Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 130958
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0458 AM CDT SUN MAY 13 2007
VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN UT/NW AZ...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LOW/TROUGH...NOW LOCATED IN WRN WA...WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST
TODAY INTO SRN ALBERTA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. UPPER TROUGH AXIS
WILL EXTEND FROM NRN ID INTO NWRN NV BY LATE AFTN...WITH A SFC COLD
FRONT FROM WY THROUGH CNTRL NV. A BAND OF MODERATELY STRONG
MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH WITH WIND
SPEEDS FROM 40-50 KT AT 500MB. CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS SRN UT/NRN AZ DUE TO DRY FUELS AT LOWER ELEVATIONS AND
WINDY/DRY WEATHER. A MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE THE DOMINANT FEATURE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REST OF THE COUNTRY. VERY STRONG SFC WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH A DEEPENING SFC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS...BUT HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE
CRITICAL LEVELS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN UT/NW AZ...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS/MIN
RH VALUES BELOW 10 PERCENT/CRITICALLY DRY FUELS
OVERALL CONDITIONS MAY NOT BE AS SEVERE AS YESTERDAY...BUT DUE TO
CRITICALLY DRY FUELS...AN OUTLOOK AREA IS WARRANTED. MINIMUM RH
VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 10 PERCENT AS YESTERDAY...WITH TEMPS AGAIN
CLIMBING INTO THE 80S/90S. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE A MAINLY
UNIDIRECTIONAL PROFILE...WITH THE POTENTIAL TO MIX DOWN HIGHER
MOMENTUM AIR TO THE SFC. IT DOES APPEAR THE WINDIER CONDITIONS WILL
BE ACROSS THE UT PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.
...SRN ME...
LOCAL OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT FIRE DANGER CLASS VALUES ARE HIGH OR
VERY HIGH ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THE STATE...ESPECIALLY IN THE NRN
AND WRN SECTIONS. MINIMUM RH VALUES TODAY WILL LIKELY BOTTOM OUT IN
THE 25-30 PERCENT RANGE WITH HIGH TEMPS IN THE 50S/60S. SUSTAINED NW
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10-15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE AFTN ABOVE
20-25 MPH. WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE NOT
EXPECTED...THOUGH THE COMBINATION OF DRY FUELS AND WINDY/DRY WEATHER
WILL INCREASE FIRE RISK LOCALLY. DRY AND RELATIVELY WINDY CONDITIONS
ARE ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS SRN NEW ENGLAND.
..TAYLOR.. 05/13/2007
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 130959
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0459 AM CDT SUN MAY 13 2007
VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER TROUGH BEGINS TO OPEN UP AS IT ADVANCES EAST ACROSS MT AND WRN
ND ON MONDAY INTO THE NRN PLAINS. UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO REDEVELOP IN
THE WEST...WITH MID LEVEL RIDGE AFFECTING THE NORTHEAST STATES EARLY
IN THE PERIOD. SFC FEATURES OF INTEREST INCLUDE A DEVELOPING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST
THROUGH THE CNTRL/HIGH PLAINS. VERY STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE
WARM SECTOR OF THIS SYSTEM ON MONDAY...BUT PRECIPITATION WITH THE
FRONT AND HIGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL LESSEN THE FIRE WEATHER
THREAT. STRONG SWLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF ANOTHER APPROACHING
FRONT IN THE NORTHEAST...AND NEAR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS MAY BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF ME/NH/VT/MA/CT.
...NEW ENGLAND STATES...
DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY ACROSS THE REGION
AS A WARM FRONT SLOWLY MOVES NORTH. MAX TEMPS WILL CLIMB INTO THE
50S IN NRN ME AND 60S/70S ELSEWHERE...WITH MIN RH VALUES FALLING
BELOW 25-30 PERCENT. PORTIONS OF THE AREA /SRN VT AND SRN NH AND ERN
NY/ HAVE HAD SOME WETTING RAINS OVER THE PAST WEEK...BUT OTHER
LOCATIONS IN ME AND ERN MA HAVE NOT. THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR
A POTENTIAL CRITICAL AREA IN THE NEXT OUTLOOK.
..TAYLOR.. 05/13/2007
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...