Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 150818
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0318 AM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MOST OF SRN NM...FAR SERN AZ...FAR
WRN TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
PRIMARY FEATURE OF INTEREST WILL BE A LARGE-SCALE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
AMPLIFYING ACROSS THE WRN CONUS. ATTENDANT MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX WILL
ROTATE AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH AND BECOME CENTERED ACROSS NRN
BAJA CA INTO SERN AZ/WRN NM BY EARLY SUN. A SURFACE LOW WILL BE
ESTABLISHED NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH BACKING OF
LOW-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MOST OF SRN NM...FAR SERN AZ...FAR
WRN TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DRYNESS
ALTHOUGH OVERALL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL NOT BE AS EXTREME AS
ON FRI INVOF THE SRN ROCKIES...CONTINUED STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND AN ANTECEDENT DRY AIR MASS WILL
MAINTAIN A CRITICAL THREAT. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM MAINLY INTO THE
70S RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD LOW RH OF 8 TO 15 PERCENT. MODEL
FORECAST SOUNDINGS DEPICT DEEPLY-MIXED THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES
CONDUCIVE TO STRONG GUSTY WINDS AT PEAK HEATING. SUSTAINED SWLY
SURFACE SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH SHOULD BE COMMON.
..GRAMS.. 03/15/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 150958
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0458 AM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR SERN NM...FAR WRN
TX...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF ERN/SRN NM AND WRN
TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN ACTIVE FIRE WEATHER DAY IS ANTICIPATED SUN AFTERNOON INVOF SRN
ROCKIES. A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL PROGRESS SLOWLY
E/SEWD ACROSS THE WRN CONUS AND BECOME CENTERED FROM THE NRN HIGH
PLAINS THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS INTO THE NRN GULF OF CA BY EARLY
MON. AN INTENSE MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX /500 MB WINDS AOA 100
MPH/...WILL SPREAD INTO NM/SERN AZ BY LATE SUN AFTERNOON. A SURFACE
LOW SHOULD DEVELOP INVOF SERN CO WITH AN ATTENDANT DRY LINE DRAPED
SWD ALONG THE SRN HIGH PLAINS.
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - FAR SERN NM...FAR WRN
TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DRYNESS
PARTICULARLY STRONG SWLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SUN AFTERNOON
DOWNSTREAM OF THE VIGOROUS MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. STEEPENING
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT DEEP VERTICAL MIXING AND DOWNWARD
MOMENTUM TRANSPORT. ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY ON WHERE THE
AXIS OF MOST INTENSE WINDS WILL LIE...SUSTAINED SURFACE SPEEDS
SHOULD REACH 25 TO 40 MPH FROM THE ELP/GDP/MRF AREA NEWD INTO FAR
SERN NM. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK INTO THE 70S WITH RH VALUES
FALLING TO BETWEEN 6 TO 10 PERCENT. THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT SUN
EVENING WILL RESULT IN A WIND SHIFT TO THE W/NW ALONG WITH COLDER
TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER...RH RECOVERY WILL BE RELATIVELY POOR THROUGH
MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT WITH AT LEAST MODERATE WIND SPEEDS CONTINUING.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS OF ERN/SRN NM AND WRN TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DRYNESS
SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...WIDESPREAD STRONG WINDS
WILL BE PREVALENT. THE EXTENT OF ANY CRITICAL THREAT WILL BE
DEMARCATED BY THE POSITION OF A DRY LINE IN WRN TX AND BY A COLD
FRONT IN WRN NM. ALTHOUGH MODEL GUIDANCE DIFFERS TO SOME DEGREE ON
THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF THESE FEATURES ON SUN AFTERNOON...STRONG
WINDS /SUSTAINED FROM 20 TO 30 MPH/ AND AT LEAST MARGINALLY LOW RH
/IN THE TEENS/ SHOULD OCCUR IN BETWEEN THEM.
..GRAMS.. 03/15/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...