Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 250927
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0327 AM CST MON FEB 25 2008
VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL
TX...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN NM/TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES/WESTERN OK...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WILL
EJECT OUT OVER THE GREAT PLAINS AND INTO THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY ON MONDAY...WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING IN BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. A STRONG MID-LEVEL JET STREAK
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH WILL SWEEP OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...RESULTING IN HIGH SURFACE WINDS AND LOW RH VALUES FOR AN
EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER RISK IN SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL TEXAS.
SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...A CRITICAL RISK WILL
EXIST IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA...THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES...AND
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO DUE TO SIMILAR...BUT NOT AS
EXTREME...WEATHER CONDITIONS. IN FLORIDA...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL DIP BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS FOR A FEW HOURS IN THE AFTERNOON.
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL
TEXAS...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: MODERATE DROUGHT...LOW RH VALUES...STRONG AND
GUSTY WINDS...HIGH TEMPERATURES
AS THE UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES OUT OVER SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL TEXAS
ON MONDAY AFTERNOON...A MID-LEVEL JET STREAM CORE WILL AID IN
CREATING STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS IN THE
REGION...WITH WIND SPEEDS AROUND 25 TO 40 MPH WITH POSSIBLY HIGHER
GUSTS TO PERHAPS 50 MPH. A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE AFTER
A DRYLINE PASSES THROUGH THE REGION BY MID-MORNING...WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 5 TO 10 PERCENT RANGE DURING
THE MID-AFTERNOON. SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO AN
UNSEASONABLY WARM MID 70S TO MID 80S F. THESE CONDITIONS...COUPLED
WITH A MODERATE DROUGHT IN THE REGION DUE TO LACK OF SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL DURING THE PAST 30-60 DAYS...WILL RESULT IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR FIRE GROWTH GIVEN DRY FUELS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SERN NM/TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES/WESTERN OK...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION AND WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS
THE MID TEXAS PANHANDLE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT
WILL BE STRONG AND GUSTY WITH SPEEDS AROUND 25 TO 40 MPH
SUSTAINED...AND HIGHER GUSTS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SOMEWHAT
COOL...WITH VALUES IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S F. A DRY AIRMASS WILL
EXIST AS THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE BEHIND THE
FRONT...BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 20
PERCENT. THEREFORE...WEATHER CONDITIONS BEHIND THE FRONT MEET
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CRITERIA. IN ADDITION...AS THE FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE PANHANDLE...WINDS WILL SHIFT DIRECTION FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHWEST RATHER QUICKLY CAUSING A CHANGE IN ANY FIRE BEHAVIOR.
...NRN/CNTRL FL...
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR A FEW HOURS
ON MONDAY AFTERNOON...AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE 70S F. WIND
SPEEDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT...SO A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER RISK IS NOT
EXPECTED.
..LEVIT.. 02/25/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 250955
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0355 AM CST MON FEB 25 2008
VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN TEXAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN OVER THE CONUS BECOMES VERY AMPLIFIED DURING
THE DAY ON TUESDAY WITH A DEEP TROUGH IN THE EAST AND A STRONG RIDGE
IN THE WEST...AS A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY REGION. WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION....WITH
SNOW...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN...WILL OCCUR ALONG THE EAST COAST
AHEAD OF THIS SURFACE LOW AND A AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
EXIST FROM OHIO SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES. IN SOUTHERN
TEXAS...THE COMBINATION OF WIND SPEEDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL HELP CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN THAT
REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SOUTHERN TEXAS...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...STRONG AND GUSTY
WINDS
STRONG AND GUSTY SURFACE WINDS WILL EXIST BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON MONDAY EVENING...AND WIND SPEEDS ON
TUESDAY AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 20 TO 30 MPH.
TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE COOLER THAN ON MONDAY...WITH
HIGHS REACHING INTO THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S F...AND RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO 20 TO 25 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
CONDITIONS THEREFORE ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE QUITE AS CRITICAL AS ON
DAY 1...GIVEN THE COOLER AND MORE MOIST AIRMASS...BUT NONETHELESS
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CRITERIA ARE MET AND A RISK EXISTS. THE
THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET AS RH RECOVERY WILL BE
STRONG WHEN TEMPERATURES FALL RAPIDLY DUE TO THE LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING.
..LEVIT.. 02/25/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...