Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 280741
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0141 AM CST MON JAN 28 2008
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR WRN AND NWRN TX...WRN OK...SWRN
KS...SERN CO...ERN NM...
...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD ZONE OF SWLY FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF WRN U.S. TROUGH AND LOWERING
PRESSURE ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS WILL MAINTAIN A VERY WINDY PATTERN
TODAY FOR MUCH OF THE PLAINS STATES...WITH CRITICAL CONDITIONS FOR
THE SRN PLAINS. A SURFACE HIGH OVER THE SERN STATES WILL ALSO RESULT
IN DRY WEATHER AND CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES THERE ALTHOUGH WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT. MEANWHILE...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE EWD
ACROSS GREAT BASIN AND EVENTUALLY INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS BY TUE
MORNING.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - WRN AND NWRN TX...WRN OK...SWRN
KS...SERN CO...ERN NM...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS...LOW RH
STRONG WINDS WILL BE ONGOING THIS MORNING AND WILL ONLY INCREASE
THROUGH THE DAY AS TEMPERATURES WARM AND MIXING INCREASES. SUSTAINED
SWLY WIND SPEEDS NEAR 30 MPH WILL BE COMMON...WITH GUSTS OF 40-50
MPH THIS AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY BE ACROSS
THE OK/TX PANHANDLES...FAR SWRN KS AND WRN OK. THE RH FORECAST IS A
BIT COMPLICATED GIVEN A SLIGHT INCREASE IN DEWPOINTS AND ALSO THE
PROSPECT OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. HOWEVER...MIN VALUES OF 20-25
PERCENT ARE LIKELY IN GENERAL...WITH VALUES INTO THE UPPER TEENS
ACROSS THE PANHANDLES. ADDING TO THE UNCERTAINTY IS THE FACT THAT
MOST MODELS HAVE DONE HORRIBLY IN DEPICTING THE BOUNDARY LAYER
TEMPERATURE AND MOISTURE PROFILES. FOR EXAMPLE...NAM DEWPOINTS WERE
OVER-FORECAST BY AS MUCH AS 10-15 DEGREES F ON SUNDAY WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES UNDER-FORECAST BY ABOUT 10 DEGREES F AS WELL.
THUS...WILL STOP JUST SHORT OF AN EXTREME AREA ALTHOUGH LOCALLY
EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE DRIEST AREAS.
...SERN STATES...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE SERN STATES TODAY RESULTING IN
MILD AND DRY WEATHER. WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S...MIN RH VALUES
WILL DROP INTO THE 20 PERCENT RANGE BY AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS WILL
BE LIGHT OVER THE CAROLINAS...GA...AND FL...MITIGATING THE THREAT ON
THE LARGE SCALE ALTHOUGH NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS. A RELATIVELY
HIGHER THREAT MAY EXIST OVER NRN AL WHERE EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT
PERSISTS AND WINDS NEAR 10 MPH.
..JEWELL.. 01/28/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 280801
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0201 AM CST MON JAN 28 2008
VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN OK...MOST OF TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER TROUGH AXIS WILL SWING RAPIDLY EWD OUT OF THE
PLAINS...CROSSING THE MS RIVER BY 00Z AND INTO PA AND NY BY 12Z WED.
AT THE SURFACE...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM ERN IA SWWD
ACROSS NW OK AND NWRN TX AT 12Z TUE...AND WILL MOVE RAPIDLY
SEWD...CLEARING THE STATE OF TX BY 00Z. A VERY STRONG WIND SHIFT
WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT...WITH COMBINATION OF WIND AND LOW RH
PRODUCING CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS FOR A LARGE PORTION OF THE SRN
PLAINS.
ELSEWHERE...SWLY FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL RAISE RH LEVELS
OVER THE SERN STATES...ALTHOUGH A POCKET OF DRY AIR WILL EXIST OVER
THE CAROLINAS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN OK...MOST OF TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH
A POWERFUL WIND SHIFT WILL ACCOMPANY A COLD FRONT
PASSAGE...BEGINNING OVER CNTRL AND WRN OK BY MID MORNING...AND INTO
CENTRAL TX BY MID AFTERNOON. NWLY WINDS OF 25-35 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH THE COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN COOLER
TEMPERATURES...LOW RH IN THE TEENS AND 20 PERCENT RANGE WILL BE
COMMON FROM SWRN OK INTO NWRN TX...WITH VALUES OF 25-30 PERCENT OVER
DEEP S TX.
..JEWELL.. 01/28/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...