Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 150945
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0445 AM CDT SUN APR 15 2007
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN AZ/SWRN NM...
...SYNOPSIS...
VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWEST...AS A STRONG UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM
SRN CA. UPPER LOW WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY
BY LATE AFTN...ACCOMPANIED BY A 75KT MID LEVEL JET MAX. SFC LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEEPEN WITH COLD FRONT MOVING INTO SERN AZ THIS
AFTN. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...SELY SFC WINDS WILL VEER TO SWLY THROUGH
THE DAY WITH GUSTS ABOVE 35-40 MPH POSSIBLE. ELSEWHERE...MID LEVEL
RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF THE CONUS WITH A LARGE UPPER
TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE OH VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST. STRONG
POST-FRONTAL WINDS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE BUT MARGINAL
RH VALUES AND RECENT RAIN /AT LEAST FOR SOME LOCATIONS/ WILL LOWER
POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS TODAY.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN AZ/SWRN NM...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SFC WINDS 25-35 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS/MIN RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
ALTHOUGH MAX TEMPS ARE FORECAST TO BE NEAR NORMAL...SUSTAINED WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO 25-35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE...INCREASING
THE THREAT FOR WIND DRIVEN FIRES. LATEST FIRE DANGER CLASS VALUES
RANGE FROM HIGH TO EXTREME ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN AZ. MIN HUMIDITY
VALUES ARE AGAIN FORECAST TO DROP BELOW 10-15 PERCENT...WITH SINGLE
DIGIT VALUES IN SOME LOCATIONS. FARTHER EAST ACROSS SERN NM AND FAR
W TX...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THOUGH WINDS WILL NOT BE
QUITE AS STRONG.
...NRN AZ/REST OF NM/FAR W TX...
VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TODAY...WITH LOW HUMIDITY
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. HOWEVER...DROUGHT CONDITIONS
ARE NOT AS SEVERE ACROSS NRN/CNTRL NM AS FARTHER WEST...AND IT
APPEARS THAT THE GREATEST FIRE THREAT WILL BE ACROSS THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS OF SERN NM/FAR W TX WHERE A PERIOD OF NEAR CRITICAL FIRE
CONDITIONS IS POSSIBLE. COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL LOWER FIRE THREAT
ACROSS NRN AZ DESPITE THE GUSTY WINDS.
..TAYLOR.. 04/15/2007
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 150949
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0449 AM CDT SUN APR 15 2007
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN NM/FAR W TX...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NRN/CNTRL FL...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE WEST WILL CONTINUE TO ADVANCE INTO
THE HIGH PLAINS...AS ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL JET DIGS EVEN FARTHER
SOUTH AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH BY EARLY MONDAY. LEE TROUGH WILL
DEEPEN IN RESPONSE ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...WITH INCREASING
S/SELY WINDS ACROSS NM AND WRN TX. FARTHER EAST...STRONG WINDS ARE
FORECAST ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST AS DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM IN THE NORTHEAST MAINTAINS STRONG GRADIENT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN NM/FAR W TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SFC WINDS 20-30 MPH/MIN RH VALUES
BELOW 15 PERCENT/HIGH BASED TSTMS
SFC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA ON MONDAY...WITH
INCREASING S/SELY WINDS VEERING TO SWLY LATER IN THE DAY. SUSTAINED
WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE AFTN. WITH
MAX TEMPS IN THE 70S...MIN RH VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 15 PERCENT.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ON
MONDAY. IN ADDITION...HIGH BASED TSTMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS
SRN NM DURING THE AFTN/EVENING. THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES SHOW
INVERTED-V STRUCTURES....WHICH WOULD SUGGEST ISOLD DRY LIGHTNING
STRIKES ARE POSSIBLE.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - NRN/CNTRL FL...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-25 MPH/MIN RH VALUES BELOW 30
PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 30-35 PERCENT ON MONDAY...AS
DEWPOINTS WILL ONLY BE IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SUSTAINED WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO 20-25 MPH...WITH TEMPS IN THE 70S. RECENT KBDI
VALUES HAVE BEEN VERY HIGH ACROSS NEARLY THE ENTIRE STATE OF FL.
CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NRN/CNTRL FL AS A RESULT OF THE WINDY/DRY CONDITIONS AND EXISTING
DRY FUELS.
..TAYLOR.. 04/15/2007
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...