Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 300823
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0323 AM CDT TUE OCT 30 2007
   
   VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NERN NM...OK AND TX
   PANHANDLES...SWRN KS...FAR SERN CO...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL REMAIN ENTRENCHED FROM THE MID ATLANTIC
   SWWD INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW
   HUMIDITY. SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THIS HIGH ACROSS THE PLAINS
   STATES IN RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH THAT
   WILL EXTEND FROM THE DAKOTAS INTO WRN KS/ERN CO THIS AFTERNOON. A
   CRITICAL COMBINATION OF HIGH WINDS AND LOW RH WILL THUS BE FOUND
   OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...WITH MARGINAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
   FARTHER N INTO THE DAKOTAS.
   
   ELSEWHERE...ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS SRN CA IN THE WAKE OF A
   WEAK UPPER TROUGH. WINDS WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY FROM SWLY TO MORE OF A
   WLY DIRECTION AND WILL MAINTAIN THE MARINE LAYER W OF THE COASTAL
   RANGE. LOW RH WILL REMAIN ACROSS AZ AND NM WITH LOCALLY GUSTY
   AFTERNOON WINDS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - NERN NM...OK AND TX
   PANHANDLES...SWRN KS...FAR SERN CO...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH
   
   WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND BY
   MIDDAY...SWLY WINDS OF 20-30 MPH ARE LIKELY. THE STRONG HEATING AND
   MIXING WILL ALLOW RH VALUES TO DROP INTO THE 10-15 PERCENT RANGE
   WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 80 F. GUSTY WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO
   THE EVENING HOURS ALTHOUGH RH WILL RECOVER. HOWEVER...A COLD FRONT
   WILL MOVE THROUGH SWRN KS/SERN CO AROUND MIDNIGHT...AND WILL BE
   THROUGH THE ENTIRE CRITICAL AREA BY WED MORNING. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
   NWLY AT 15-30 MPH AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH.
   
   ...CNTRL DAKOTAS AND NEB...
   A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH WRN ND/SD DURING THE LATE
   MORNING HOURS...AND WILL EXTEND FROM ERN ND INTO N CNTRL NEB BY MID
   AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM SWLY AT 10-15 MPH TO NWLY AT 15-25
   MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ESPECIALLY OVER WRN ND/SD. RH LEVELS WILL BE
   LOWEST FROM CNTRL SD INTO NEB WITH MIN VALUES AROUND 20
   PERCENT...RESULTING IN NEAR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS.
   
   ...CNTRL AND NRN GA...SC...WRN NC...ERN TN...NRN AL...
   A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL REMAIN FROM THE MID ATLANTIC INTO
   THE TN VALLEY WITH WIDESPREAD LOW RH DURING THE AFTERNOON. MIN RH
   VALUES IN THE 20 PERCENT RANGE WILL BE COMMON...WITH TEMPERATURES IN
   THE 60S AND 70S. PRESENCE OF EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS COUPLED WITH
   THE LOW RH WILL RESULT IN A FEW HOURS OF NEAR CRITICAL FIRE
   CONDITIONS...THOUGH LIGHT WINDS WILL MITIGATE THE OVERALL THREAT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 10/30/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 300834
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0334 AM CDT TUE OCT 30 2007
   
   VALID 311200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE MAIN WEATHER FEATURE ON WED WILL BE AN UPPER TROUGH THAT WILL
   MOVE SEWD OUT OF CANADA INTO THE GREAT LAKES. A COLD FRONT WILL
   SWEEP EWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES SETTLING ACROSS THE OH VALLEY BY
   LATE AFTERNOON WITH A FEW SHOWERS FOR LOWER MI. THIS FRONT WILL
   EXTEND SWWD INTO NW TX...WITH COOL DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS BEHIND
   THE FRONT. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE NRN PLAINS AND
   UPPER MS VALLEY. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
   WILL REMAIN OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND DEEP SOUTH...WHERE DRY BUT
   CALM CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST.
   
   ...NRN PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY...
   IT WILL BE WINDY FROM THE DAKOTAS EWD INTO MN/WI/IA IN A POST
   FRONTAL REGIME. SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WILL BE COMMON
   WITH GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL BE RELATIVELY COOL IN THE
   40S AND 50S...RESULTING IN MARGINALLY LOW RH OF 20-30 PERCENT IN THE
   DRIEST AREAS SUCH AS THE DAKOTAS.
   
   ...SWRN KS...NWRN OK...TX/OK PANHANDLES...
   THE DAY WILL BEGIN QUITE WINDY WITH NELY WINDS OF 20-30 MPH AND
   HIGHER GUSTS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER THAN PREVIOUS DAY FROM THE
   UPPER 50S OVER SW KS TO THE UPPER 60S WRN OK. THUS...RH WILL ONLY BE
   MARGINALLY LOW...AVERAGING 20-25 PERCENT AT PEAK HEATING. RH WILL
   RECOVERY RAPIDLY AFTER SUNSET WITH COOLER OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES AND
   CALMING WINDS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 10/30/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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