Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 010903
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0303 AM CST SAT MAR 01 2008
VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTH CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A DEEPENING MID-UPPER TROUGH WITH AN ATTENDANT SPEED MAX IS FORECAST
TO DIG SEWD IN THE PACIFIC NW/NRN ROCKIES AND AID THE EWD MOVEMENT
OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST U.S. AN AMPLIFYING
RIDGE WILL SHIFT EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. IN WAKE OF A DEPARTING
MID-UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN THE NORTHEAST. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL
DEVELOP IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES AND WILL PROMOTE A TIGHTENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SOUTH CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG TERM DRYNESS
AS LEE CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS...SWLY LOW LEVEL
FLOW WILL INCREASE SWD INTO THE CNTRL AND SRN PLAINS. MODEL
SOUNDINGS INDICATE A DEEP MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE PRESENT
ACROSS THE AFOREMENTIONED REGION. A DOWNSLOPE REGIME COUPLED WITH
SUNNY SKIES WILL RESULT IN WARM AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
70S ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS. MODEL GUIDANCE HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT IN
SUGGESTING SUSTAINED STRONG SWLY WINDS /20 TO 30 MPH/ AND LOW RH
VALUES /TEENS/. THE CRITICAL FIRE THREAT APPEARS MOST PROBABLE
ACROSS A FOCUSED AREA FROM AROUND TCC NEWD TO NEAR LBL.
...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH A LACK OF RECENT
RAINFALL...LOW RH IN THE TEENS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL SUPPORT A
MARGINAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. MAGNITUDE OF THE SUSTAINED WINDS /10
TO 20 MPH/ WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL THREAT.
...SERN STATES...
A BRIEF PERIOD OF LOWER RH ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST WILL BE
TEMPERED BY LIGHT SURFACE WINDS DUE TO EXPANSIVE AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE MOVING INTO REGION. IN ADDITION...RECENT PRECIPITATION WILL
FURTHER MITIGATE THE FIRE THREAT.
..SMITH/JEWELL.. 03/01/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 010911
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0311 AM CST SAT MAR 01 2008
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EXTREME SRN NM AND FAR W TX...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR COLORADO RIVER VALLEY...
...SYNOPSIS...
A MID-UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DIG SEWD INTO THE SRN ROCKIES ON
SUNDAY. THE PRIMARY MID-LEVEL WAVE WILL MOVE SEWD AND REACH THE
MOGOLLON RIM BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IN RESPONSE TO THIS FEATURE...LOW
TO MID ALTITUDE WINDS WILL INCREASE DOWNSTREAM AND PRODUCE GUSTY WLY
WINDS. MEANWHILE...EXPANSIVE HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN IN THE
GREAT BASIN REGION AIDING IN TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE
SOUTHWEST U.S.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - COLORADO RIVER VALLEY REGION...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / VERY LOW RH /LONG TERM DROUGHT
A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST
REGION SUNDAY...RESULTING IN A STRONG NORTH TO SOUTH PRESSURE
GRADIENT. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY AND VERY
LOW RH /UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO TEENS/ MAY RESULT...WITH SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH DEVELOPING THROUGH THE DAY. SOME UNCERTAINTY
OF WIND STRENGTH EXISTS BASED ON VARYING MODEL GUIDANCE BUT STRONG
GUSTS ARE LIKELY GIVEN CLIMATOLOGICALLY FAVORABLE PATTERN.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN NM AND FAR W TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / HIGH KBDI
A WELL MIXED LOW LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WILL PROMOTE DRY...WARM...AND
WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS PARTS OF SRN NM AND WRN TX. WITH THE
APPROACH OF THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM ON SUNDAY...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO A
WLY COMPONENT. THE HIGHER WINDS WILL PROMOTE A WELL-MIXED LOWER
ATMOSPHERE LEADING TO STRONG SUSTAINED WLY WINDS /20 TO 30 MPH/ AND
LOW RH /TEENS/.
...SRN CA ALONG AND S OF THE COASTAL RANGE...
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS SRN CA ON SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
SHIFTS INTO THE GREAT BASIN BEHIND DEPARTING UPPER TROUGH. THE NELY
WINDS WILL BRING IN DRIER AIR AND WILL LIKELY RESULT IN MIN RH
VALUES IN THE TEENS. WINDS WILL BE STRONG AND GUSTY ESPECIALLY
THROUGH FAVORED PASSES AND CANYONS WITH GUSTS OF 30-50 MPH. ALTHOUGH
WINDY AND DRY...RECENT PRECIPITATION HAS MOISTENED FUELS SUCH THAT
CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED PER COORDINATION WITH
LOCAL FIELD OFFICES.
...SERN U.S...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE THE SOUTHEAST U.S. ON
SUNDAY. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT RELATIVELY DRIER AIR /RH
VALUES IN THE 20S/ WILL REMAIN ENTRENCHED IN THE REGION...ESPECIALLY
IN THE GA AND CAROLINA PIEDMONT. LIGHT SUSTAINED WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH AND RECENT PRECIPITATION WILL HELP MITIGATE THE
FIRE THREAT.
..SMITH/JEWELL.. 03/01/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...