Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 140634
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0134 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008
VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY ACROSS THE WRN
STATES...WITH DRY CONDITIONS AT THE SURFACE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
WELL ABOVE NORMAL...WITH MANY LOCATIONS 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
CLIMATOLOGY. DESPITE HOT TEMPERATURES AND RHS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
TO TEENS...WINDS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT TODAY.
MEANWHILE...THE UPPER LOW LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 MI WEST OF THE
N/CNTRL CA COAST THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DRIFT ESEWD.
HOWEVER...MOISTURE/INSTABILITY APPEAR TO BE LIMITED...REFLECTED IN
THE LACK OF LIGHTNING STRIKES SO FAR AND MEAGER PWAT PROFILES
OBSERVED IN GOES IMAGERY. THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THIS FEATURE IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY.
STRONG NWLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE NRN PLAINS AND
THE WRN GREAT LAKES REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BEHIND A PASSING
UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT AT THE SURFACE. COOLER
TEMPERATURES...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WELL ABOVE CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS...AND RECENT RAINFALL WILL LIMIT OVERALL THREAT DESPITE
STRONG WINDS. WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AS THIS SYSTEM
PROGRESSES EWD...AND AS REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE QUICKLY MOVE NEWD
TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES.
..HURLBUT.. 09/14/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 140744
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0244 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
IN THE WEST...STRONGLY AMPLIFIED UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY EWD
AND BECOME CENTERED ROUGHLY INVOF ID/NV/UT BORDERS. WELL ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES APPROXIMATELY 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE CLIMATOLOGY
WILL BE COMMON...WITH SOME SITES APPROACHING OR REACHING RECORD
HIGHS. SURFACE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS
WILL BE COMMON ACROSS A WIDESPREAD AREA. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL
GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT...HIGH HAINES INDICES...DRY FUELS...AND
AFOREMENTIONED CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASED FIRE THREAT.
MEANWHILE...THE UPPER LOW OFFSHORE OF CA WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT
SLOWLY EWD TOWARDS THE COAST. WV IMAGERY THIS MORNING INDICATES
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF MIDLEVEL MOISTURE TO SUPPORT DRY THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT...WHILE THE COLD CORE OF THE UPPER LOW AND ANY
ASSOCIATED INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE IN THE D2 TIME FRAME.
FARTHER S IN SRN CA/SWRN AZ MOISTURE RETURN HAS BEEN SLOWER THAN
PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT...WITH NO NOTABLE DISTURBANCE/CONVECTION/MOISTURE
OVER NRN MEXICO OR THE PACIFIC THAT WOULD INFLUENCE CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT BY D2. FURTHERMORE...THE LOW/MID LEVEL FLOW WILL NOT
RETURN TO SELY UNTIL LATE IN THE PERIOD AS THE HIGH BEGINS TO SHIFT
EWD...THEREFORE DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE PREDOMINANT.
IN THE ERN STATES...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL DOMINATE...WHILE A WEAK
COLD FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC AND SERN STATES. WITH
LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW REMAINING SOMEWHAT SWLY AS THE UPPER TROUGH
LAGS BEHIND...COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL BE SLOW TO FOLLOW THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE...AND THE DEW POINT GRADIENT WILL NOT BE SHARPLY
DEFINED. DRY CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
..HURLBUT.. 09/14/2008
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...