Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 050815
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0315 AM CDT SAT APR 05 2008
   
   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NM...WRN TX...WRN KS...WRN
   OK...SERN CO...NERN AZ...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A BROAD LOW AMPLITUDE UPPER TROUGH WILL DIG SEWD ACROSS THE ROCKIES
   INTO THE PLAINS...INDUCING A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE TROUGH FROM SD
   SWD INTO ERN NM/WRN TX. VERY STRONG WINDS WILL RESULT OVER THE
   PLAINS...AS WELL AS NRN AZ AND NM...COMBINING WITH LOW RH TO PRODUCE
   AN EXPANSIVE ZONE OF CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS FROM NM INTO WRN KS.
   ELSEWHERE...A FAST MOVING UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS
   THE GULF COAST STATES WHERE NUMEROUS STORMS WILL FOCUS ALONG A COLD
   FRONT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF NM...WRN TX...WRN KS...WRN
   OK...SERN CO...NERN AZ...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
   
   A SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN OVER ERN CO/WRN KS WITHIN A BROADER LEE
   TROUGH THAT WILL EXTEND FROM SD INTO ERN NM. SWLY WINDS WILL
   INCREASE RAPIDLY AFTER SUNRISE FROM NRN AND ERN NM EWD INTO THE
   CNTRL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH ARE LIKELY
   WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE FARTHER W INTO NRN AND
   ERN AZ AS WELL AS WRN NM...BENEATH STRONG ZONAL FLOW REGIME ALOFT.
   HEATING AND MIXING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO STRENGTHENING WIND FIELDS
   HERE. RH VALUES WILL BE QUITE LOW...WITH UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO
   TEENS AREAWIDE. THE MOST POTENT COMBINATION OF HIGH WINDS...LOW
   HUMIDITY AND A HIGH HAINES INDEX WILL BE OVER NERN NM INTO THE OK
   AND TX PANHANDLES...WHERE NEAR EXTREME CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 04/05/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 050817
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0317 AM CDT SAT APR 05 2008
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH AXIS WILL MOVE INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS SUN AFTERNOON
   WITH SURFACE FRONT FROM MN INTO OK/NWRN TX BY AFTERNOON. VERY WARM
   AND DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE SW WITH GUSTY
   BUT SUB-CRITICAL WIND SPEEDS MOST AREAS.
   
   ...NM AND W TX...
   WIND SPEEDS WILL BE MUCH LESS THAN PREVIOUS DAY DUE TO A WEAKER
   PRESSURE GRADIENT AS UPPER TROUGH LIFTS TO THE NE. A VERY WARM AND
   DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO THE
   80S OVER SRN NM AND WRN/SWRN TX AND MIN RH VALUES IN THE UPPER
   SINGLE DIGITS INTO THE TEENS. MIXING LAYERS WILL ALSO BE VERY
   DEEP...RESULTING IN A HIGH HAINES INDEX.
   
   MODEST WLY FLOW ALOFT...COMBINED WITH TURBULENT MIXING WILL RESULT
   IN GUSTY WINDS AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON. IN GENERAL...SUSTAINED
   WIND SPEEDS SHOULD AVERAGE 10-15 MPH. HOWEVER...GUSTS OF 15-20 MPH
   ARE LIKELY. GIVEN THE EXTREME DRYNESS...A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
   EXPECTED WINDS WOULD WARRANT AN UPGRADE TO CRITICAL IN LATER
   OUTLOOKS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 04/05/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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