Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 150818
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0318 AM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MOST OF SRN NM...FAR SERN AZ...FAR
   WRN TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   PRIMARY FEATURE OF INTEREST WILL BE A LARGE-SCALE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
   AMPLIFYING ACROSS THE WRN CONUS. ATTENDANT MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX WILL
   ROTATE AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH AND BECOME CENTERED ACROSS NRN
   BAJA CA INTO SERN AZ/WRN NM BY EARLY SUN. A SURFACE LOW WILL BE
   ESTABLISHED NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH BACKING OF
   LOW-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MOST OF SRN NM...FAR SERN AZ...FAR
   WRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DRYNESS
   
   ALTHOUGH OVERALL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL NOT BE AS EXTREME AS
   ON FRI INVOF THE SRN ROCKIES...CONTINUED STRONG WINDS ALONG WITH
   ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND AN ANTECEDENT DRY AIR MASS WILL
   MAINTAIN A CRITICAL THREAT. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM MAINLY INTO THE
   70S RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD LOW RH OF 8 TO 15 PERCENT. MODEL
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS DEPICT DEEPLY-MIXED THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES
   CONDUCIVE TO STRONG GUSTY WINDS AT PEAK HEATING. SUSTAINED SWLY
   SURFACE SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH SHOULD BE COMMON.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/15/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 150958
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0458 AM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008
   
   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FAR SERN NM...FAR WRN
   TX...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF ERN/SRN NM AND WRN
   TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN ACTIVE FIRE WEATHER DAY IS ANTICIPATED SUN AFTERNOON INVOF SRN
   ROCKIES. A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL PROGRESS SLOWLY
   E/SEWD ACROSS THE WRN CONUS AND BECOME CENTERED FROM THE NRN HIGH
   PLAINS THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS INTO THE NRN GULF OF CA BY EARLY
   MON. AN INTENSE MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX /500 MB WINDS AOA 100
   MPH/...WILL SPREAD INTO NM/SERN AZ BY LATE SUN AFTERNOON. A SURFACE
   LOW SHOULD DEVELOP INVOF SERN CO WITH AN ATTENDANT DRY LINE DRAPED
   SWD ALONG THE SRN HIGH PLAINS.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - FAR SERN NM...FAR WRN
   TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DRYNESS
   
   PARTICULARLY STRONG SWLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SUN AFTERNOON
   DOWNSTREAM OF THE VIGOROUS MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. STEEPENING
   LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT DEEP VERTICAL MIXING AND DOWNWARD
   MOMENTUM TRANSPORT. ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY ON WHERE THE 
   AXIS OF MOST INTENSE WINDS WILL LIE...SUSTAINED SURFACE SPEEDS
   SHOULD REACH 25 TO 40 MPH FROM THE ELP/GDP/MRF AREA NEWD INTO FAR
   SERN NM. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK INTO THE 70S WITH RH VALUES
   FALLING TO BETWEEN 6 TO 10 PERCENT. THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT SUN
   EVENING WILL RESULT IN A WIND SHIFT TO THE W/NW ALONG WITH COLDER
   TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER...RH RECOVERY WILL BE RELATIVELY POOR THROUGH
   MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT WITH AT LEAST MODERATE WIND SPEEDS CONTINUING.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS OF ERN/SRN NM AND WRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DRYNESS
   
   SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...WIDESPREAD STRONG WINDS
   WILL BE PREVALENT. THE EXTENT OF ANY CRITICAL THREAT WILL BE
   DEMARCATED BY THE POSITION OF A DRY LINE IN WRN TX AND BY A COLD
   FRONT IN WRN NM. ALTHOUGH MODEL GUIDANCE DIFFERS TO SOME DEGREE ON
   THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF THESE FEATURES ON SUN AFTERNOON...STRONG
   WINDS /SUSTAINED FROM 20 TO 30 MPH/ AND AT LEAST MARGINALLY LOW RH
   /IN THE TEENS/ SHOULD OCCUR IN BETWEEN THEM.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/15/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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