Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 070827
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0327 AM CDT WED MAY 07 2008
VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SWRN AND FAR WRN TX/SRN AND CNTRL
NM...
...SYNOPSIS...
A POTENT UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES/NRN MEXICO WILL
EJECT E/NEWD REACHING THE MID/LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY EARLY THU.
SURFACE CYCLONE WILL TRACK FROM THE SRN HIGH PLAINS TO THE RED RIVER
VALLEY BY LATE AFTERNOON...WITH AN ATTENDANT DRYLINE SURGING EWD
ACROSS SWRN INTO CNTRL TX INVOF I-35 CORRIDOR. UPSTREAM...AN
UPPER-LEVEL IMPULSE OVER THE PACIFIC NW/NRN CA WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AS
A SHORT WAVE OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA AMPLIFIES SWD.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SWRN AND FAR WRN TX/SRN AND CNTRL
NM...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / HIGH KBDI
A SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER DAY SHOULD ENVELOP MUCH OF SWRN TX AS AN
INTENSE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH PASSES E OF THE REGION THIS MORNING.
STRENGTHENING SUBSIDENCE AND W/NWLY LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL ENHANCE
DOWNSLOPE WARMING/DRYING RESULTING IN DEEPLY MIXED THERMODYNAMIC
PROFILES BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS AROUND 25 TO 35
MPH ARE LIKELY WITH RH VALUES OF 8 TO 15 PERCENT AS TEMPERATURES
WARM INTO THE 80S. RECENT SCATTERED RAINFALL OVER THE PAST TWO DAYS
AND DIMINISHING LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW DURING MID/LATE AFTERNOON WILL
PRECLUDE AN UPGRADE TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL. ELSEWHERE...SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH LOW RH VALUES FROM 8 TO 20 PERCENT WILL
LEAD TO A CRITICAL THREAT.
...PORTIONS OF THE CO RIVER VALLEY IN NWRN AZ/FAR SRN NV...
A MODEST STRENGTHENING OF KINEMATIC FIELDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH NRN
CA/PACIFIC NW UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MAY RESULT IN
LOCALIZED/SHORT-DURATION CRITICAL CONDITIONS NEAR PEAK HEATING.
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS SHOULD APPROACH 20 MPH FOR A BRIEF PERIOD AS
RH VALUES DIP TO BETWEEN 10 TO 15 PERCENT.
..GRAMS.. 05/07/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 070923
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0423 AM CDT WED MAY 07 2008
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MOST OF NM/PORTIONS OF FAR W TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH WILL DEAMPLIFY AS IT SHIFTS
NEWD OVER THE OH RIVER VALLEY. IN ITS WAKE...AN UPPER-LEVEL IMPULSE
WILL PROGRESS EWD FROM THE ERN GREAT BASIN INTO THE CNTRL CONUS AS A
SHORT WAVE DIGS ACROSS THE PACIFIC NW. AT THE SURFACE...A LEE TROUGH
WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS WITH A
CYCLONE CENTERED INVOF TX/OK PANHANDLES THU AFTERNOON.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MOST OF NM/PORTIONS OF FAR W TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / DROUGHT
WLY MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL INCREASE OVER THE SRN ROCKIES THU AS A WEAK
IMPULSE MOVES EWD FROM THE ERN GREAT BASIN/FOUR CORNERS. MODEL
GUIDANCE DOES DIFFER WITH HOW MUCH WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AND
PROVIDES ABOVE-AVERAGE UNCERTAINTY IN THE DURATION/SPATIAL EXTENT OF
A CRITICAL THREAT. SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS SHOULD RANGE BETWEEN 15
TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON...THUS WILL MAINTAIN PREVIOUSLY
INTRODUCED CRITICAL AREA. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY WARM
INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S RESULTING IN LOW RH OF 6 TO 12
PERCENT.
..GRAMS.. 05/07/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...