Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 100615
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0115 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF ERN NM...FAR SERN CO...WRN
   OK PANHANDLE...CNTRL AND SWRN TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A DEVELOPING UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CNTRL U.S.
   TODAY...PROVIDING INCREASED WINDS AND A CRITICAL FIRE THREAT FROM NM
   INTO CNTRL TX. BY AFTERNOON...A SURFACE LOW WILL BE LOCATED OVER NRN
   MO WITH A COLD FRONT TRAILING SWWD ACROSS OK AND NWRN TX. VERY WARM
   AND DRY AIR WILL SPREAD EWD OUT OF NM INTO TX. TO THE W...AN UPPER
   RIDGE WILL EXIST ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WITH GENERALLY WARM AND DRY
   CONDITIONS OVER CA...NV AND SRN AZ.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MUCH OF ERN NM...FAR SERN CO...WRN
   OK PANHANDLE...CNTRL AND SWRN TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH NRN AREAS...VERY HOT DRY
   AND WINDY SRN AREAS
   
   WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS TO THE
   NE. SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS NEAR 30 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM NERN NM
   INTO SERN CO AND THE TX/OK PANHANDLES...ALONG WITH LOW RH NEAR 10-15
   PERCENT. FARTHER S INTO SERN NM...SWRN TX AND CNTRL TX...WINDS WILL
   BE SLIGHTLY LESS...FROM 15-25 MPH SUSTAINED BUT WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
   HERE...TEMPERATURES WILL BE HOT...WITH HIGHS WELL INTO THE 90S AND A
   FEW LOCATIONS OVER 100 F. RH WILL THUS BE EXTREMELY LOW...FROM THE
   UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO THE LOWER TEENS. THE COMBINATION OF INCREASED
   WINDS...AND A HIGH HAINES INDEX WILL THUS RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE
   CONDITIONS SPREADING EWD BEHIND THE DRYLINE...WELL INTO CNTRL TX.
   
   ...SWRN KS...MUCH OF THE TX PANHANDLE AND S PLAINS...
   RECENT PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY MITIGATE THE SEVERITY OF THE FIRE
   THREAT TODAY...ALTHOUGH STRONG WINDS AND VERY LOW RH WOULD OTHERWISE
   RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS. SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS OF 20-30
   MPH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH MIN RH IN THE TEENS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 05/10/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 100615
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0115 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER LOW/TROUGH WILL SHIFT EWD ACROSS THE OH RIVER
   VALLEY...WITH A SECONDARY SURFACE LOW ACROSS THE CAROLINAS. HIGH
   PRESSURE WILL EXPAND S AND EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS INTO THE
   LOWER MS VALLEY IN THE WAKE OF THIS STRONG SYSTEM...WITH MARGINAL
   FIRE THREAT OVER A LARGE AREA EXTENDING WWD INTO THE GREAT BASIN.
   
   ...NV/UT...
   AS THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH MOVES ASHORE THE W COAST...LOW PRESSURE
   WILL DEVELOP OVER UT AND NV...WITH WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ALONG
   WITH INCREASING WINDS. SWLY WINDS BY LATE AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO
   BE NEAR 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. QUESTIONS REMAIN AS TO HOW HIGH
   SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE AND THIS AREA COULD BE UPGRADED TO CRITICAL
   IF WINDS DO INDEED INCREASE FURTHER.
   
   ...AZ/NM...
   WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS AZ AND NM WITH A WEAK
   UPPER RIDGE IN PLACE. MIN RH IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LOWER TEENS
   ARE LIKELY...ALONG WITH INCREASING SWLY WINDS OF 15-20 MPH. MARGINAL
   WIND SPEEDS ARE LIKELY TO KEEP SUNDAYS THREAT SUB CRITICAL ON THE
   LARGE SCALE.
   
   ...CNTRL AND SRN TX...
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SWD INTO TX IN THE WAKE OF THE SATURDAY
   COLD FRONT. NLY WINDS NEAR 15 MPH WILL BE LIKELY...ALONG WITH MIN RH
   OF 15-20 PERCENT...AND THE COMBINATION OF THE TWO WILL RESULT IN
   MARGINALLY CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS SUNDAY AFTERNOON MAINLY FOR
   SOUTH CENTRAL AND DEEP S TX WHERE LONGER TERM DROUGHT PERSISTS.
   
   ...LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE CNTRL GULF COAST...
   A STRONG LOW PRESSURE TROUGH/COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SUNDAY
   MORNING...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL NOT COOL VERY MUCH WITH HIGHS STILL
   EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S FROM LA INTO MS/AL. 
   VERY STRONG WLY WINDS OF 20-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THIS
   FRONT...WITH HUMIDITY LEVELS LOWERING THROUGHOUT THE DAY. INDICATION
   ARE THAT MIN RH COULD APPROACH 30 PERCENT OVER AR/LA...WITH HIGHER
   VALUES TO THE E. MITIGATING FACTORS TO ANY CRITICAL FIRE THREAT WILL
   BE RECENT PRECIPITATION AND ALSO HOW MUCH FALLS ON SATURDAY NIGHT.
   SOME OF THE DRIEST AREAS HAVE BEEN WRN LA...WHICH MAY EXPERIENCE A
   MARGINALLY CRITICAL FIRE THREAT ON SUNDAY.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 05/10/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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