Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 220705
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0205 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008
   
   VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   IN THE WEST...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE
   PERIOD ACROSS CNTRL/ERN OR...NRN NV/UT AND ID IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN
   UPPER LOW LOCATED ROUGHLY NEAR NRN CA. THE LOW WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT
   NEWD TODAY...WITH THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING IN COVERAGE...ESP ACROSS
   ID/MT AND WY. THESE STORMS WILL MAINLY BE WET...ALTHOUGH
   STRONG/SEVERE WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY ENHANCE THE
   FIRE DANGER IN DRY AREAS. FOLLOWING THE SURFACE COLD FRONTAL
   PASSAGE...A WIND SHIFT AND GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH
   SOMEWHAT COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL LIMIT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FROM
   DROPPING BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. 
   
   ACROSS THE CNTRL AND SRN PLAINS...HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL
   CONTINUE WITH LOCALLY GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS. 
   
   ELSEWHERE...THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT A WIDESPREAD AREA IN THE
   EASTERN US IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN UPPER LOW/QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT.
   
   ...CNRTL AND ERN OR/NRN NV/WRN ID/NWRN UT...
   ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS AT THE START OF THE PERIOD WILL INCREASE IN
   COVERAGE THROUGH THE DAY AS THE UPPER LOW SHIFTS NEWD. WELL ABOVE
   NORMAL MOISTURE...AS OBSERVED IN 00Z PWAT PLOTS...WILL BE MORE THAN
   SUFFICIENT FOR WET THUNDERSTORMS AS OPPOSED TO DRY...WITH HEAVY
   RAINFALL LIKELY BENEATH STRONGER STORMS. GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE
   SYSTEM...LARGE HAIL AND STRONG/SEVERE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
   THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP...MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF ID/WY/MT.
   NUMEROUS LIGHTNING STRIKES AND STRONG/SEVERE WINDS IN ASSOCIATION
   WITH THESE STORMS MAY ENHANCE THE FIRE DANGER IN ALREADY DRY AREAS. 
   
   
   ...FARTHER W IN CNTRL OR AND PERHAPS EXTREME NRN CA/NWRN NV...
   THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP IN THESE AREAS...MAINLY EARLIER IN THE
   PERIOD IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE COLD UPPER LOW...WILL TEND TO BE MORE
   ISOLATED IN NATURE. SINCE THE GREATER MOISTURE LIES TO THE E...THESE
   STORMS WILL BE SOMEWHAT DRIER IN NATURE...WITH GUSTY WINDS AND
   LIGHTNING STRIKES ENHANCING THE FIRE THREAT. DUE TO THE MORE
   ISOLATED NATURE...A DRY THUNDER AREA WILL NOT BE OUTLINED. FOLLOWING
   THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...A WIND SHIFT AND GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS CAN BE
   EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL LIMIT RELATIVE
   HUMIDITIES FROM DROPPING BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 07/22/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 220736
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0236 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008
   
   VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD THROUGH ERN MT AND THE
   DAKOTAS...WITH MAINLY WLY FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE PACIFIC NW IN A
   POST FRONTAL REGIME FOLLOWING THIS SYSTEM. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL
   SLOWLY REBUILD BEHIND THIS...WITH HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH
   OF THE WEST. MEANWHILE...THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP IN
   THE FOUR CORNERS REGION AND THE ERN GREAT BASIN. 
   
   ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL/HIGH PLAINS...WINDS WILL INCREASE BY
   AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING CONVERGENCE NEAR THE LEE OF THE
   ROCKIES...ALTHOUGH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE
   CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. HOWEVER...THE DRIEST AREA JUXTAPOSED WITH
   STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY BE NEAR SERN CO/SWRN KS.
   
   MEANWHILE IN MUCH OF THE EAST/SERN STATES...WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS
   WILL DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 07/22/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home