Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

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   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 020856
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0256 AM CST SUN DEC 02 2007
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   PRIMARY FEATURES OF INTEREST FOR FIRE WEATHER TODAY WILL BE THE
   RAPID EJECTION OF A MID/UPPER-LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW ALONG THE
   LEE OF THE CNTRL/SRN ROCKIES AND A COLD FRONT PROGRESSING SWD ACROSS
   THE SRN PLAINS. STRONG LOW-LEVEL WLYS ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS
   WILL WEAKEN AND VEER NWD AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY BUILDS EWD
   FROM THE SWRN STATES.
   
   ...NWRN TX...
   LATEST JAYTON TX AND TUCUMCARI NM PROFILERS INDICATE 3000 FT AGL WLY
   WINDS FROM 35 TO 60 MPH. WITH A SHORT WAVE TROUGH PASSING E OF THE
   REGION...THESE STRONG WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NW LATER THIS MORNING.
   AS DAYTIME MIXING ENSUES...SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS SHOULD QUICKLY
   REACH AROUND 25 MPH BY NOON. HOWEVER...LOW-LEVEL FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
   SIGNIFICANTLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
   PRESSURE APPROACHES. STRONG SUBSIDENCE/DOWNSLOPE DRYING WILL ALLOW
   RH VALUES TO FALL NEAR CRITICAL THRESHOLDS /AROUND 15 TO 20 PERCENT/
   BY MID-AFTERNOON. GIVEN LONG-TERM DRYNESS AND MODERATELY HIGH
   KBDI...A RELATIVELY SHORT DURATION OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR
   DURING THE EARLY/MID-AFTERNOON.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 12/02/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 021000
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0400 AM CST SUN DEC 02 2007
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LARGE-SCALE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO TAKE SHAPE OVER THE
   ERN CONUS AS A MID/UPPER-LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW ALONG THE HIGH
   PLAINS AMPLIFIES AS IT TRACKS EWD. HEIGHTS WILL RISE UPSTREAM ACROSS
   THE SWRN CONUS. AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SEWD THROUGH
   THE MID-ATLANTIC/DEEP SOUTH OFFSHORE INTO THE NRN GULF OF
   MEXICO/FL/WRN ATLANTIC BY EARLY MON AFTERNOON. GUSTY NWLY WINDS WILL
   FOLLOW FRONTAL PASSAGE BETWEEN EXPANSIVE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
   ANCHORED OVER THE SRN PLAINS.
   
   ...SC AND CNTRL/SRN GA...
   MODEL GUIDANCE FORECASTS INDICATE SATURATED/NEAR-SATURATED
   LOW-LEVELS WILL BE ONGOING ALONG AND AHEAD OF A SHARP COLD FRONT MON
   MORNING. AFTER COLD FRONT PASSAGE...GUSTY NWLY WINDS SHOULD COMMENCE
   DURING MID/LATE MORNING AND LAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...PRODUCING
   SIGNIFICANT DRYING. ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVELS WILL COOL...THIS REGION
   SHOULD REMAIN ON THE SRN FRINGE OF STRONGER COLD AIR ADVECTION. IT
   APPEARS RH VALUES WILL DROP TO NEAR CRITICAL THRESHOLDS DURING THE
   AFTERNOON /AROUND 25 TO 30 PERCENT/ AS TEMPERATURES HOLD IN THE 60S.
   WITH SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS NEAR 20 MPH...LOCALIZED/MARGINAL
   CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 12/02/2007
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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