Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 080812
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0312 AM CDT SUN JUN 08 2008
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NERN NM...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MORNING SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER TROUGH DIGGING SEWD INTO
   THE GREAT BASIN.  AT THE SURFACE...A LEE-SIDE LOW OVER THE HIGH
   PLAINS WILL MOVE SEWD AS A COLD FRONT MOVES S OF THE HIGH PLAINS
   REGION DURING THE DAY 1 PERIOD AND A DRYLINE WILL EXTEND SWD FROM
   THE SURFACE LOW.  IT APPEARS THE TIGHTEST SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
   WILL DEVELOP BETWEEN THE HIGH PLAINS LOW AND STRENGTHENING SURFACE
   HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN.  IN THE EAST...UPPER LEVEL
   RIDGING WILL INFLUENCE SERN U.S. WEATHER.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - NERN NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH / DROUGHT / MODERATE WINDS
   
   DISAGREEMENT EXISTS BETWEEN MODEL OUTPUT WHICH LEADS TO SOME
   UNCERTAINTY WHETHER CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL EXIST.  ENSEMBLE OUTPUT
   SUGGEST VERY BORDERLINE CRITICAL CONDITIONS MAY EXIST ACROSS NERN NM
   WHEREAS SOME MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS DENOTE CRITICAL CONDITIONS. 
   DESPITE THE UNCERTAINTY...IT APPEARS THAT THE STRONGEST SURFACE
   PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL EXIST ACROSS NERN NM.  THIS MAY AID IN
   LEADING TO SUSTAINED W-SWLYS AROUND 20 MPH FOR A FEW HOURS.  LOW RH
   /TEENS/ WILL LIKELY EXIST BEHIND THE DRYLINE...LEADING TO A
   RELATIVELY LOCALIZED AREA OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
   POSSIBLY BEING MET.  AREAS FURTHER SOUTH /SRN NM/ WILL LIKELY BE
   SOUTH OF THE STRONGER MID-LEVEL WINDS...RESULTING IN A MORE
   MARGINALIZED THREAT PRECLUDING A CRITICAL DELINEATION.
   
   ...PARTS OF THE SERN U.S...
   
   UPPER-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL AGAIN INFLUENCE CONDITIONS...WITH
   WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND PARTS OF
   THE SE.  THE VERY WARM/HOT TEMPS /OVER 100 F IN PARTS OF THE
   CAROLINA PIEDMONT/ WILL PROMOTE MIXING WITH DEWPOINTS FALLING
   THROUGH THE 60S ACCORDING TO MODEL GUIDANCE.  FCST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
   RH MAY REACH 35 PERCENT IN NRN FL FOR BRIEF PERIODS AND THE HOT
   CONDITIONS AND RELATIVELY LOW RH /25 PERCENT/ OVER THE CAROLINAS MAY
   LEAD TO SOME FIRE WEATHER CONCERN BRIEFLY IN LOCALIZED AREAS WHERE
   CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN VERY DRY.  HOWEVER...GENERALLY WEAK GRADIENT
   WINDS...SUGGEST FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS/CONDITIONS WILL BE LIMITED.
   
   ..SMITH.. 06/08/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 080849
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0349 AM CDT SUN JUN 08 2008
   
   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER LEVEL FLOW REGIME WILL REMAIN QUITE ACTIVE WITH AN UPPER
   DISTURBANCE MOVING NEWD OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION WITH ANOTHER
   DISTURBANCE MOVING SEWD TOWARDS THE PACIFIC NW.  AT THE SURFACE A
   COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S.  ATTM IT APPEARS
   THAT NO LARGE AREAS OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EXIST.
   
   ..SMITH.. 06/08/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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