Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 010613
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0113 AM CDT WED OCT 01 2008
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH WILL GRADUALLY MOVE ONSHORE...OVERSPREADING STRONGER
   SLY WINDS ACROSS COASTAL AREAS OF NRN CA/SWRN OR AHEAD OF A COLD
   FRONT. MEANWHILE...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY EWD AHEAD OF
   THIS SYSTEM...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING BENEATH
   STRONG SUBSIDENCE. NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION...DRY THUNDERSTORMS
   WILL BE POSSIBLE.
     
   FARTHER E...DRY NWLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SERN STATES WITH
   HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE NW AND WITH A STRONG UPPER TROUGH
   JUST TO THE N. ALTHOUGH NWLY WINDS NEAR 10 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS WILL BE LIKELY...COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL KEEP MINIMUM
   RELATIVE HUMIDITIES MARGINAL...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF PORTIONS OF
   INLAND NORTH FL.
   
   ...NRN CA/SWRN OR...
   THE UPPER TROUGH IS MOVING CLOSER TO THE PAC NW COAST THIS
   MORNING...AND STRONGER SLY WINDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION AHEAD OF
   A COLD FRONT. ALTHOUGH THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE CONFINED OFFSHORE
   AND AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...SUSTAINED SPEEDS NEAR 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
   GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH MAY BE POSSIBLE AT LOWER ELEVATIONS. DESPITE
   STRONGER WINDS...INCREASING MOISTURE WILL LIMIT MINIMUM RELATIVE
   HUMIDITIES FROM REACHING CRITICAL THRESHOLDS WHERE THE STRONGER
   WINDS WILL BE EXPERIENCED.
   
   ...NRN NM/SWRN CO/UT...
   LINGERING MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND A SUBTLE SHORT WAVE WILL HELP TO
   TRIGGER AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ONCE AGAIN. LIMITED MOISTURE AND A
   RELATIVELY DRY SUBCLOUD LAYER WILL LEAD TO PREDOMINANT DRY
   THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY TRIGGER NEW STARTS IN
   DRIER LOWER VALLEYS...OVERALL FUELS ARE SLOWLY MOISTENING...AND 
   COOL OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL LIMIT DURATION OF SMALLER FIRES.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   ANOTHER DAY OF DRY NWLY FLOW WILL PERSIST...WITH WINDS OF 10 TO 15
   MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE
   HUMIDITIES WILL BE SOMEWHAT MARGINAL...DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 20S
   TO LOWER 30S AREA WIDE. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE INLAND PORTIONS OF THE
   FL PANHANDLE AND POSSIBLY THE SUWANNEE VALLEY...ALTHOUGH DURATION OF
   CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE MARGINAL.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 10/01/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 010640
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0140 AM CDT WED OCT 01 2008
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN DOMINANT ACROSS THE ERN STATES...AS LOW
   PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED IN SRN QUEBEC. COOL AND DRY NWLY FLOW WILL
   CONTINUE ACROSS THE SERN STATES...WHERE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
   DROP INTO THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S ACROSS A WIDESPREAD AREA.
   
   MEANWHILE...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL SHIFT
   SLIGHTLY EWD AND BEGIN TO WEAKEN. ISOLD THUNDERSTORMS MAY STILL BE
   POSSIBLE NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION...BUT THE THREAT IS EXPECTED
   TO BE MINIMAL AT THIS TIME.
   
   IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...THE UPPER TROUGH WILL BEGIN TO MOVE
   ONSHORE. ALTHOUGH STRONGER SLY TO SWLY WINDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE
   REGION...WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL AFFECT COASTAL AREAS AND THEN
   MOVE INLAND.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   ALTHOUGH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL GENERALLY RELAX LEADING TO
   LIGHTER WINDS THAN D1...OVERALL RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO
   REACH LOWER VALUES. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP INTO THE
   MID 20S TO LOWER 30S ACROSS A WIDESPREAD AREA...WITH THE LOWEST
   VALUES POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN GA/AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE.
   GIVEN CONTINUOUS DRY CONDITIONS...A HEIGHTENED FIRE THREAT WILL
   EXIST.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 10/01/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home