Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 190816
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0316 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007
   
   VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT EASTWARD OVER THE EASTERN STATES
   TODAY...WHILE ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH REACHES THE WEST COAST BY EARLY
   SATURDAY. WHILE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE
   EASTERN STATES AND PACIFIC NORTHWEST...UPPER RIDGE AND DRY
   CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE THE NATIONS MID SECTION. COOL
   TEMPERATURES...SUFFICIENTLY HIGH RH VALUES...AND/OR MODEST WINDS
   SUGGEST CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT LIKELY ANYWHERE IN
   THE CONUS TODAY.
   
   ..GUYER.. 10/19/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 190819
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0319 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2007
   
   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NM/SOUTHEAST CO AND TX/OK
   PANHANDLES...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   IN WAKE OF UPPER RIDGING DEVELOPING ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES...A
   POTENT UPPER TROUGH WILL DEVELOP/SPREAD EASTWARD OVER THE WESTERN
   HALF OF THE COUNTRY ON SATURDAY. STRONG/GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY
   ACROSS MUCH OF THE FOUR CORNERS REGION INTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH
   PLAINS...LEADING TO A HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
   BUILD EASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN LATE IN THE PERIOD...WITH
   INCREASING OFFSHORE FLOW ACROSS SOUTHERN CA BY EARLY SUNDAY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - EASTERN NM/SOUTHEAST CO AND TX/OK
   PANHANDLES...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG/GUSTY WINDS AND WARM TEMPERATURES/LOW RH
   
   WITH THE APPROACH OF THE POTENT UPPER TROUGH/JET ALOFT...AND IN THE
   WAKE OF A DRYLINE...STRONG/GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
   SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RELATIVELY STRONG WINDS
   ALOFT AND A WARM/DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR
   SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20-30 MPH...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
   GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB WELL
   THROUGH THE 80S...WITH CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES DURING THE MID/LATE
   AFTERNOON HOURS. IN SPITE OF THE GUSTY WINDS/LOW RH...LACK OF LONG
   TERM DROUGHT/MARGINAL FUELS SHOULD TEND TO MARGINALIZE THE OVERALL
   THREAT.
   
   ...NORTHERN AZ...
   WITH A POTENT JET OVERHEAD...STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE LIKELY ACROSS
   NORTHERN AZ AND THE ADJACENT FOUR CORNERS REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
   SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 25-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
   IN SPITE OF THE STRONG WINDS...IT APPEARS THAT MARGINAL RH
   VALUES/FUELS MAY LIMIT THE OVERALL THREAT. REGARDLESS THIS REGION
   WILL BE MONITORED IN THE SUBSEQUENT DAY 1 OUTLOOK FOR A POSSIBLE
   CRITICAL UPGRADE.
   
   ...SOUTHERN CA...
   AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...AN OFFSHORE
   GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP/DRAMATICALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS
   OF SOUTHERN CA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE
   POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...THE BEGINNING OF A POTENTIALLY
   STRONG SANTA ANA WIND EVENT THAT WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
   
   ...SOUTHEAST STATES...
   IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT...A MUCH DRIER AIRMASS WILL FILTER
   ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES ON SATURDAY...WITH CRITICALLY LOW RH
   VALUES POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON. PRIMARY NEGATING FACTOR FOR
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE RECENT PRECIPITATION.
   
   ..GUYER.. 10/19/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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