Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 010903
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0303 AM CST SAT MAR 01 2008
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTH CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A DEEPENING MID-UPPER TROUGH WITH AN ATTENDANT SPEED MAX IS FORECAST
   TO DIG SEWD IN THE PACIFIC NW/NRN ROCKIES AND AID THE EWD MOVEMENT
   OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST U.S.  AN AMPLIFYING
   RIDGE WILL SHIFT EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. IN WAKE OF A DEPARTING
   MID-UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN THE NORTHEAST.  A SURFACE TROUGH WILL
   DEVELOP IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES AND WILL PROMOTE A TIGHTENING
   PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SOUTH CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG TERM DRYNESS
   
   AS LEE CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS...SWLY LOW LEVEL
   FLOW WILL INCREASE SWD INTO THE CNTRL AND SRN PLAINS.  MODEL
   SOUNDINGS INDICATE A DEEP MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE PRESENT
   ACROSS THE AFOREMENTIONED REGION.  A DOWNSLOPE REGIME COUPLED WITH
   SUNNY SKIES WILL RESULT IN WARM AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
   70S ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS.  MODEL GUIDANCE HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT IN
   SUGGESTING SUSTAINED STRONG SWLY WINDS /20 TO 30 MPH/ AND LOW RH
   VALUES /TEENS/.  THE CRITICAL FIRE THREAT APPEARS MOST PROBABLE
   ACROSS A FOCUSED AREA FROM AROUND TCC NEWD TO NEAR LBL.
   
   ...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
   WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH A LACK OF RECENT
   RAINFALL...LOW RH IN THE TEENS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL SUPPORT A
   MARGINAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.  MAGNITUDE OF THE SUSTAINED WINDS /10
   TO 20 MPH/ WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL THREAT.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   A BRIEF PERIOD OF LOWER RH ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST WILL BE
   TEMPERED BY LIGHT SURFACE WINDS DUE TO EXPANSIVE AREA OF HIGH
   PRESSURE MOVING INTO REGION. IN ADDITION...RECENT PRECIPITATION WILL
   FURTHER MITIGATE THE FIRE THREAT.
   
   ..SMITH/JEWELL.. 03/01/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 010911
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0311 AM CST SAT MAR 01 2008
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EXTREME SRN NM AND FAR W TX...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR COLORADO RIVER VALLEY...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A MID-UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DIG SEWD INTO THE SRN ROCKIES ON
   SUNDAY.  THE PRIMARY MID-LEVEL WAVE WILL MOVE SEWD AND REACH THE
   MOGOLLON RIM BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.  IN RESPONSE TO THIS FEATURE...LOW
   TO MID ALTITUDE WINDS WILL INCREASE DOWNSTREAM AND PRODUCE GUSTY WLY
   WINDS.  MEANWHILE...EXPANSIVE HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN IN THE
   GREAT BASIN REGION AIDING IN TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE
   SOUTHWEST U.S.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - COLORADO RIVER VALLEY REGION...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / VERY LOW RH /LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST
   REGION SUNDAY...RESULTING IN A STRONG NORTH TO SOUTH PRESSURE
   GRADIENT.  DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY AND VERY
   LOW RH /UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO TEENS/ MAY RESULT...WITH SUSTAINED
   WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH DEVELOPING THROUGH THE DAY.  SOME UNCERTAINTY
   OF WIND STRENGTH EXISTS BASED ON VARYING MODEL GUIDANCE BUT STRONG
   GUSTS ARE LIKELY GIVEN CLIMATOLOGICALLY FAVORABLE PATTERN.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN NM AND FAR W TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / HIGH KBDI
   
   A WELL MIXED LOW LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WILL PROMOTE DRY...WARM...AND
   WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS PARTS OF SRN NM AND WRN TX.  WITH THE
   APPROACH OF THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM ON SUNDAY...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO A
   WLY COMPONENT.  THE HIGHER WINDS WILL PROMOTE A WELL-MIXED LOWER
   ATMOSPHERE LEADING TO STRONG SUSTAINED WLY WINDS /20 TO 30 MPH/ AND
   LOW RH /TEENS/.
   
   ...SRN CA ALONG AND S OF THE COASTAL RANGE...
   OFFSHORE FLOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS SRN CA ON SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
   SHIFTS INTO THE GREAT BASIN BEHIND DEPARTING UPPER TROUGH. THE NELY
   WINDS WILL BRING IN DRIER AIR AND WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MIN RH
   VALUES IN THE TEENS. WINDS WILL BE STRONG AND GUSTY ESPECIALLY
   THROUGH FAVORED PASSES AND CANYONS WITH GUSTS OF 30-50 MPH. ALTHOUGH
   WINDY AND DRY...RECENT PRECIPITATION HAS MOISTENED FUELS SUCH THAT
   CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED PER COORDINATION WITH
   LOCAL FIELD OFFICES.
   
   ...SERN U.S...
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE THE SOUTHEAST U.S. ON
   SUNDAY.  MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT RELATIVELY DRIER AIR /RH
   VALUES IN THE 20S/ WILL REMAIN ENTRENCHED IN THE REGION...ESPECIALLY
   IN THE GA AND CAROLINA PIEDMONT.  LIGHT SUSTAINED WINDS GENERALLY
   LESS THAN 10 MPH AND RECENT PRECIPITATION WILL HELP MITIGATE THE
   FIRE THREAT.
   
   ..SMITH/JEWELL.. 03/01/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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