Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 220851
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0351 AM CDT WED AUG 22 2007
   
   VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH WILL SAG SWD ACROSS THE WRN STATES INTO THE GREAT
   BASIN WITH A WEAK FRONT MOVING INTO THE NRN GREAT BASIN THIS
   AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR ISOLATED
   THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DRY. SOUTH OF THIS FRONT...VERY WARM AND DRY
   CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST...WITH LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS.
   
   FARTHER E...LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN OVER ERN CO/WRN KS AND WILL
   INDUCE VERY STRONG SLY WINDS ACROSS THE CNTRL AND SRN HIGH
   PLAINS...WHILE UPPER RIDGE REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE LOWER MS
   VALLEY/GULF COAST WITH VERY HOT AND DRY WEATHER AND PERSISTENT
   DROUGHT.
   
   ...NERN NV...NRN UT...SERN ID...WRN WY...
   AN APPROACHING TROUGH ALOFT AND WEAK SURFACE FRONT WILL RESULT IN
   ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON FROM NERN NV INTO NRN UT/SERN
   ID/WRN WY. THE GREATEST THREAT OF DRY LIGHTNING WILL BE FROM ERN NV
   INTO PORTIONS OF UT...WHERE SUB-CLOUD RH LEVELS WILL BE LOWEST. IN
   GENERAL...A MIXTURE OF DRY AND WET STORMS ARE EXPECTED. CRITICAL
   COVERAGE OF DRY LIGHTNING IS NOT ANTICIPATED THOUGH...GIVEN ONLY
   ISOLATED COVERAGE. ANY STRIKES WILL HAVE A HIGH IGNITION EFFICIENCY.
   
   
   ...SRN GREAT BASIN INTO NRN AZ/SRN CA...
   A VERY HOT...DRY AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON
   WITH A HIGH HAINES INDEX EXPECTED. SUSTAINED WINDS ON THE LARGE
   SCALE ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT OR BELOW 15 MPH...BUT HIGHER GUSTS
   WILL BE COMMON. THE GREATEST THREAT WILL BE FOR AFTERNOON PLUME
   DOMINATION WITH ONGOING FIRES.
   
   ..,.AL/GA/SC...
   VERY HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE UNDER UPPER RIDGE.
   TEMPERATURES OVER 100 F WILL RESULT IN MIN RH VALUES FROM 20-30
   PERCENT BY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT BUT LOW LEVELS WILL BE
   VERY UNSTABLE AND WILL FAVOR FIRE GROWTH.
   
   ...ERN MT...MD...NWRN MN...
   IT WILL BE COOL BUT WINDY AND DRY IN A POST FRONTAL REGIME.
   SUSTAINED WLY WINDS AROUND 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS
   WHILE TEMPERATURES APPROACH 80 F AND RH DROPS INTO THE 20 PERCENT
   RANGE MT/WRN ND AND NEAR 30 PERCENT NW MN...RESULTING IN A MARGINAL
   FIRE THREAT THIS AFTERNOON.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 08/22/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 220953
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0453 AM CDT WED AUG 22 2007
   
   VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NV...CNTRL UT...WRN CO...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY AND DIG SEWD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN
   RESULTING IN SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS FROM ERN NV ACROSS UT INTO
   WRN CO. WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE COLD
   FRONT...FROM THE SRN GREAT BASIN INTO NRN AZ AND SRN CA. FARTHER
   E...A VERY WARM AIR MASS WILL REMAIN FROM THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE
   LOWER MS VALLEY/GULF COAST AREA. VERY LOW RH WILL EXIST OVER
   PORTIONS OF TN/MS/AL/GA.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - ERN NV...CNTRL UT...WRN CO...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY WINDS
   
   LARGE SCALE LIFT WITH APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH ALONG WITH A SURFACE
   FRONT WILL HELP TO FOCUS AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON
   FROM ERN NV ACROSS UT INTO WRN CO. SOME STORMS ALONG AND NORTH OF
   THE COLD FRONT WILL HAVE RAIN...BUT THE SRN HALF OF THE AREA OF
   STORMS SHOULD BE DRY WITH LOW RH BELOW CLOUD BASE. IN
   ADDITION...SWLY WINDS OF 15-20 MPH ARE EXPECTED WHICH WILL FURTHER
   INCREASE FIRE DANGER.
   
   ...TN/MS/AL...
   UPPER RIDGE CENTER WILL REMAIN OVERHEAD AND WILL RESULT IN HOT AND
   DRY CONDITIONS. RH LEVELS WILL DROP TO CRITICALLY LOW LEVELS OF
   20-30 PERCENT BUT WINDS WILL BE LIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE FOR
   AFTERNOON FIRE GROWTH GIVEN A DEEPLY MIXED AND UNSTABLE BOUNDARY
   LAYER AND HIGH HAINES INDEX.
   
   ...SRN NV/UT...NWRN AZ...SRN CA...
   BORDERLINE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED ON
   THURSDAY AS UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES. WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH
   SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15-25 MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS. HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE
   FORECAST TO ONLY BE MARGINALLY LOW OVER MUCH OF AZ WITH AMPLE LOW
   LEVEL MOISTURE...BUT RH WILL DRY QUICKLY WITH WWD EXTEND TO NEAR 15
   PERCENT ACROSS THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY...SRN NV...SWRN UT AND SERN
   CA WHERE HOT TEMPERATURES WILL EXIST.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 08/22/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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