Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 300933
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0333 AM CST WED JAN 30 2008
   
   VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF OK/EASTERN NM AND
   WEST/NORTH TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AS A RATHER PROGRESSIVE PATTERN CONTINUES...ANOTHER STRONG UPPER
   TROUGH WILL CROSS THE ROCKIES TODAY...REACHING THE SOUTHERN HIGH
   PLAINS TONIGHT. SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS WILL TAKE PLACE DURING THE DAY
   ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...WITH LOW PRESSURE AND AN
   ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ADVANCING EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
   THROUGH TONIGHT. ACROSS THIS REGION...GUSTY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS
   AHEAD OF THE DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE/COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN A
   CRITICAL FIRE DANGER. ELSEWHERE...IN THE WAKE OF A FAST MOVING COLD
   FRONT REACHING THE WESTERN ATLANTIC EARLY TODAY...HIGH PRESSURE/COLD
   CONDITIONS WILL BE PREVALENT FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST
   TO THE EASTERN SEABOARD.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF OK/EASTERN NM AND WEST/NORTH
   TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG/GUSTY SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS
   
   ANOTHER DAY OF GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RH WILL LEAD TO A CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER DANGER ACROSS A LARGE PART OF OK/EASTERN NM AND MUCH OF
   WEST/NORTH TX. AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS ACROSS THE HIGH
   PLAINS...SUSTAINED SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20-30 MPH ARE LIKELY
   MUCH OF THE DAY...WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH. EVEN IN THE WAKE OF
   TUESDAYS COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...QUICK RETURN OF WARM
   ADVECTION/DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT SUGGEST HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB
   WELL THROUGH THE 50S/60S THIS AFTERNOON. IT IS LIKELY THAT MODEL
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE UNDERESTIMATING THE DEGREE OF VERTICAL MIXING
   THIS AFTERNOON...WITH RH VALUES EXPECTED TO BE AS LOW AS 15-25
   PERCENT. WHILE WINDS WILL TEND TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING AROUND
   SUNSET IN MOST LOCALES...QUICK EASTWARD ADVANCEMENT OF A COLD FRONT
   WILL RESULT IN A WIND SHIFT WITH WINDS INCREASING FROM THE NORTHWEST
   ACROSS EASTERN NM/NORTHWEST TX/WESTERN OK TONIGHT.
   
   ...AL/GA/NORTHERN FL...
   ONGOING RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHERN GA/NORTHERN FL SHOULD EXIT THE
   REGION EARLY TODAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH A FAST MOVING COLD FRONT. IN
   THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...HIGH PRESSURE AND A DRIER AIRMASS WILL
   DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST STATES. WHILE AFTERNOON VALUES
   WILL LIKELY DROP INTO THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE ACROSS AL/GA/NORTHERN
   FL...RECENT RAINFALL AND LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS/COOL TEMPERATURES
   WILL TEND TO MITIGATE THE FIRE THREAT.
   
   ..GUYER.. 01/30/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 302317
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK RESENT 1
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0517 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008
   
   VALID 311200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL/SOUTH
   TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AS A PROGRESSIVE UPPER PATTERN PERSISTS...THE LAST DAY OF JANUARY
   WILL SEE THE POTENT UPPER TROUGH ADVANCE FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO
   THE OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS BY EARLY FRIDAY. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
   WILL QUICKLY CROSS SOUTH/EAST TX AND THE GULF COAST STATES. SHOWERS
   AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE GULF COAST REGION ON
   THURSDAY...WHILE GUSTY POST-FRONTAL WINDS WILL LEAD TO A CRITICAL
   FIRE DANGER ACROSS PORTIONS OF TX. IN THE WEST...FAST WESTERLY UPPER
   FLOW WILL DOMINATE THE WESTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY...WITH YET
   ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH REACHING THE WEST COAST THURSDAY NIGHT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL/SOUTH TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RH
   
   AS A COLD FRONT EXITS SOUTHEAST TX EARLY THURSDAY...VERY 
   STRONG/GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT
   ACROSS MUCH OF TX. WHILE CONDITIONS WILL BE MORE MARGINAL ACROSS
   NORTH TX OWING TO COOLER TEMPERATURES/HIGHER RH...THE MOST PROLIFIC
   COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND MILD TEMPERATURES/LOW RH WILL LIKELY
   EXIST ACROSS THE TX HILL COUNTRY/CENTRAL TX INTO DEEP SOUTH TX AND
   THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. THIS PORTION OF CENTRAL/SOUTH TX WILL
   BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE EXTREMELY CRITICAL RISK IN THE
   SUBSEQUENT DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK. AMPLE MIXING COMBINED WITH
   STRONG WIND FIELDS ALOFT /80+ KT AT 500 MB/ SUGGEST SUSTAINED
   NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WILL BE QUITE COMMON UNTIL
   SUNSET...WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH POSSIBLE.
   
   RESENT PER REQUEST.
   
   ..GUYER.. 01/30/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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