Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

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   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 020734
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0234 AM CDT WED APR 02 2008
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NM...SERN AZ...FAR WRN
   TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   PRIMARY FEATURE OF FIRE WEATHER INTEREST WILL BE A MID/UPPER-LEVEL
   SHORT WAVE TROUGH OFF THE CA COAST PROGRESSING EWD INTO THE LOWER CO
   RIVER VALLEY BY EARLY THU. W/SWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO
   STRENGTHEN OUT AHEAD OF THE TROUGH ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST/SRN ROCKIES.
   AT THE SURFACE...A LEE CYCLONE WILL BECOME CENTERED IN NERN NM BY
   LATE AFTERNOON WITH AN ATTENDANT DRYLINE SITUATED SWD ACROSS THE ERN
   NM PLAINS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF NM...SERN AZ...FAR WRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DRYNESS
   
   WARM/DRY CONDITIONS OBSERVED OVER SERN AZ/WRN NM ON TUE...WILL
   SPREAD EWD AS THE DRYLINE MIXES INTO THE ERN NM PLAINS TODAY.
   DESPITE AN INCREASE IN MID/UPPER-LEVEL CLOUD COVERAGE INHIBITING
   FULL INSOLATION...AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY REACH INTO
   THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. THIS WILL LEAD TO RH VALUES FALLING TO AROUND
   8 TO 15 PERCENT. AS THE MID-LEVEL JET AXIS IMPINGES UPON SERN
   AZ/SWRN NM BY LATE AFTERNOON...A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER WILL
   SUPPORT WIDESPREAD SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS FROM 20 TO 30 MPH.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 04/02/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 020955
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0455 AM CDT WED APR 02 2008
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SERN
   NM...WRN TX...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN/ERN NM...MOST OF WRN TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER EVENT APPEARS PROBABLE INVOF SRN HIGH
   PLAINS AS AN UPPER LOW NOW OFF THE CA COAST ACCELERATES EWD TOWARDS
   THE SRN ROCKIES AND PHASES WITH NRN STREAM TROUGH AMPLIFYING FROM
   THE NRN ROCKIES. A SURFACE LOW SHOULD BECOME ESTABLISHED INVOF ERN
   TX PANHANDLE THU AFTERNOON WITH A SHARP DRY LINE EXTENDING S/SWWD
   ACROSS WRN TX.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS OF SERN NM...WRN
   TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / VERY LOW RH / MODERATE DROUGHT
   
   WITH A POTENT MID-LEVEL JET CENTERED DIRECTLY OVER THE SRN NM/WRN
   TX/NRN MEXICO BORDER REGION...A FAVORABLE DOWNSLOPE/SUBSIDENT REGIME
   WILL ENSUE WITH VERY DEEPLY MIXED THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES ACROSS THE
   HIGH PLAINS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM WELL INTO THE 80S WITH DEW
   POINTS DROPPING THROUGH THE SINGLE DIGITS. RH VALUES SHOULD BECOME
   VERY LOW /FROM 4 TO 8 PERCENT/ ACROSS SWRN TX/FAR SERN NM. DESPITE
   MODEL GUIDANCE DEPICTING SOME VARIATION IN STRENGTH OF LOW-LEVEL
   FLOW...THE GREAT DEPTH OF THE MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD RESULT IN
   SUSTAINED SURFACE SPEEDS AROUND 25 TO 35 MPH NEAR PEAK HEATING.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SRN/ERN NM...MOST OF WRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DRYNESS
   
   SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...LOW RH AND STRONG WINDS
   WILL BE PERVASIVE TO THE WEST OF A DRY LINE MIXING ACROSS WRN TX AND
   SOUTH OF A COLD FRONT PUSHING SWD INTO THE TX PANHANDLE.
   TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 70S AND 80S WITH RH VALUES GENERALLY
   FALLING TO AROUND 8 TO 15 PERCENT. WIDESPREAD SUSTAINED SURFACE
   SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH ARE LIKELY.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 04/02/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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