Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 210950
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0450 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2007
VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NRN AZ/WRN CO/SRN AND ERN UT...
...SYNOPSIS...
EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW CLOSED UPPER LOW NOW
APPROACHING THE COLUMBIA BASIN IN WA/ORE. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE E/SE
TODAY AND BE LOCATED IN WRN WY BY EARLY TUE. MID LEVEL JET STREAK
WILL ACCOMPANY THE UPPER LOW...WITH WINDS INCREASING TO 60-70 KT
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. IN THE ERN CONUS...UPPER RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY
IN RESPONSE TO WRN STORM. SFC LOW WILL DEEPEN ACROSS THE WRN DAKOTAS
WITH COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWWD FROM THE LOW INTO SCNTRL UT/SRN NV BY
LATE AFTN. SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVER THE TN
VALLEY BUT VERY LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ENHANCE FIRE CONCERNS IN
THE SOUTHEAST.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - NRN AZ/WRN CO/SRN AND ERN UT...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS/MIN
RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT/ISOLD DRY TSTMS
SFC COLD FRONT EXTENDED SW FROM A LOW IN CNTRL WY THROUGH NRN UT AND
SE OF ELKO NV THIS MORNING. SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY TODAY...WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO AT LEAST 15-25 MPH...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SRN UT/NRN AZ AND WRN CO. INVOF OF THE FRONT...THERE
WILL BE A SHARP WIND SHIFT AS WINDS BECOME W/NW AND REMAIN GUSTY
BEHIND THE FRONT. MAX TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE 80S/90S IN THE LOWER
TERRAIN SOUTH OF THE FRONT AND 60S/70S NORTH OF THE FRONT OR IN
HIGHER ELEVATIONS...BUT MIN RH VALUES ACROSS THE REGION WILL FALL
BELOW 15 PERCENT. SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITY VALUES ARE LIKELY ACROSS SRN
UT/WRN CO. SUFFICIENT MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ALSO BE PRESENT TO
SUPPORT ISOLD TSTMS. THIS WILL BE MOST LIKELY INVOF OF THE
FRONT...FROM ECNTRL NV INTO WRN/CNTRL UT. GIVEN RELATIVELY HIGH
BASES OF TSTMS AND DRY SUB-CLOUD LAYER...ISOLD DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES
ARE POSSIBLE.
...PLAINS...
VERY STRONG WINDS ARE FORECAST TODAY ACROSS THE PLAINS WITH SPEEDS
RANGING FROM 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOWEVER...MINIMUM RH
VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS IN MOST LOCATIONS. THE
DRIEST CONDITIONS WILL BE ACROSS THE NEB PANHANDLE AND WRN
DAKOTAS...WHERE MODERATE LONG TERM DROUGHT PERSISTS. THERE WILL BE
AN ELEVATED RISK FOR WIND DRIVEN WILDFIRES IF IGNITIONS OCCUR.
...SOUTHEAST...
MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 20 PERCENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
CAROLINAS/GA/AL/FL PANHANDLE. THE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE
FOR MOST OF THIS REGION. SLIGHTLY STRONGER ELY WINDS ARE LIKELY
ACROSS THE ERN COASTAL AREAS OF FL BUT HIGHER HUMIDITY WILL HELP
OFFSET THE FIRE IMPACT OF THE WINDS.
..TAYLOR.. 05/21/2007
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 210954
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0454 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2007
VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN GA/CNTRL AND ERN FL
PANHANDLE/CNTRL FL...
...SYNOPSIS...
WRN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES ON TUE AS LARGE
MID LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS ONTARIO/QUEBEC. SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL
DEEPEN IN RESPONSE TO LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS ACROSS THE
PLAINS...AND STRONG GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST. SFC WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE FROM THE
EAST ACROSS GA/FL...WITH CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE TUE AFTN.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN GA/CNTRL AND ERN FL
PANHANDLE/CNTRL FL...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT/SUSTAINED
WINDS 15-20 MPH/LONG TERM DROUGHT
IT APPEARS MINIMUM RH WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN IN THE LAST FEW
DAYS...BUT VALUES STILL MAY FALL NEAR OR BELOW 35 PERCENT WITH
TEMP/DEWPOINT SPREADS ON THE ORDER OF 30 DEGREES. SFC WINDS WILL BE
STRONGER THAN ON MONDAY...WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15-20 MPH
POSSIBLE. A CRITICAL OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED GIVEN NUMEROUS ONGOING
LARGE FIRES/KBDI VALUES ABOVE 500 AND LOW HUMIDITY COMBINED WITH
MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS.
...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
SFC DRYLINE WILL MIX EWD ON TUE AFTN...WITH CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY
VALUES AND STRONG SW WINDS. HOWEVER...RECENT PRECIPITATION WILL
OFFSET THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE FIRES.
..TAYLOR.. 05/21/2007
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...