Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 070610
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0110 AM CDT MON JUL 07 2008
VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
IN UPPER LEVELS...THE OVERALL PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO
DEAMPLIFY...ALTHOUGH WEAK EMBEDDED LOWS WILL TRIGGER SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST...AND THROUGH PORTIONS OF
THE NRN AND HIGH PLAINS.
MEANWHILE IN THE WEST...RIDGING ALOFT WILL GRADUALLY BUILD...WITH
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS AT THE SURFACE PERSISTING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. ACROSS PORTIONS OF AZ/NM/UT/CO
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ALTHOUGH THESE WILL MAINLY BE
WET RATHER THAN DRY. HOWEVER...IN EXTREME SERN CA/SWRN AZ AND SRN
NV...ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
...SERN UT/WRN CO/NWRN NM/AZ...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN BY AFTERNOON AS A MOIST
AIRMASS LINGERS OVER THE AREA. FORECAST/CURRENT PWATS SUGGEST THAT
THUNDERSTORMS WILL GENERALLY BE WET. SURFACE RH WILL REMAIN ABOVE
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS WHILE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN BELOW.
ADDITIONALLY...RAINFALL RECEIVED OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS SHOULD HELP
TO MITIGATE THE FIRE THREAT...ALTHOUGH LIGHTNING STARTS MAY STILL BE
POSSIBLE.
...SERN CA/SRN NV/EXTREME SWRN AZ...
PREEXISTING MOISTURE AND WEAK MOISTURE ADVECTION MAY ALLOW FOR
SUFFICIENT MID LEVEL MOISTURE FOR THUNDERSTORM FORMATION IN A WEAKLY
UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES CLIMB TO 105 TO NEAR 115
DEGREES. SURFACE RH WILL REMAIN IN THE TEENS. IF THUNDERSTORMS ARE
ABLE TO FORM...THEY WILL PRIMARILY BE OF DRY NATURE. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WHILE LIGHTNING STARTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE.
...CA/OR/NV...
VERY DRY AND SUBSIDENT AIRMASS UNDER UPPER RIDGING WILL ALLOW WELL
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE. DESPITE HOT
TEMPERATURES...WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT.
..HURLBUT.. 07/07/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 070822
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK RESENT 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0322 AM CDT MON JUL 07 2008
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE JET STREAM WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN CLOSE
TO THE U.S./CANADIAN BORDER...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ACROSS THE
NRN MOST STATES. EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES WITHIN THE UPPER FLOW WILL
INDUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE ERN/SERN U.S.
AND FROM THE HIGH PLAINS EXTENDING NEWD INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION.
MEANWHILE IN THE WEST...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
AND SPREAD EWD...WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY
CONDITIONS AT THE SURFACE. STRONGER WINDS MAY BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE
WA/OR/FAR NRN CA COASTS AS THE LOW LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT
INCREASES.
IN PORTIONS OF THE SWRN STATES...THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THE
AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO THE EARLY MORNING IN PORTIONS OF
AZ/NM/UT/CO ONCE AGAIN...ALTHOUGH GIVEN PREEXISTING MOISTURE STORMS
WILL GENERALLY BE WET. IN EXTREME SWRN AZ/SERN CA ISOLATED DRY
THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP.
...EXTREME SERN CA/SWRN AZ...
VERY WEAK MOISTURE ADVECTION INTO SERN CA/SWRN AZ WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH DAY 1 AND INTO DAY 2. SLIGHT INCREASE IN MID LEVEL MOISTURE
COMBINED WITH WEAK INSTABILITY MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO GENERATE DRY
THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE AFTERNOON. GIVEN HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS AT THE
SURFACE WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 105 TO 115 AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN
THE TEENS...DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL CERTAINLY ENHANCE FIRE DANGER
WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THE STORMS AND FIRE STARTS
POSSIBLE. ATTM UNCERTAINTIES ARE TOO GREAT IN REGARDS TO CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE...AND SEEM ISOLATED AT BEST...THEREFORE LIMITING A DRY
THUNDER DESIGNATION AT THIS TIME.
...WRN OR/EXTREME NWRN CA...
AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD EWD...HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS
WILL PERSIST AT THE SURFACE IN A DRY AND SUBSIDENT REGIME. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT AT THE SURFACE NEAR THE COAST WILL INCREASE...WITH
WINDS NEAR 20 TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE. BEST JUXTAPOSITION OF STRONG WINDS
AND LOW RH APPEARS TO BE IN THE COASTAL VALLEYS.
..HURLBUT.. 07/07/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...