Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 240816
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0316 AM CDT TUE JUN 24 2008
   
   VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE SWRN U.S. WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AND
   SLIDE EWD AS A STRONG UPPER TROUGH BEGINS MOVING INTO B.C CANADA/PAC
   NW.  MEANWHILE...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE NRN
   PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST REGION.  IN THE SERN U.S...A WEAK BOUNDARY WILL
   SHIFT SEWD ACROSS GA/SC/NRN FL WITH RELATIVELY LOW RH BEHIND IT.
   
   ...SERN AZ...
   
   A PLUME OF HIGHER MOISTURE ALREADY PRESENT ACROSS NRN MEXICO WILL
   PROBABLY REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY THROUGH THE PERIOD.  HOWEVER...IT
   APPEARS THAT SOME OF THIS MOISTURE MAY BE IN THE VICINITY OF SERN AZ
   TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.  00Z/24 TUS RAOB AND LATEST MODEL
   SOUNDINGS DENOTE INVERTED-V PROFILES...SUGGESTING SOME POTENTIAL FOR
   ISOLATED DRY T-STORM COVERAGE.  HOWEVER...DUE TO THE ANTICIPATED
   ISOLATED NATURE OF THE THREAT /WITHOUT A STRONGER MOISTURE SURGE/ IT
   SEEMS A CRITICAL DESIGNATION IS NOT WARRANTED ATTM.
   
   ...PARTS OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES/ERN GRT BASIN...
   
   ISOLATED DRY T-STORM POTENTIAL ASSOCIATED WITH THE TRAILING SWRN
   FRINGE OF THE NRN PLAINS SYSTEM WILL SHIFT EWD OVER THE ROCKIES. 
   MORNING WV IMAGERY SUGGESTS A POSSIBLE WEAK UPPER WAVE MOVING ACROSS
   SRN CA.  THIS FEATURE WILL LIKELY MOVE EWD TOWARDS THE FOUR CORNERS
   REGION POSSIBLY AIDING IN DRY T-STORM POTENTIAL.  RELATIVELY
   ISOLATED NATURE/WEAK FOCUS LEADS TOWARDS A DIMINISHED THREAT AND
   PRECLUDING A CRITICAL ISSUANCE.
   
   ...CA/WRN GREAT BASIN...
   
   ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPS/LOW RH /AOB 15 PERCENT/ ACROSS A LARGE PART OF
   THE GRT BASIN/CA WITH RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS AOB 15 MPH /TERRAIN
   ASSOCIATED GUSTS HIGHER/ SHOULD LIMIT THE OVERALL THREAT.  DESPITE
   WEAK FLOW OVER SRN CA...LOCALIZED PERIODIC MODERATE TO STRONG
   TERRAIN-DRIVEN NLY WINDS ACROSS FAVORED TERRAIN AREAS MAY ENHANCE AN
   OTHERWISE RELATIVELY LIMITED FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.  
   
   ...GA/NRN FL...
   
   A BOUNDARY SHOULD SAG SEWD ACROSS THE REGION WITH GENERALLY LIGHT
   NLY WINDS USHERING IN LOW RH READINGS /25-30 PERCENT/.
   
   ..SMITH.. 06/24/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 240931
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0431 AM CDT TUE JUN 24 2008
   
   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A FLAT ZONAL UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REGIME SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOSTLY
   INFLUENCE THE LOWER 48 WEATHER PATTERN FOR DAY 2.  A SERIES OF LOW
   AMPLITUDE UPPER IMPULSES WILL TRAVERSE THE NRN STATES WITH A
   STRONGER UPPER WAVE BEGINNING TO INFLUENCE THE PACIFIC NW REGION.
   
   ...SERN AZ/SWRN NM/S-CENTRAL ROCKIES REGION/...
   
   ISOLATED DRY T-STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE REGION ACCORDING
   TO THE LATEST SREF GUIDANCE.  THERE IS SOME DIFFERENCE ON THE
   MAGNITUDE OF MID-LEVEL MOISTENING /INFERRED ASCENT/ DEPICTED AMONGST
   THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SERN AZ/SWRN NM. 
   DESPITE THIS DISPARITY...IT APPEARS THAT ISOLATED DRY T-STORMS WILL
   PROBABLY OCCUR.  HOT TEMPS/LOW RH SHOULD BE TEMPERED BY WEAK
   WINDS...EXCEPT AROUND T-STORMS WHERE ENHANCED ERRATIC WINDS ARE
   POSSIBLE.  UNCERTAINTY EXISTS WHERE GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF DRY
   T-STORMS WILL OCCUR...AND POTENTIAL AREA/S WILL BE REFERRED TO LATER
   UPDATES.
   
   ...NRN CA/NRN GREAT BASIN...
   
   DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE PROGS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER THE PAC
   NW REGION FOR WEDNESDAY.  LATEST SREF GUIDANCE CURRENTLY SUGGESTS
   ISOLATED T-STORM COVERAGE IN ADVANCE OF THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
   UPPER FEATURE.  SOME FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW AN INVERTED-V SOUNDING
   STRUCTURE...SUGGESTING SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY/MID-LEVEL MOISTURE MAY
   EXIST ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.  AMBIENT DRY LOW LEVEL
   ENVIRONMENT /HOT TEMPS-LOW BOUNDARY LAYER RH/...MAY POTENTIALLY LEAD
   TO A CRITICAL DRY T-STORM AREA WHEN COMBINED WITH CONVECTIVE
   POTENTIAL.  ATTM...IT APPEARS THE GREATEST THREAT AREA MAY BE IN
   PARTS OF NERN CA.
   
   ..SMITH.. 06/24/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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