Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 110726
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0226 AM CDT TUE MAR 11 2008
VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS DOWNSTREAM
OF AN UPPER TROUGH AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE PACIFIC NW ON
TUESDAY. MEANWHILE SEVERAL DISTURBANCES WILL AFFECT MAINLY THE ERN
HALF OF THE CONUS. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE PRIMARILY FOCUSED ON
THE EVOLUTION OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING SEWD FROM THE SRN ROCKIES
INTO THE SRN PLAINS REGION.
...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
LEE TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP IN RESPONSE TO A MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
MOVING SEWD FROM THE SRN ROCKIES INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES AND WARM AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPS /UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S/
WILL RESULT IN RH VALUES DIPPING INTO THE TEENS. ONE OF THE
LIMITING FACTORS FOR A CRITICAL THREAT APPEARS TO BE RELATIVELY
LIGHT TO MODERATE SUSTAINED WINDS /10-15 MPH/. MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS THAT THE HIGHER WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE WILL
REMAIN ALOFT AND ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER...THEREBY REDUCING THE
MAGNITUDE OF THE WINDS MIXED TO THE SURFACE. AS A RESULT...MARGINAL
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL PRECLUDE THE ISSUANCE OF A CRITICAL THREAT
AREA.
..SMITH.. 03/11/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 110848
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0348 AM CDT TUE MAR 11 2008
VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
MIDWEST AND NEW ENGLAND WHILE ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL AFFECT THE
ERN GULF COAST REGION. A MORE SUBTLE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
EMBEDDED IN NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND
TO THE SOUTH CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS BY THE END OF THE DAY 2 PERIOD.
...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE IS PROGGED BY DETERMINISTIC MODELS TO MOVE
FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES TO THE CENTRAL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS BY THE
END OF THE DAY 2 PERIOD. LEE TROUGHING AND SUBSEQUENT CYCLOGENESIS
WILL DEVELOP DOWNSTREAM OF THIS FEATURE IN THE SOUTH/CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PROMOTE DEEP MIXING AND BOUNDARY
LAYER RH WILL DECREASE TO THE TEENS BY THE AFTERNOON. A SURFACE LOW
IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP NEAR THE OK PANHANDLE. SOMEWHAT STRONGER
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS /15 TO 20 MPH/ AND BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW ARE
SUGGESTED BY MODEL OUTPUT FOR WEDNESDAY /DAY 2/ COMPARED TO TUESDAY
/DAY 1/. THE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EXACT STRENGTH AND AREAL
COVERAGE OF A RELATIVELY STRONGER BOUNDARY LAYER WIND FIELD WILL
PRECLUDE THIS AREA FROM A CRITICAL AREA ISSUANCE ATTM...BUT WILL BE
MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE CRITICAL UPGRADE FOR DAY 1 ISSUANCE.
..SMITH.. 03/11/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...