Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 100849
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0349 AM CDT TUE APR 10 2007
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   SEVERAL DAYS OF WINDY WEATHER ARE FORECAST ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND
   SRN PLAINS...AS A SERIES OF STORM SYSTEMS APPROACH FROM THE WRN
   CONUS. EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR LOOPS DEPICT A SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW
   CROSSING THE NRN ROCKIES...AND ANOTHER ONE ACROSS W TX. UPSTREAM...A
   60-80KT MID LEVEL JET NOW EXTENDS FROM THE GREAT BASIN WWD TO NRN
   CA. THIS JET STREAK WILL REACH THE SRN HIGH PLAINS THIS AFTN...WITH
   MAIN UPPER WAVE DEEPENING ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS. AT THE SFC...LEE
   SIDE LOW WILL DEEPEN OVER THE TX PANHANDLE THIS AFTN...AS A PACIFIC
   COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH ACROSS NRN AZ/NRN NM AND A DRYLINE MIXES EAST
   ACROSS W TX. NEAR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TODAY MAINLY
   ACROSS ERN PORTIONS OF NM/W TX...WEST OF THE DRYLINE.
   
   ...PORTIONS OF NRN/ERN NM AND FAR W TX...
   SUSTAINED SFC WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL
   DEVELOP FROM THE WRN MOGOLLON RIM THROUGH MUCH OF NM AND FAR W TX.
   IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NRN AZ...MAX TEMPS WILL ONLY CLIMB INTO
   THE MID/UPPER 50S THROUGH 60S...AND MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL NOT FALL
   BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS. HOWEVER IN NM...TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM
   THE 40S/50S IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TO 70S/80S IN THE LOWER
   ELEVATIONS /SERN NM THROUGH W TX/. 
   
   THE VERY STRONG WINDS WILL INCREASE FIRE CONCERNS ACROSS THE
   AREA...BUT PARTICULARLY SO ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS OF ERN NM AND W TX
   WHERE RECENT FIRE DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS HAVE INDICATED HIGH TO
   EXTREME VALUES AND WHERE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE THE LOWEST. MINIMUM
   RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 20-25 PERCENT IN THESE
   AREAS...WHICH WILL BE MARGINAL FOR A CRITICAL FIRE OUTLOOK.
   HOWEVER...THE THREAT FOR WIND DRIVEN WILDFIRE WILL CERTAINLY BE
   INCREASED TODAY.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 04/10/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 100854
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0354 AM CDT TUE APR 10 2007
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN CA/SRN NV/NRN AZ...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN THE ERN PACIFIC /NOW NEAR 45N 154W PER
   WV LOOPS/ WILL APPROACH THE WEST COAST BY WEDNESDAY. TROUGH AXIS
   WILL MOVE ONSHORE BY WED AFTN...WITH NOSE OF 60-70 KT MID LEVEL JET
   DIGGING ACROSS THE SRN GREAT BASIN. VIGOROUS LARGE SCALE HEIGHT
   FALLS WILL SUPPORT LOW LEVEL CYCLOGENESIS ACROSS SRN NV. SFC LOW
   WILL TRACK ALONG A BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDING NEAR THE UT/AZ STATE
   LINE ON WED AFTN WITH PERHAPS A SECONDARY LOW FORMING ACROSS NERN
   NM. VERY STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SRN GREAT BASIN AND
   NRN AZ AND CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SERN CA/SRN NV/NRN AZ...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS/MIN RH
   VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/SEVERE LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE BY LATE MORNING THROUGH AFTN ACROSS
   PORTIONS OF SERN CA/SRN NV AND NRN AZ IN RESPONSE TO APPROACHING
   UPPER LEVEL JET. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS ABOVE 40 MPH POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...MAX TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM
   THE 60S/70S IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...RESULTING IN RH VALUES FALLING
   BELOW 15 PERCENT. SEVERE LONG TERM DROUGHT PERSISTS ACROSS THE
   REGION...AND CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY FOR THE LOWER
   ELEVATIONS...GENERALLY BELOW 6000 FEET.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 04/10/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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