Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 310953
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0453 AM CDT FRI AUG 31 2007
   
   VALID 311200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE NRN ROCKIES...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE PAC NW THROUGH THE PERIOD. AHEAD
   OF THIS TROUGH...MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE NRN
   ROCKIES. THE INTERACTION OF THIS MOISTURE WITH THE FORCING AHEAD OF
   THE TROUGH WILL PRODUCE SCT TO NMRS TSTMS OVER THE NRN ROCKIES. A
   DEEPLY MIXED/DRY BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS THIS AREA WILL SUPPORT MAINLY
   DRY TSTMS...PRESENTING A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. ELSEWHERE
   ACROSS THE NATION...SCT TSTMS ARE EXPECTED FROM THE DESERT SW INTO
   THE SERN STATES.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - NRN ID...WRN/CENTRAL MT...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SCT DRY TSTMS
   
   AN UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM NRN CA/SRN ORE INTO THE NRN ROCKIES.
   SCT TSTMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
   ADDITIONAL AND A GREATER CONCENTRATION OF TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO
   DEVELOP AHEAD OF A STRONGER UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PAC NW.
   WHERE THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE THE DRIEST /WRN AND CENTRAL
   MT/...MOST OF THE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE DRY. FURTHER
   WEST...OVER NRN ID...GREATER MOISTURE WILL LIKELY LEAD TO A MIX OF
   WET/DRY TSTMS. STRENGTHENING MID LEVEL FLOW IN THIS AREA WILL
   SUPPORT FASTER STORM MOTIONS LEADING TO NMRS LIGHTNING STRIKES WITH
   LITTLE ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 08/31/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 310955
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0455 AM CDT FRI AUG 31 2007
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   IN THE WAKE OF A LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH...A SFC LEE TROUGH AND COLD
   FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NRN PLAINS. DRY AIR AND MODERATE WINDS
   WILL LEAD TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. FURTHER WEST...A
   SECONDARY UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE PAC NW. AHEAD OF AN
   ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...ISOLATED DRY TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NRN
   GREAT BASIN/INTERIOR PAC NW. ADDITIONAL ISOLATED DRY TSTMS WILL BE
   POSSIBLE OVER SRN CA AS MONSOONAL MOISTURE ROTATES AROUND THE BROAD
   UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SRN GREAT BASIN. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
   NATION...SCT TSTMS WILL AGAIN BE PRESENT OVER THE SERN STATES.
   
   ...NRN PLAINS...
   TO THE WEST OF A LEE TROUGH AND ALONG AND JUST BEHIND A COLD
   FRONT...WNWLY WINDS WILL GUST OVER 25 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. WARM
   TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S-MID 90S WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS
   AROUND 20 PERCENT.
   
   ...INTERIOR WA/ORE AND WRN ID...
   AHEAD OF A SECOND UPPER TROUGH...MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MOVE NWD
   INTO THE REGION. SCT TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE AREA
   DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
   INDICATE THAT SOME OF THESE TSTMS WILL BE DRY GIVEN THE RELATIVELY
   DEEPLY MIXED DRY BOUNDARY LAYER BENEATH THE TSTMS BASES. AREA WILL
   BE MONITORED FOR A GREATER COVERAGE OF TSTMS AND POSSIBLE CRITICAL
   THREAT IN A LATER OUTLOOK.
   
   ...SRN CA...
   AS THE UPPER RIDGE CENTER MOVES NWD INTO THE SRN GREAT BASIN...ELY
   MID LEVEL WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER SRN CA SUPPORTING MID LEVEL
   MOISTURE INCREASE TOMORROW. ALTHOUGH RELATIVELY HIGH PWAT VALUES
   WILL SUPPORT A TRANSITION TO WET TSTMS...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
   INITIALLY DRY GIVEN THE HOT/DRY BOUNDARY LAYER. EXPECTED LACK OF A
   LONGER DURATION OF DRY TSTMS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL THREAT AREA.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 08/31/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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