Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 030952
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0352 AM CST SUN FEB 03 2008
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS
REGION...
...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL DIG SEWD THROUGH THE WEST COAST/GREAT
BASIN THROUGH TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...STRENGTHENING MID
LEVEL FLOW COMBINED WITH A DEEPENING SURFACE PRESSURE TROUGH EAST OF
THE SRN ROCKIES WILL SUPPORT INCREASING SWLY WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE
SRN HIGH PLAINS REGION. COMBINED WITH LOW RH READINGS...CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER A LARGE PORTION OF THE SRN
HIGH PLAINS TODAY. ELSEWHERE...WARMING TEMPERATURES UNDER A
DEVELOPING UPPER RIDGE COMBINED WITH LOW RH READINGS WILL INCREASE
THE FIRE DANGER OVER THE CAROLINAS/GA. HOWEVER...LIGHT WINDS IN THIS
AREA WILL NOT SUPPORT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SERN/ECENTRAL NM...MUCH OF WRN
TX...SWRN OK...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS
OVER 40 MPH IN THE HIGHEST TERRAIN...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-20
PERCENT
AHEAD OF A DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE GREAT BASIN...SWLY WINDS
WILL INCREASE OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS TODAY. THIS WILL BE IN
RESPONSE TO INCREASING MID LEVEL FLOW AND A DEEPENING SURFACE LEE
TROUGH/INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT. MEANWHILE...THE THERMAL RIDGE
IN THE LOW LEVELS WILL BECOME WELL ESTABLISHED OVER THE SRN HIGH
PLAINS AIDED BY DOWNSLOPE WINDS. THIS WILL SUPPORT ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FROM THE UPPER 50S IN THE GUADALUPE/SACRAMENTO
MTNS...TO THE MID/UPPER 70S OVER NWRN TX. SFC DEWPTS ARE EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM THE TEENS OVER ERN NM/WRN TX TO THE LOWER-MID 20S OVER
NWRN TX/SWRN OK. THESE DEWPTS WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM
15-20 PERCENT OVER THE ENTIRE REGION...WITH ISOLATED RH READINGS
DOWN BELOW 10 PERCENT. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
IN THE SACRAMENTO/GUADALUPE MTNS WITH SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 25-35 MPH
AND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH. SUSTAINED WINDS FORM 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS
OVER 30 MPH WILL BE LIKELY OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CRITICAL AREA.
...NRN TX PANHANDLE...NWRN/CENTRAL OK....NCENTRAL/CENTRAL TX...
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CRITICAL AREA...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL BE WEAKER...LIMITING SFC WINDS TO GENERALLY LESS THAN 20 MPH.
SLY WINDS WILL AID IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASING OVER CENTRAL OK
SWD INTO CENTRAL TX /GENERALLY EAST OF I-35/. WEST OF I-35...MIN RH
READINGS FROM 20-30 PERCENT ARE LIKELY AS WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FROM THE MID 60S IN THE NRN TX PANHANDLE/NWRN OK TO THE
UPPER 70S IN CENTRAL/NCENTRAL TX COMBINE WITH DEWPTS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 40S. HOWEVER..MODEST WINDS /15-20 MPH/ WILL PRECLUDE CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
...CAROLINAS/GA...
BROAD UPPER RIDGING WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA TODAY SUPPORTING
ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES. WEAK WINDS WILL PREVENT MOISTURE
RETURN...WITH DEWPTS REMAINING IN THE 20S/30S. AS TEMPERATURES WARM
INTO THE 65-75 DEG F RANGE...RH READINGS WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 20-30
PERCENT. HOWEVER...LIGHT WINDS WILL MITIGATE ANY CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER THREAT.
..CROSBIE.. 02/03/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 030954
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0354 AM CST SUN FEB 03 2008
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A SEASONABLY STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SWRN
STATES/ROCKIES TOMORROW. AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH...STRONG SWLY WINDS
WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RESULT AGAIN...GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF WELL
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES/LOW RH READINGS. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
NATION...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL DEVELOP OVER MUCH OF THE ERN
CONUS UNDER THE PRESENCE OF A BUILDING UPPER RIDGE. IN RESPONSE TO
INCREASING SLY WINDS...A MOIST AIRMASS WILL PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL
CONCERNS OVER THE SERN STATES.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SWRN TX NEWD INTO WRN/CENTRAL OK...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 25-35 MPH WITH GUSTS
OVER 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT
AHEAD OF A SEASONABLY STRONG UPPER TROUGH/COLD FRONT SSWLY WINDS
WILL INCREASE OVER THE SRN PLAINS TOMORROW. DESPITE STRONGER SFC
WINDS /AVERAGING 10 MPH STRONGER THAN SPEEDS TODAY/ INCREASING
MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES/HIGHER DEWPTS
THAN TODAY WILL PRECLUDE AN EXTREMELY CRITICAL OUTLOOK AREA OVER THE
REGION OF STRONGEST WINDS /WEST TX/. MIN RH READINGS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH CRITICAL LEVELS /15-25 PERCENT/ OVER THE ENTIRE CRITICAL
OUTLOOK AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON...AIDED BY WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES FROM THE UPPER 60S TO THE LOWER 80S. A STRONG COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD INTO WRN OK/NWRN TX OVERNIGHT SHIFTING WINDS TO
A NLY DIRECTION AND AIDING IN INCREASING RH READINGS AND DIMINISHING
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE ERN EXTENT OF THE CRITICAL
AREA OVER CENTRAL/SRN OK IS THE EXPECTED LOCATION OF THE DRYLINE.
FURTHER SOUTH...THE ERN EXTENT OF THE CRITICAL AREA OVER CENTRAL TX
IS WHERE THE WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT WEAKER /LESS THAN
20 MPH/ SUSTAINED WINDS.
...ERN NM/TX PANHANDLE...
WEST OF THE CRITICAL AREA...MODERATE TO STRONG SWLY WINDS /20-30
MPH/ WILL BE PRESENT AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH WHERE MID LEVEL COLD
ADVECTION WILL INCREASE LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES. HOWEVER...
MODERATE AMOUNTS OF CLOUD COVER COMBINED WITH WEAK LOW LEVEL COLD
ADVECTION /TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S/ WILL LIKELY KEEP
MIN RH READINGS ABOVE 15 PERCENT. GIVEN THESE EXPECTED CONDITIONS...
A CRITICAL OUTLOOK AREA WILL NOT BE ISSUED ATTM.
..CROSBIE.. 02/03/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...