Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 070827
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0327 AM CDT WED MAY 07 2008
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SWRN AND FAR WRN TX/SRN AND CNTRL
   NM...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A POTENT UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES/NRN MEXICO WILL
   EJECT E/NEWD REACHING THE MID/LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY EARLY THU.
   SURFACE CYCLONE WILL TRACK FROM THE SRN HIGH PLAINS TO THE RED RIVER
   VALLEY BY LATE AFTERNOON...WITH AN ATTENDANT DRYLINE SURGING EWD
   ACROSS SWRN INTO CNTRL TX INVOF I-35 CORRIDOR. UPSTREAM...AN
   UPPER-LEVEL IMPULSE OVER THE PACIFIC NW/NRN CA WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AS
   A SHORT WAVE OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA AMPLIFIES SWD.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SWRN AND FAR WRN TX/SRN AND CNTRL
   NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / HIGH KBDI
   
   A SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER DAY SHOULD ENVELOP MUCH OF SWRN TX AS AN
   INTENSE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH PASSES E OF THE REGION THIS MORNING.
   STRENGTHENING SUBSIDENCE AND W/NWLY LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL ENHANCE
   DOWNSLOPE WARMING/DRYING RESULTING IN DEEPLY MIXED THERMODYNAMIC
   PROFILES BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS AROUND 25 TO 35
   MPH ARE LIKELY WITH RH VALUES OF 8 TO 15 PERCENT AS TEMPERATURES
   WARM INTO THE 80S. RECENT SCATTERED RAINFALL OVER THE PAST TWO DAYS
   AND DIMINISHING LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW DURING MID/LATE AFTERNOON WILL
   PRECLUDE AN UPGRADE TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL. ELSEWHERE...SUSTAINED
   WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH LOW RH VALUES FROM 8 TO 20 PERCENT WILL
   LEAD TO A CRITICAL THREAT.
   
   ...PORTIONS OF THE CO RIVER VALLEY IN NWRN AZ/FAR SRN NV...
   A MODEST STRENGTHENING OF KINEMATIC FIELDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH NRN
   CA/PACIFIC NW UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MAY RESULT IN 
   LOCALIZED/SHORT-DURATION CRITICAL CONDITIONS NEAR PEAK HEATING.
   SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS SHOULD APPROACH 20 MPH FOR A BRIEF PERIOD AS
   RH VALUES DIP TO BETWEEN 10 TO 15 PERCENT.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 05/07/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 070923
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0423 AM CDT WED MAY 07 2008
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MOST OF NM/PORTIONS OF FAR W TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH WILL DEAMPLIFY AS IT SHIFTS
   NEWD OVER THE OH RIVER VALLEY. IN ITS WAKE...AN UPPER-LEVEL IMPULSE
   WILL PROGRESS EWD FROM THE ERN GREAT BASIN INTO THE CNTRL CONUS AS A
   SHORT WAVE DIGS ACROSS THE PACIFIC NW. AT THE SURFACE...A LEE TROUGH
   WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS WITH A
   CYCLONE CENTERED INVOF TX/OK PANHANDLES THU AFTERNOON.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MOST OF NM/PORTIONS OF FAR W TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / DROUGHT
   
   WLY MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL INCREASE OVER THE SRN ROCKIES THU AS A WEAK
   IMPULSE MOVES EWD FROM THE ERN GREAT BASIN/FOUR CORNERS. MODEL
   GUIDANCE DOES DIFFER WITH HOW MUCH WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AND
   PROVIDES ABOVE-AVERAGE UNCERTAINTY IN THE DURATION/SPATIAL EXTENT OF
   A CRITICAL THREAT. SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS SHOULD RANGE BETWEEN 15
   TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON...THUS WILL MAINTAIN PREVIOUSLY
   INTRODUCED CRITICAL AREA. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY WARM
   INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S RESULTING IN LOW RH OF 6 TO 12
   PERCENT.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 05/07/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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