Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 310810
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0310 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2008
VALID 311200Z - 011200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SE HALF OF NM...MUCH OF WRN AND
NWRN TX...AND SWRN OK...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH...EVIDENT MONDAY MORNING ON WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY...WILL MOVE FROM THE NRN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO THE
MIDWEST BY TUESDAY MORNING. A STRENGTHENING SURFACE CYCLONE WILL
MOVE NEWD FROM THE PLAINS TO THE MIDWEST. MEANWHILE...A SECONDARY
SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS WITH
AN ATTENDANT DRYLINE MOVING EWD INTO SW OK AND CENTRAL TX. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE SRN HIGH PLAINS DURING THE LATER
HALF OF THE DAY 1 PERIOD.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SE HALF OF NM...MUCH OF WRN AND NWRN
TX...AND SWRN OK...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH...DROUGHT
AN UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK WITH ASSOCIATED STRONG WINDS ALOFT /500 MB
AOA 70 KTS/ WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE VICINITY OF THE CRITICAL THREAT
AREA. IT IS LIKELY THAT SUSTAINED SWLY TO WLY SURFACE WINDS OF 20
TO 30 MPH WILL DEVELOP. AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES SWD OVER THE NRN
PART OF THE RISK AREA /NE TX PANHANDLE...OK PANHANDLE/ WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO A MORE NLY OR NELY COMPONENT. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE
CONTINUES TO SUGGEST WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH. ADDITIONALLY...A
WELL FOCUSED DRYLINE IS FORECAST TO MIX EWD TO CENTRAL OK AND NORTH
CENTRAL TX BY MID AFTERNOON. AN ALREADY VERY DRY AIRMASS OVER FAR
WEST TX AND NM WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE ERN PORTIONS OF THE DELINEATED
AREA. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES BEHIND THE DRYLINE WILL PROMOTE AMPLE
BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES GENERALLY REACHING
INTO THE 70S AND 80S WITH MIN RH VALUES IN THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS
AND TEENS.
..SMITH.. 03/31/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 310847
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0347 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2008
VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM AFFECTING THE CENTRAL CONUS ON DAY 1 WILL
MOVE NEWD AND AFFECT PARTS OF THE NE U.S. ON TUESDAY /DAY 2/. IN
WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE
MIDWEST. A BRIEF ZONAL FLOW REGIME WILL SET UP ACROSS THE CONUS
WITH PERIPHERY UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGHS CONFINED TO THE NRN U.S.
...SWRN NM AND SE AZ...
A DRY AIRMASS WILL LIKELY EXIST ACROSS SWRN NM AND SE AZ WITH VERY
DRY ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS EXISTING AS WELL. MODEL OUTPUT GENERALLY
SUGGESTS AFTERNOON MIN RH VALUES IN THE LOW TEENS.
HOWEVER...SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE RELATIVELY
LIGHT AND SHOULD REMAIN AOB 15 KTS...THUS PRECLUDING A RISK AREA.
..SMITH.. 03/31/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...