Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 290845
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0345 AM CDT MON OCT 29 2007
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A RELATIVELY ZONAL MID/UPPER-LEVEL FLOW REGIME WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE
   CONUS TODAY AS A BROAD TROUGH SLIDES E FROM NEW ENGLAND AND THE WRN
   RIDGE FLATTENS. A SRN STREAM CLOSED LOW OFF THE CNTRL CA COAST HAS
   BEGUN TO MOVE EWD AND WILL CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE AND WEAKEN AS AN
   UPSTREAM IMPULSE REACHES THE PACIFIC NW/SWRN CANADA. THIS WILL LEAD
   TO INCREASED ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS SRN CA. FARTHER EAST...SURFACE HIGH
   PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE MID-ATLANTIC THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS.
   
   ...WRN SC/NRN AND CNTRL GA/CNTRL AL...
   WITH CONTINUED MODEST NELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND ABUNDANT
   INSOLATION...DRYING WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION COMPARED TO
   SUNDAY. DESPITE NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES...RH VALUES SHOULD BECOME
   MARGINALLY LOW THIS AFTERNOON /FROM 25 TO 30 PERCENT/. OWING TO A
   RELATIVE CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS...SUSTAINED
   SURFACE WINDS SHOULD ONLY RANGE FROM 10 TO 15 MPH.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 10/29/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 290907
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0407 AM CDT MON OCT 29 2007
   
   VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR OK PANHANDLE...NRN/WRN TX
   PANHANDLE...NERN NM...SWRN KS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A MID/UPPER-LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH SHOULD AMPLIFY E/SEWD FROM SWRN
   CANADA/NRN ROCKIES INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST BY EARLY WED. ALTHOUGH
   PRIMARY CYCLOGENESIS SHOULD OCCUR OVER THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES...A
   SECONDARY LEE CYCLONE SHOULD ORGANIZE OVER THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS
   AHEAD OF INCREASINGLY SHEARED REMNANTS OF A CLOSED UPPER LOW...NOW
   OFF THE CNTRL CA COAST. BETWEEN THESE SYSTEMS AND EXPANSIVE HIGH
   PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC...STRONG S/SWLY LOW-LEVEL
   FLOW SHOULD STRETCH FROM THE SRN HIGH PLAINS NEWD THROUGH THE UPPER
   MS RIVER VALLEY ON TUE AFTERNOON.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - OK PANHANDLE...NRN/WRN TX
   PANHANDLE...NERN NM...SWRN KS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / RECENT DRYNESS
   
   MODEL GUIDANCE FORECASTS ARE CONSISTENT WITH DEPICTING A MODERATELY
   TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT...IN ADDITION TO A SIGNIFICANT
   INCREASE IN MID-LEVEL FLOW DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF
   THESE FACTORS WILL LEAD TO SUSTAINED SWLY SURFACE WINDS AROUND 20 TO
   25 MPH DURING PEAK HEATING. WITH ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES /IN THE
   UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S/ AND DEW POINTS MIXING THROUGH THE 20S...RH
   VALUES WILL DROP BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS /FROM 10 TO 15 PERCENT/.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 10/29/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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