Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 310917
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0317 AM CST THU JAN 31 2008
VALID 311200Z - 011200Z
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE TX HILL
COUNTRY/SOUTH CENTRAL TX...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE TRANSPECOS REGION AND MUCH OF
CENTRAL/SOUTH TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
AS A PROGRESSIVE UPPER PATTERN PERSISTS...THE LAST DAY OF JANUARY
WILL SEE A POTENT UPPER TROUGH ADVANCE FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO
THE OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS BY EARLY FRIDAY. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
WILL QUICKLY CROSS SOUTH/EAST TX AND THE GULF COAST STATES TODAY.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE GULF COAST
REGION...WHILE STRONG/GUSTY POST-FRONTAL WINDS WILL LEAD TO A VERY
HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS A LARGE PART OF TX. IN THE WEST...FAST
WESTERLY UPPER FLOW WILL DOMINATE THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
COUNTRY...WITH YET ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH REACHING THE WEST COAST THIS
EVENING.
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - THE TX HILL COUNTRY/SOUTH
CENTRAL TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH WITH LONG TERM
DROUGHT
AS A COLD FRONT EXITS SOUTHEAST TX EARLY TODAY...VERY STRONG/GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT ACROSS MUCH OF
TX. THE MOST PROLIFIC COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND MILD
TEMPERATURES/LOW RH WILL EXIST TODAY ACROSS THE TX HILL COUNTRY AND
SOUTH CENTRAL TX. WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE 60S...AMPLE
VERTICAL MIXING COMBINED WITH STRONG WIND FIELDS ALOFT /80-100 KT AT
500 MB AND 50+ KT AT 700 MB/ SUGGEST SUSTAINED NORTHWEST WINDS OF
25-30 MPH WILL BE COMMON...WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH POSSIBLE UNTIL
SUNSET. WIND DRIVEN FIRES WILL BE A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY TODAY...AND
THE METEOROLOGICAL SITUATION WILL BE COMPOUNDED BY A LACK OF
RAINFALL ACROSS THIS REGION OVER THE PAST FEW MONTHS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - THE TRANSPECOS REGION AND MUCH OF
CENTRAL/SOUTH TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH
SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL RISK AREA...OVERALL CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE RELATIVELY LESS SEVERE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
TRANSPECOS REGION OF SOUTHWEST TX...AS WELL AS DEEP SOUTH TX AND FAR
NORTH TX. THIS WILL BE THE CASE OWING TO EITHER COOLER TEMPERATURES
AND/OR SOMEWHAT LIGHTER WIND SPEEDS. NEVERTHELESS...NORTHWEST WINDS
OF 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 MPH WILL BE PREVALENT THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...ALONG WITH AT LEAST MARGINALLY LOW RH.
..GUYER.. 01/31/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 311019
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0419 AM CST THU JAN 31 2008
VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE SOUTHERN TX PANHANDLE/TX SOUTH
PLAINS INTO FAR SOUTHWEST OK...
...SYNOPSIS...
STRONG UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO TRANSITION NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE
OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS TOWARD NEW ENGLAND ON FRIDAY...WITH SUBTLE
LONGWAVE TROUGH/LOW AMPLITUDE WESTERLY FLOW PREVALENT ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE CONUS. WITH AN ACTIVE WEEK ALREADY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS...FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGION ON FRIDAY OWING TO THE PASSAGE OF A LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST TX/SOUTHWEST OK.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - THE SOUTHERN TX PANHANDLE/TX SOUTH
PLAINS INTO FAR SOUTHWEST OK...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS AND LOW RH
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AGAIN DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST TX/FAR SOUTHWEST OK AS A LOW AMPLITUDE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSES THE REGION...WITH MODEST SURFACE
CYCLOGENESIS TAKING PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. WHILE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG AS PRECEDING EVENTS EARLIER THIS WEEK...IT
APPEARS THAT AT LEAST MARGINALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TX PANHANDLE/TX SOUTH PLAINS
INTO FAR SOUTHWEST OK. THE NORTH/NORTHEAST EXTENT OF THE CRITICAL
RISK IS QUESTIONABLE WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME SNOW ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE TX PANHANDLE/WESTERN OK ON THURSDAY...HOWEVER MOST
AREAS IN THE CRITICAL OUTLOOK SHOULD SEE LITTLE IF ANY SNOWFALL.
ALONG WITH MILD TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND LOW RH...SOUTHWEST WINDS
OF 20-25 MPH ARE LIKELY...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF 40 MPH GUSTS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
..GUYER.. 01/31/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...