Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 070805
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0305 AM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008
VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF THE SWRN U.S. AND HIGH
PLAINS...
...SYNOPSIS...
MORNING SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER TROUGH DIGGING SEWD INTO
THE GREAT BASIN. AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE A CORRIDOR OF MODERATE SWLY
WINDS WILL DEVELOP AT THE SURFACE OVER PARTS OF THE SWRN U.S. AND
S-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE...A LEE-SIDE LOW WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP IN RESPONSE TO THE UPPER FEATURE LEADING TO A STRENGTHENING
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT. DOWNSTREAM OF THIS SYSTEM...UPPER
RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OVER THE ERN CONUS LEADING TO ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPS...BUT HIGH RH READINGS WILL PRECLUDE ANY CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER THREAT.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - PARTS OF THE SWRN U.S. AND HIGH
PLAINS...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / DROUGHT
OUTER BOUNDS OF THE CRITICAL AREA APPEAR TO BE AHEAD OF AN UPPER
TROUGH WHERE WINDS WILL LIKELY BE STRONGEST...SOUTH OF A COLD FRONT
OVER SRN UT/WRN CO AND BEHIND AN EWD PUSHING DRYLINE. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MODERATE MID-LEVEL WINDS WILL LIKELY MIX TO THE
SFC AND COMBINE WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH READINGS.
THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF AZ/NM
AND BEHIND THE DRYLINE IN THE VICINITY OF SERN CO. DESPITE RH
RECOVERY ASSOCIATED WITH RETREATING DRYLINE/MOISTURE SURGE THIS
MORNING...RH IS EXPECTED TO PLUMMET INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS/TEENS
ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. HAVE INCLUDED PARTS OF THE
TX/OK PANHANDLE AS IT APPEARS DRYLINE PLACEMENT WILL BE FURTHER E
THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT.
...SRN NM/SRN AZ...
SOUTH OF THE CRITICAL AREA...MODEL ENSEMBLE IS CONSISTENT IN
INDICATING SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS TO BE BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.
HOWEVER...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND CONSEQUENT LOW RH READINGS
IN THE 5-10 PERCENT RANGE MAY SUPPORT HIGH FIRE DANGER.
...CA CENTRAL VALLEYS...
MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE LOW RH WILL EXIST DURING THE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING HOURS. MODERATE N-NWLY SURFACE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO GENERALLY REMAIN BELOW CRITERIA BUT PERSISTENT DRYNESS
AND LOW RH MAY AGGRAVATE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
..SMITH.. 06/07/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 070916
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0416 AM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NERN NM...
...SYNOPSIS...
RELATIVELY LITTLE CHANGE TO THE OVERALL PATTERN FROM DAY 1 TO DAY 2.
AN UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS PARTS OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST AND EJECT INTO THE HIGH PLAINS AT THE END OF THE PERIOD. AT
THE SURFACE...A PRESSURE TROUGH SHOULD REMAIN FIXED OVER THE
S-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...WITH SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS LIKELY. AN
ATTENDANT DRYLINE FEATURE WILL EXTEND SWD OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - NERN NM...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH / MODERATE WINDS / DROUGHT
MODEL CONSENSUS DEPICTS A WEAKER UPPER DISTURBANCE /COMPARED TO DAY
1/ TRAVERSING ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD. MODEL
FORECAST SOUNDINGS/ENSEMBLE OUTPUT SUGGEST BORDERLINE CRITICAL
CONDITIONS WILL EXIST ACROSS PARTS OF THE SWRN U.S. AND S-CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS. AS A RESULT...SOME UNCERTAINTY EXISTS ON WHETHER
CRITERIA WILL BE MET FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
NEVERTHELESS...MODERATE LOW TO MID-LEVEL WINDS /40 KTS AT 500 MB/
APPEAR TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION...WHICH WILL LEAD TO GUSTY SURFACE
WINDS. WITH LOW RH LIKELY ALREADY IN PLACE BEHIND THE DRYLINE AND
AHEAD OF THE UPPER DISTURBANCE...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
APPEAR TO EXIST ATTM ACROSS A RELATIVELY LOCALIZED AREA IN NERN NM.
..SMITH.. 06/07/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...