Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 060912
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0412 AM CDT FRI JUL 06 2007
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CA SIERRAS AND CENTRAL/EASTERN ORE
   INTO WESTERN NV AND ID/SOUTHWEST MT FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR INTERIOR SOUTHERN CA/SOUTHERN
   NV...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CENTRAL/EASTERN UT AND NORTHERN AZ
   FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CENTRAL/EASTERN WA AND NORTHEAST
   ORE INTO NORTHERN ID/NORTHWEST MT...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   POTENTIALLY ACTIVE FIRE WEATHER DAY ANTICIPATED TODAY ACROSS A LARGE
   PORTION OF THE WESTERN STATES. PROMINENT UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
   WESTERN STATES WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN...LARGELY OWING TO A
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSING THE WESTERN CANADIAN PROVINCES. AN UPPER
   LOW CROSSING NORTHERN CA IS EXPECTED TO INDUCE DRY THUNDERSTORMS
   ACROSS THE CA SIERRAS/ORE CASCADES INTO ID/WESTERN MT. OTHER MAINLY
   DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN UT
   AND NORTHERN AZ.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - CA SIERRAS AND CENTRAL/EASTERN ORE
   INTO WESTERN NV AND ID/SOUTHWEST MT...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND HOT/DRY CONDITIONS
   
   WITH SUFFICIENT MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR
   ASCENT...AN UPPER LOW CROSSING NORTHERN CA IS EXPECTED TO YIELD
   ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING
   FROM THE CA SIERRAS AND CENTRAL/EASTERN ORE INTO WESTERN NV AND
   ID/SOUTHWEST MT. AMIDST HOT/DRY CONDITIONS...NEW FIRE STARTS ARE
   LIKELY GIVEN THE HIGH LIGHTNING IGNITION EFFICIENCIES. A HOT/DEEPLY
   MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER WILL PROMOTE STRONG DOWNDRAFTS...WITH
   GUSTY/ERRATIC WINDS NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - INTERIOR SOUTHERN CA/SOUTHERN NV...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY HOT/DRY CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY WINDS
   
   ON THE SOUTHEAST/EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LOW ACROSS NORTHERN
   CA...AN ENHANCED BELT OF MID LEVEL FLOW AND AMPLE PRESSURE GRADIENT
   WILL SUPPORT BROAD SCALE GUSTY SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS FROM INTERIOR
   CA INTO SOUTHERN NV TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN QUITE HOT...WITH
   NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES AGAIN POSSIBLE...AS WELL AS VERY LOW
   RH VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. IN ADDITION...A FEW STRAY DRY
   THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT ACROSS PORTIONS OF INTERIOR
   SOUTHERN CA/SOUTHERN NV.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - CENTRAL/EASTERN UT AND NORTHERN
   AZ...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS
   
   AS MID LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY DEVELOP WESTWARD
   THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS REGION...MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN
   LIKELY ACROSS CENTRAL/EASTERN UT AND NORTHERN AZ THIS
   AFTERNOON/EVENING. WITH LIMITED RAINFALL...NEW LIGHTNING IGNITIONS
   ARE POSSIBLE...IN ADDITION TO STRONG/GUSTY WINDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH
   THUNDERSTORM DOWNDRAFTS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - CENTRAL/EASTERN WA AND NORTHEAST ORE
   INTO NORTHERN ID/NORTHWEST MT...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: HOT/DRY CONDITIONS AND GUSTY WINDS
   
   AS THE UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN...MODERATELY STRONG/GUSTY WINDS ARE
   LIKELY EAST OF THE ORE/WA CASCADES INTO NORTHERN ID/NORTHWEST MT AS
   A COLD FRONT ADVANCES EASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION. IN ADDITION TO THE
   COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE/GUSTY WINDS...RECORD OR NEAR RECORD HEAT IN
   SOME LOCATIONS AND CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES WILL FURTHER COMPOUND
   THE HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER.
   
   ..GUYER.. 07/06/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 061014
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0514 AM CDT FRI JUL 06 2007
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CA SIERRAS/SOUTHEAST ORE/SOUTHERN
   ID/WESTERN WY AND MUCH OF NV/UT FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR INTERIOR SOUTHERN CA/SOUTHERN
   NV...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   WESTERN STATES UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN...WITH NEARLY
   ZONAL WESTERLIES BECOMING ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF
   STATES. AS ONE OR MORE SUBTLE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS PIVOT AROUND THE
   FLATTENING UPPER RIDGE...SCATTERED MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE
   AGAIN EXPECTED ACROSS THE CA SIERRA INTO THE GREAT BASIN AND
   ADJACENT INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - CA SIERRAS/SOUTHEAST ORE/SOUTHERN
   ID/WESTERN WY AND MUCH OF NV/UT...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND HOT/DRY CONDITIONS
   
   SIMILAR TO FRIDAY...SCATTERED MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
   ON SATURDAY FROM THE CA SIERRAS/SOUTHEAST ORE INTO MUCH OF NV/UT AND
   SOUTHERN ID/WESTERN WY. A WEAK UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PIVOT
   AROUND THE FLATTENING UPPER RIDGE...AND AMPLE LARGE SCALE ASCENT/MID
   LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SCATTERED MAINLY DRY
   THUNDERSTORMS GIVEN A HOT/DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER. WITH DROUGHT
   CONDITIONS IN MOST AREAS AND RECENT RECORD/NEAR RECORD HEAT...HIGH
   LIGHTNING EFFICIENCIES SUGGEST NEW FIRE STARTS ARE A DISTINCT
   POSSIBILITY. IN ADDITION...GUSTY/ERRATIC DOWNDRAFT WINDS CAN BE
   EXPECTED IN VICINITY OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - INTERIOR SOUTHERN CA/SOUTHERN NV...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: HOT TEMPERATURES/LOW RH AND GUSTY WINDS
   
   GIVEN THE FLATTENING UPPER RIDGE...TEMPERATURES MAY BE SLIGHTLY
   COOLER ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY...HOWEVER GENERAL PERSISTENCE
   OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND VERY LOW RH VALUES SUPPORTS A CONTINUANCE OF
   A CRITICAL FIRE RISK ACROSS PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHERN CA AND
   SOUTHERN NV. EXTREME DROUGHT EXISTS ACROSS MOST OF THIS REGION...AND
   MODERATE/GUSTY WINDS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED SATURDAY.
   
   ..GUYER.. 07/06/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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