Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 260906
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0406 AM CDT MON MAY 26 2008
VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MOST OF NM/EXTREME WRN PORTIONS OF
TX...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF WRN S FL...
...SYNOPSIS...
REX BLOCK OVER WRN NORTH AMERICA SHOULD RE-DEVELOP ALONG THE WEST
COAST...WITH UPPER LOW CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE SRN GREAT BASIN
WEAKENING AS IT SHIFTS NEWD TOWARDS THE NRN ROCKIES. ERN CANADIAN
TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY SWD TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES. AT THE
SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE OVER NRN MN WILL RAPIDLY MOVE INTO ERN QUEBEC
BY EARLY TUE. EXPANSIVE SURFACE RIDGE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TO
THE CAROLINAS SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT SINKS SWD. FARTHER
W...LEE CYCLONE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED INVOF SERN CO/OK PANHANDLE
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH ATTENDANT DRY LINE DRAPED SWD ACROSS THE
SRN HIGH PLAINS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - MOST OF NM/EXTREME WRN PORTIONS OF
TX...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DRYNESS
OVERALL SYNOPTIC REGIME WILL BE SIMILAR TO SUN LEADING TO A
CONTINUED CRITICAL THREAT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SRN ROCKIES/HIGH
PLAINS. ALTHOUGH THERE SHOULD BE A SLIGHT DECREASE IN MID-LEVEL FLOW
OWING TO WEAKENING OF SRN GREAT BASIN TROUGH...DEEPLY MIXED
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES SHOULD SUPPORT SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
AVERAGING 20 TO 25 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 90S AT LOWER
ELEVATIONS WITH 80S IN HIGHER TERRAIN...RESULTING IN RH VALUES FROM
5 TO 10 PERCENT. A SHARP CUTOFF TO CRITICAL CONDITIONS IS
EXPECTED...INVOF OF THE SURFACE LOW AND ALONG THE DRYLINE...BREEDING
UNCERTAINTY IN THE NRN/ERN EXTENT OF THE THREAT. THE NAM IS MOST
AGGRESSIVE WITH MIXING THE DRYLINE EWD...WHILE GFS AND ECMWF REMAIN
FARTHER W. THE TRACK RECORD OF RECENT EVENTS SUGGEST A MORE
CONSERVATIVE/WWD-PLACEMENT OF EXPECTED DRYLINE LOCATION IS PRUDENT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PORTIONS OF WRN S FL...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: MODERATE WINDS / LOW RH / MODERATE TO SEVERE
DROUGHT
RECENT GPS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES /AROUND 0.75 INCHES/ CONFIRM A
RATHER DRY AIR MASS HAS SPREAD INTO S FL. 08Z SURFACE DEW POINTS
WERE AROUND 8 TO 10 DEGREES COMPARED TO 24 HOURS AGO. AS
TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S...RH VALUES WILL
LIKELY FALL TO AROUND 30 TO 35 PERCENT. ALTHOUGH THE SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT IS MODEST...SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 15 MPH ARE
EXPECTED NEAR PEAK HEATING LENDING TO A MODERATE DURATION CRITICAL
THREAT.
...INTERIOR SRN NEW ENGLAND...
LOW-LEVEL SWLYS WILL STRENGTHEN IN ADVANCE OF APPROACHING CYCLONE
CROSSING THE GREAT LAKES TODAY. SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS SHOULD REACH
20 TO 25 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON AS LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN.
THIS MAY BECOME JUXTAPOSED WITH A SHORT DURATION OF MARGINALLY LOW
RH /AROUND 30 PERCENT/. MODEL GUIDANCE ARE INSISTENT THAT MEAN
MIXING RATIOS WILL INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY...THUS ANY CRITICAL
THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LOCALIZED/BRIEF.
..GRAMS.. 05/26/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 260927
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0427 AM CDT MON MAY 26 2008
VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
WEAKENING MID-LEVEL IMPULSE OVER THE NRN ROCKIES SHOULD MAKE LITTLE
PROGRESS EWD INTO THE NRN PLAINS...AS LARGE-SCALE RIDGE AXIS
ATTEMPTS TO BUILD NWD FROM TX/NERN MEXICO IN RESPONSE TO AMPLIFYING
TROUGH OFF THE CA COAST. LOW RH WILL BE MOST PERVASIVE ACROSS THE
SRN GREAT BASIN/ROCKIES ALBEIT WITH LIGHT WINDS. IN THE
SOUTHEAST...SURFACE RIDGE AXIS OFF THE CAROLINA COAST TO THE NERN
GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLIDE SLOWLY SWD.
...WRN PORTIONS OF CNTRL/SRN FL...
ELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD MAINTAIN AT LEAST MARGINALLY LOW RH
CONDITIONS /AROUND 35 PERCENT/ AWAY FROM THE ERN FL COAST. COMPARED
TO DAY 1...A FURTHER RELAXING OF THE MODEST SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT SHOULD LIMIT SUSTAINED WINDS BELOW 15 MPH.
..GRAMS.. 05/26/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...