Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 260856
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0356 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2008
   
   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF THE SRN ROCKIES/HIGH
   PLAINS...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF THE SRN GREAT
   BASIN...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A SEASONABLY STRONG ZONAL FLOW PATTERN WILL REMAIN OVER THE NATION.
   A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WITHIN THIS PATTERN WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WRN
   CONUS TODAY. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...MODERATE WINDS AND LOW RH
   READINGS WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE SRN
   ROCKIES/HIGH PLAINS REGION. MEANWHILE...LOW RH READINGS WILL SLOWLY
   ERODE NWD ACROSS THE SERN STATES AS LOW LEVEL FLOW VEERS AND
   SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OVER MOST OF FLA AND SRN
   AL/GA.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - ECENTRAL AZ...MUCH OF CENTRAL/SRN
   NM...SERN CO AND WRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: WLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 35
   MPH...LOW RH READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT...INCIPIENT DROUGHT
   
   STRENGTHENING MID LEVEL FLOW OVER THE ROCKIES AHEAD OF A SEASONABLY
   STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH COMBINED WITH STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES WILL SUPPORT MODERATE AFTERNOON WLY WINDS /TO THE WEST OF A
   LEE TROUGH/DRYLINE/. SUSTAINED WLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS
   OVER 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED FROM THE NE PLATEAU REGION OF ERN AZ EWD
   ACROSS CENTRAL/SRN NM AND INTO SERN CO/WRN TX. LOW DEWPTS /0-15 DEG
   F/ COMBINED WITH THESE WINDS WILL SUPPORT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY EARLY EVENING EXCEPT FOR
   THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF NM AS THE LOW LEVELS STABILIZE...LEADING
   TO AN END OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN GREAT BASIN...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH...RH
   READINGS NEAR 15 PERCENT
   
   ALONG THE SRN FRINGE OF STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A
   PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH...WLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN
   15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH TODAY GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF STEEP
   LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES. RH READINGS WILL LOWER TO AROUND 15 PERCENT
   AS ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE 75-80 DEG F RANGE /BELOW 4000
   FT/ COMBINE WITH DEWPTS IN THE 20S.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   AS LOW LEVEL WINDS VEER TO A S-SELY DIRECTION...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
   WILL SLOWLY INCREASE OVER MUCH OF NRN FL TODAY. NORTH OF THIS
   AREA...ANOTHER DAY OF LOW RH READINGS IS EXPECTED OVER AL/GA AND THE
   CAROLINAS. HOWEVER...GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS /LESS THAN 15 MPH/ WILL
   PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK AREA.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/26/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 260859
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0359 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2008
   
   VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF NM/SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS
   TOMORROW. ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM...STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
   COMBINED WITH A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE/LEE TROUGH OVER THE
   HIGH PLAINS WILL SUPPORT MODERATE WINDS OVER NM/SRN HIGH PLAINS
   REGION. LOW RH READINGS COMBINED WITH THESE WINDS WILL SUPPORT A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. OTHERWISE...A GENERAL ZONAL FLOW
   PATTERN WILL LEAD TO NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS MOST OF THE
   REST OF THE NATION. LOW RH READINGS WILL DIMINISH OVER THE SERN
   STATES AS WINDS BECOME SLY AND SLOWLY INCREASE.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF SRN/CENTRAL NM...WRN TX AND
   FAR SWRN OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WSWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH...RH
   READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT
   
   STRENGTHENING MID LEVEL WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL/SRN ROCKIES
   ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL AID IN A
   DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE TX/OK PANHANDLES. SFC
   PRESSURE FALLS OF 6-8 MB/12 HRS COMBINED WITH STEEPENING MID LEVEL
   LAPSE RATES /SUPPORTING MIXING OF STRONGER WINDS ALOFT/ SHOULD
   PRODUCE SUSTAINED WSWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH.
   VERY WARM TEMPERATURES /20 DEG F ABOVE NORMAL/ FROM THE 70S ABOVE
   5000 FT...TO THE 80S BELOW 5000 FT COMBINED WITH LOW DEWPTS IN THE
   TEENS/20S WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT. ALTHOUGH
   THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE EWD EXTENT OF THE LEE
   TROUGH/DRYLINE ACROSS WRN TX/WRN OK...THE STRENGTH OF THE MID LEVEL
   FLOW AND LOCATION OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS DURING THE AFTERNOON
   HOURS SUGGESTS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SHOULD MOVE
   INTO AT LEAST THE FAR WRN PART OF OK.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AND SUPPORT RISING RH READINGS OVER MUCH OF 
   GA/AL AND FL TOMORROW. HOWEVER...WHERE TRAJECTORIES REMAIN A
   SUFFICIENTLY LONG ENOUGH TIME OVER LAND...LOW RH READINGS FROM 20-30
   PERCENT SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE CAROLINAS. SFC WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
   INCREASE /AROUND 15 MPH/ DUE TO A STRENGTHENING SFC PRESSURE
   GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH LEE TROUGH DEVELOPMENT EAST OF THE
   SRN/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. THIS INCREASE IN WINDS WILL SUPPORT NEAR
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF NC/SC. THIS AREA
   WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE CRITICAL OUTLOOK IF WINDS APPEAR TO
    BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER IN LATER FCSTS.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 03/26/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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