Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 170741
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0241 AM CDT THU APR 17 2008
   
   VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SWRN TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A MID-UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE EWD FROM THE SRN ROCKIES TO
   THE PLAINS.  A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD ACROSS PARTS OF THE SRN HIGH
   PLAINS AND A DRY LINE WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS W CENTRAL TX.  UPPER
   LEVEL RIDGING WILL OCCUR IN ADVANCE OF THIS UPPER DISTURBANCE ACROSS
   THE ERN CONUS WHERE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESIDE. 
   MEANWHILE...A DOWNSLOPE REGIME ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE NRN ROCKIES
   WILL LIKELY OCCUR.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SWRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY LOW RH...STRONG WINDS...DROUGHT
   
   BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT IN THE PLACEMENT AND TIMING OF COLD FRONT
   PASSAGE IN THE SRN HIGH PLAINS SUGGESTS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR ACROSS A FOCUSED AREA IN SWRN TX.  MORNING
   SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT VERY DRY AIR IS ALREADY LOCATED
   ACROSS SRN NM AND PARTS OF SWRN TX /DEWPTS NEAR 0 DEG F./.  STRONG
   MID-LEVEL FLOW ALOFT /75 MPH AT 500 MB/ WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION. 
   MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST STEEP LOW TO MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
   WILL BE PRESENT ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING
   HRS.  WITH AMPLE BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING LIKELY TO OCCUR...MIN RH
   VALUES WILL PLUMMET ONCE AGAIN INTO THE LOW SINGLE DIGITS IN SOME
   LOCALIZED AREAS.  SUSTAINED WSWLY TO WNWLY WINDS OF NEAR 20 AND UP
   TO 30 MPH SEEM PROBABLE...WITH HIGHER GUSTS LIKELY.  WINDS WILL
   SHIFT TO THE NW AND N FOLLOWING COLD FRONT PASSAGE WITH SOME RH
   RECOVERY.
   
   ...NORTH CENTRAL MT...
   
   A DOWNSLOPE REGIME WILL LIKELY OCCUR ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE NRN
   ROCKIES THURSDAY /DAY 1/.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST STRONG MIXING
   AOB 700 MB.  SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS SEEM
   PROBABLE.  HOWEVER...MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST RH TO REMAIN AOA 20 TO
   25 PERCENT.  UNCERTAINTY REGARDING FUELS AND BORDERLINE MIN RH
   VALUES FOR A FEW HRS WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE DESIGNATION.
   
   ...FL AND PARTS OF SRN GA/AL...
   
   00Z/17 AREA RAOBS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT DRY AIR REMAINS
   ENTRENCHED ACROSS PARTS OF THE SE.  RH VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 25
   PERCENT FOR A FEW HOURS ON THURSDAY /DAY 2/.  DESPITE THIS
   DRY AIR IN PLACE...SUSTAINED WINDS WILL LIKELY BE NEAR 10 MPH OVER
   THE GENERAL AREA.  SOME LOCALIZED AREAS MAY REACH CRITICAL CRITERIA
   /15 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS/ BUT ANTICIPATE RELATIVE ISOLATED COVERAGE
   OF THESE CONDITIONS.
   
   ..SMITH.. 04/17/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 170811
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0311 AM CDT THU APR 17 2008
   
   VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A CUTOFF MID LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS CENTRAL
   PARTS OF THE CONUS AND A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EWD THROUGH THE MID
   SOUTH.  AN UPPER TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO MOVE SE AND BEGIN TO AFFECT
   THE PAC NW.  BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AND SUBSEQUENT RH SHOULD
   UNDERGO SOME IMPROVEMENT ACROSS PARTS OF THE SE.  ATTM...WIDESPREAD
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE RELATIVELY LOW BETWEEN
   THE TIMING OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SYSTEMS.
   
   
   ..SMITH.. 04/17/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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