Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 310810
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0310 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2008
   
   VALID 311200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SE HALF OF NM...MUCH OF WRN AND
   NWRN TX...AND SWRN OK...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH...EVIDENT MONDAY MORNING ON WATER VAPOR
   IMAGERY...WILL MOVE FROM THE NRN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO THE
   MIDWEST BY TUESDAY MORNING.  A STRENGTHENING SURFACE CYCLONE WILL
   MOVE NEWD FROM THE PLAINS TO THE MIDWEST.  MEANWHILE...A SECONDARY
   SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS WITH
   AN ATTENDANT DRYLINE MOVING EWD INTO SW OK AND CENTRAL TX.  A COLD
   FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE SRN HIGH PLAINS DURING THE LATER
   HALF OF THE DAY 1 PERIOD.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SE HALF OF NM...MUCH OF WRN AND NWRN
   TX...AND SWRN OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH...DROUGHT
   
   AN UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK WITH ASSOCIATED STRONG WINDS ALOFT /500 MB
   AOA 70 KTS/ WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE VICINITY OF THE CRITICAL THREAT
   AREA.  IT IS LIKELY THAT SUSTAINED SWLY TO WLY SURFACE WINDS OF 20
   TO 30 MPH WILL DEVELOP.  AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES SWD OVER THE NRN
   PART OF THE RISK AREA /NE TX PANHANDLE...OK PANHANDLE/ WINDS WILL
   SHIFT TO A MORE NLY OR NELY COMPONENT.  LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE
   CONTINUES TO SUGGEST WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.  ADDITIONALLY...A
   WELL FOCUSED DRYLINE IS FORECAST TO MIX EWD TO CENTRAL OK AND NORTH
   CENTRAL TX BY MID AFTERNOON.  AN ALREADY VERY DRY AIRMASS OVER FAR
   WEST TX AND NM WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE ERN PORTIONS OF THE DELINEATED
   AREA.  MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES BEHIND THE DRYLINE WILL PROMOTE AMPLE
   BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY REACHING
   INTO THE 70S AND 80S WITH MIN RH VALUES IN THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS
   AND TEENS.
   
   ..SMITH.. 03/31/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 310847
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0347 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2008
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM AFFECTING THE CENTRAL CONUS ON DAY 1 WILL
   MOVE NEWD AND AFFECT PARTS OF THE NE U.S. ON TUESDAY /DAY 2/.  IN
   WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE
   MIDWEST.  A BRIEF ZONAL FLOW REGIME WILL SET UP ACROSS THE CONUS
   WITH PERIPHERY UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGHS CONFINED TO THE NRN U.S.
   
   ...SWRN NM AND SE AZ...
   
   A DRY AIRMASS WILL LIKELY EXIST ACROSS SWRN NM AND SE AZ WITH VERY
   DRY ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS EXISTING AS WELL.  MODEL OUTPUT GENERALLY
   SUGGESTS AFTERNOON MIN RH VALUES IN THE LOW TEENS. 
   HOWEVER...SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE RELATIVELY
   LIGHT AND SHOULD REMAIN AOB 15 KTS...THUS PRECLUDING A RISK AREA.
   
   ..SMITH.. 03/31/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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