Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

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   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 140634
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0134 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY ACROSS THE WRN
   STATES...WITH DRY CONDITIONS AT THE SURFACE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
   WELL ABOVE NORMAL...WITH MANY LOCATIONS 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
   CLIMATOLOGY. DESPITE HOT TEMPERATURES AND RHS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
   TO TEENS...WINDS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT TODAY. 
   
   MEANWHILE...THE UPPER LOW LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 500 MI WEST OF THE
   N/CNTRL CA COAST THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DRIFT ESEWD.
   HOWEVER...MOISTURE/INSTABILITY APPEAR TO BE LIMITED...REFLECTED IN
   THE LACK OF LIGHTNING STRIKES SO FAR AND MEAGER PWAT PROFILES
   OBSERVED IN GOES IMAGERY. THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IN ASSOCIATION
   WITH THIS FEATURE IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY.
     
   STRONG NWLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE NRN PLAINS AND
   THE WRN GREAT LAKES REGION AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BEHIND A PASSING
   UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT AT THE SURFACE. COOLER
   TEMPERATURES...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WELL ABOVE CRITICAL
   THRESHOLDS...AND RECENT RAINFALL WILL LIMIT OVERALL THREAT DESPITE
   STRONG WINDS. WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AS THIS SYSTEM
   PROGRESSES EWD...AND AS REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE QUICKLY MOVE NEWD
   TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 09/14/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 140744
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0244 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   IN THE WEST...STRONGLY AMPLIFIED UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY EWD
   AND BECOME CENTERED ROUGHLY INVOF ID/NV/UT BORDERS. WELL ABOVE
   NORMAL TEMPERATURES APPROXIMATELY 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE CLIMATOLOGY
   WILL BE COMMON...WITH SOME SITES APPROACHING OR REACHING RECORD
   HIGHS. SURFACE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS
   WILL BE COMMON ACROSS A WIDESPREAD AREA. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL
   GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT...HIGH HAINES INDICES...DRY FUELS...AND
   AFOREMENTIONED CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASED FIRE THREAT.
   
   MEANWHILE...THE UPPER LOW OFFSHORE OF CA WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT
   SLOWLY EWD TOWARDS THE COAST. WV IMAGERY THIS MORNING INDICATES
   LITTLE IN THE WAY OF MIDLEVEL MOISTURE TO SUPPORT DRY THUNDERSTORM
   DEVELOPMENT...WHILE THE COLD CORE OF THE UPPER LOW AND ANY
   ASSOCIATED INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE IN THE D2 TIME FRAME.
   
   FARTHER S IN SRN CA/SWRN AZ MOISTURE RETURN HAS BEEN SLOWER THAN
   PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT...WITH NO NOTABLE DISTURBANCE/CONVECTION/MOISTURE
   OVER NRN MEXICO OR THE PACIFIC THAT WOULD INFLUENCE CONVECTIVE
   DEVELOPMENT BY D2. FURTHERMORE...THE LOW/MID LEVEL FLOW WILL NOT
   RETURN TO SELY UNTIL LATE IN THE PERIOD AS THE HIGH BEGINS TO SHIFT
   EWD...THEREFORE DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE PREDOMINANT.
   
   IN THE ERN STATES...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL DOMINATE...WHILE A WEAK
   COLD FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC AND SERN STATES. WITH
   LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW REMAINING SOMEWHAT SWLY AS THE UPPER TROUGH
   LAGS BEHIND...COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL BE SLOW TO FOLLOW THE
   FRONTAL PASSAGE...AND THE DEW POINT GRADIENT WILL NOT BE SHARPLY
   DEFINED. DRY CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 09/14/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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