILDS IN FROM THE N. NWLY WINDS SUSTAINED NEAR 15 MPH WILL BE
   COMMON WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MIN RH VALUES BY AFTERNOON SHOULD BE FROM
   20-30 PERCENT. RELATIVELY LITTLE PRECIPITATION HAS FALLEN OVER THE
   PAST SEVERAL WEEKS NWRN AR INTO ERN OK WITH MODERATE KBDI VALUES
   DEVELOPING.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 04/04/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 040959
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0459 AM CDT WED APR 04 2007
   
   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN GA INTO NRN FL...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   IT WILL BE DRY AND COOL IN WAKE OF PREVIOUS DAYS COLD FRONT OVER
   MUCH OF THE ERN CONUS.  THIS FRONT WILL BE WELL OFFSHORE BUT TAIL
   END WILL BE OVER SRN FL WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE. FARTHER
   N...IT WILL BE VERY DRY NRN FL INTO GA AND THE CAROLINAS WHERE
   PRECIPITATION FELL PREVIOUS DAY. ELSEWHERE...IT WILL REMAIN VERY
   WARM AND DRY UNDER UPPER RIDGE AXIS ACROSS THE WRN CONUS WITH SOME
   INCREASE IN WINDS FOUR CORNERS REGION DUE TO GLANCING UPPER
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH INTO CO.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN GA INTO NRN FL...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY LOW RH...DROUGHT...SOME WIND
   
   ...SRN GA INTO NRN FL / CAROLINAS...
   LOCALIZED CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY IN A POST FRONTAL REGIME.
   NWLY WINDS WILL AVERAGE NEAR 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RH WILL DROP
   WELL INTO THE 20 PERCENT RANGE WITH SOME AREAS DIPPING INTO THE
   UPPER TEENS. COMPLICATING FACTOR TO CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS WILL BE
   PRECIPITATION THAT WILL OCCUR ON PREVIOUS DAY ALONG THE FRONT WHICH
   WILL TEMPER THE THREAT. HOWEVER...SOME AREAS MAY NOT RECEIVE MUCH
   RAIN WITH ENHANCED THREAT GIVEN DROUGHT IN PLACE.
   
   ...FOUR CORNERS AREA INTO NWRN NM...
   WINDS WILL INCREASE AS A WEAK LOW AMPLITUDE UPPER SHORTWAVE SKIMS
   ERN EDGE OF UPPER RIDGE. SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS AROUND 15 MPH APPEAR
   LIKELY WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE AIR MASS REMAINS VERY DRY IN THE
   REGION WITH AFTERNOON RH LEVELS DROPPING TO NEAR 10 PERCENT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 04/04/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home