Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 170741
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0241 AM CDT THU APR 17 2008
VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SWRN TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
A MID-UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE EWD FROM THE SRN ROCKIES TO
THE PLAINS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD ACROSS PARTS OF THE SRN HIGH
PLAINS AND A DRY LINE WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS W CENTRAL TX. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING WILL OCCUR IN ADVANCE OF THIS UPPER DISTURBANCE ACROSS
THE ERN CONUS WHERE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESIDE.
MEANWHILE...A DOWNSLOPE REGIME ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE NRN ROCKIES
WILL LIKELY OCCUR.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SWRN TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY LOW RH...STRONG WINDS...DROUGHT
BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT IN THE PLACEMENT AND TIMING OF COLD FRONT
PASSAGE IN THE SRN HIGH PLAINS SUGGESTS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR ACROSS A FOCUSED AREA IN SWRN TX. MORNING
SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT VERY DRY AIR IS ALREADY LOCATED
ACROSS SRN NM AND PARTS OF SWRN TX /DEWPTS NEAR 0 DEG F./. STRONG
MID-LEVEL FLOW ALOFT /75 MPH AT 500 MB/ WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION.
MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST STEEP LOW TO MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
WILL BE PRESENT ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING
HRS. WITH AMPLE BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING LIKELY TO OCCUR...MIN RH
VALUES WILL PLUMMET ONCE AGAIN INTO THE LOW SINGLE DIGITS IN SOME
LOCALIZED AREAS. SUSTAINED WSWLY TO WNWLY WINDS OF NEAR 20 AND UP
TO 30 MPH SEEM PROBABLE...WITH HIGHER GUSTS LIKELY. WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE NW AND N FOLLOWING COLD FRONT PASSAGE WITH SOME RH
RECOVERY.
...NORTH CENTRAL MT...
A DOWNSLOPE REGIME WILL LIKELY OCCUR ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE NRN
ROCKIES THURSDAY /DAY 1/. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST STRONG MIXING
AOB 700 MB. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS SEEM
PROBABLE. HOWEVER...MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST RH TO REMAIN AOA 20 TO
25 PERCENT. UNCERTAINTY REGARDING FUELS AND BORDERLINE MIN RH
VALUES FOR A FEW HRS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE DESIGNATION.
...FL AND PARTS OF SRN GA/AL...
00Z/17 AREA RAOBS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT DRY AIR REMAINS
ENTRENCHED ACROSS PARTS OF THE SE. RH VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 25
PERCENT FOR A FEW HOURS ON THURSDAY /DAY 2/. DESPITE THIS
DRY AIR IN PLACE...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL LIKELY BE NEAR 10 MPH OVER
THE GENERAL AREA. SOME LOCALIZED AREAS MAY REACH CRITICAL CRITERIA
/15 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS/ BUT ANTICIPATE RELATIVE ISOLATED COVERAGE
OF THESE CONDITIONS.
..SMITH.. 04/17/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 170811
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0311 AM CDT THU APR 17 2008
VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A CUTOFF MID LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS CENTRAL
PARTS OF THE CONUS AND A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EWD THROUGH THE MID
SOUTH. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO MOVE SE AND BEGIN TO AFFECT
THE PAC NW. BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AND SUBSEQUENT RH SHOULD
UNDERGO SOME IMPROVEMENT ACROSS PARTS OF THE SE. ATTM...WIDESPREAD
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE RELATIVELY LOW BETWEEN
THE TIMING OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SYSTEMS.
..SMITH.. 04/17/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...