Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 110726
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0226 AM CDT TUE MAR 11 2008
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS DOWNSTREAM
   OF AN UPPER TROUGH AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE PACIFIC NW ON
   TUESDAY.  MEANWHILE SEVERAL DISTURBANCES WILL AFFECT MAINLY THE ERN
   HALF OF THE CONUS.  FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE PRIMARILY FOCUSED ON
   THE EVOLUTION OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING SEWD FROM THE SRN ROCKIES
   INTO THE SRN PLAINS REGION.
   
   ...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   
   LEE TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP IN RESPONSE TO A MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
   MOVING SEWD FROM THE SRN ROCKIES INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS.  MOSTLY
   SUNNY SKIES AND WARM AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPS /UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S/
   WILL RESULT IN RH VALUES DIPPING INTO THE TEENS.  ONE OF THE
   LIMITING FACTORS FOR A CRITICAL THREAT APPEARS TO BE RELATIVELY
   LIGHT TO MODERATE SUSTAINED WINDS /10-15 MPH/.  MODEL GUIDANCE
   SUGGESTS THAT THE HIGHER WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE WILL
   REMAIN ALOFT AND ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER...THEREBY REDUCING THE
   MAGNITUDE OF THE WINDS MIXED TO THE SURFACE.  AS A RESULT...MARGINAL
   SUSTAINED WINDS WILL PRECLUDE THE ISSUANCE OF A CRITICAL THREAT
   AREA.
   
   ..SMITH.. 03/11/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 110848
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0348 AM CDT TUE MAR 11 2008
   
   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
   MIDWEST AND NEW ENGLAND WHILE ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL AFFECT THE
   ERN GULF COAST REGION.  A MORE SUBTLE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
   EMBEDDED IN NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND
   TO THE SOUTH CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS BY THE END OF THE DAY 2 PERIOD.
   
   ...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   
   A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE IS PROGGED BY DETERMINISTIC MODELS TO MOVE
   FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES TO THE CENTRAL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS BY THE
   END OF THE DAY 2 PERIOD.  LEE TROUGHING AND SUBSEQUENT CYCLOGENESIS
   WILL DEVELOP DOWNSTREAM OF THIS FEATURE IN THE SOUTH/CENTRAL HIGH
   PLAINS.  MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PROMOTE DEEP MIXING AND BOUNDARY
   LAYER RH WILL DECREASE TO THE TEENS BY THE AFTERNOON.  A SURFACE LOW
   IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP NEAR THE OK PANHANDLE.  SOMEWHAT STRONGER
   SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS /15 TO 20 MPH/ AND BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW ARE
   SUGGESTED BY MODEL OUTPUT FOR WEDNESDAY /DAY 2/ COMPARED TO TUESDAY
   /DAY 1/.  THE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EXACT STRENGTH AND AREAL
   COVERAGE OF A RELATIVELY STRONGER BOUNDARY LAYER WIND FIELD WILL
   PRECLUDE THIS AREA FROM A CRITICAL AREA ISSUANCE ATTM...BUT WILL BE
   MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE CRITICAL UPGRADE FOR DAY 1 ISSUANCE.
   
   ..SMITH.. 03/11/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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